1977年以来黄河临河段河岸冲淤变化及河道萎缩速率

不同时段河道的侧向侵蚀/加积面积变化的定量研究可以揭示河道的变化特征。以黄河临河段213 km长的河段为研究对象,利用1977年以来19个时段基于遥感影像绘制的河道平面形态图的面积变化来估算其4个亚河段（S1、S2、S3和S4）在不同时段的河岸侧向侵蚀/加积面积以及全河段的河道平均萎缩速率。研究结果表明,黄河临河段左右河岸在37年间都表现为侧向净加积,其4个亚河段左岸的侧向累计加积面积分别为33.16 km²、49.59 km²、29.52 km²和30.85 km²,其中1995-2000年的加积面积分别占到其总加积面积的85.5%、51.2%、47.2%和104.6%;右岸的侧向累计加积面积分别为30.83 km²、8.74 km²、26.44 km²和18.76 km²,而1995-2000年的加积面积分别占到其总加积面积的57.2%、111.9%、65.7%和61.6%。该河段河道面积1977-2001年具有减小趋势,2001年之后河道表现为侧向侵蚀、加积的交替变化,1977-2014年间河道平均萎缩速率为6.16 km²/yr。该河段河道平面形态值最明显的变化也发生在1990s,与1995年相比,2000年的河道长度增加了5.8%,河道面积减少了39.4%,河道平均宽度减小了42.8%,弯曲系数增加了6.6%。黄河临河段河道形态剧烈变化及河道严重萎缩都发生在1990s,这主要是黄河上游刘家峡和龙羊峡水库联合运行导致汛期水沙量大量减小所致,4个亚河段的河岸冲淤变化还受到局部河岸物质结构、护岸工程及水动力差异的影响。随着2000年后河流综合管理措施的调整,黄河临河段河道的上述变化趋势明显弱化,河流健康程度有所好转。     

黄河内蒙古河段非汛期和汛期冲淤量计算方法（英文）

Based on an empirical sediment transport equation that reflects the characteristics of "more input, more output" for sediment-laden flow in rivers, a general sediment transport expression was developed, which can take into account the effects of upstream sediment input, previous cumulative sediment deposition, critical runoff for sediment initiation, and the differences in sediment particle sizes between the mainstream and tributaries. Then, sediment load equations for non-flood and flood seasons for the sub-reaches from Bayangaole to Sanhuhekou and from Sanhuhekou to Toudaoguai, as well as the whole Inner Mongolia reach from Bayangaole to Toudaoguai, were formulated based on data collected between 1952 and 2010. The corresponding sediment deposition and the cumulative values at each river reach were calculated using the proposed sediment transport equations for the period 1952 to 2010 according to the principle of sediment conservation. Comparisons between the calculated and measured values using the proposed sediment load equations for the sub-reaches and the entire reach showed that the calculated sediment load and sediment deposition and the corresponding cumulative values in the flood and non-flood seasons were in good agreement with the measured values. These results indicated that the proposed methods can be applied to calculate the sediment load and the associated sediment deposition in the flood and non-flood seasons for long-term trend analysis of sediment deposition in the Inner Mongolia reach of the Yellow River.     

黄河巴彦高勒到头道拐河段冲淤演变的驱动因子分析（英文）

The Inner Mongolia reaches of the Yellow River face problems of severe sedimentation caused by a variety of complex factors. The sedimentation process in those reaches has been characterized using the sediment balance method, and the key factors affecting the process have been analyzed using the correlation analysis method. The results show that during the period 1952–2012 the Bayangaole(Bayan Gol) to Toudaoguai reaches in Inner Mongolia have undergone successive processes of accumulative sedimentation, then relative balance, and then accumulative sedimentation once again. The total annual sedimentation is 12.0341×10~8 m~3, of which accumulations from July to October account for 95.1% and the reaches from Sanhuhekou to Toudaoguai account for 98.5%. The main factor affecting scouring and sedimentation of the Bayangaole to Sanhuhekou reaches is the combined water and sediment condition. The critical conditions for equilibrium are an incoming sediment coefficient 0.007 kg·s·m~(–6) and a flow discharge 700 m~3·s~(–1). The main factor affecting scouring and sedimentation of the Sanhuhekou to Toudaoguai reaches is the incoming sediment from the tributaries on the south bank and the combined water and sediment condition of the main stream. The critical conditions of the main stream for maintaining equilibrium status are a flow discharge of the main stream exceeding 800 m~3·s~(–1) and a comprehensive incoming sediment coefficient 0.005 kg·s·m~(–6). The incoming sediment from the tributaries has little impact on the main stream when the annual sediment load is less than 0.1×10~8 t. The incoming sediment coefficient of the main stream and the incoming sediment from the tributaries both play vital roles in the riverbed evolution of the Inner Mongolia reaches, but the latter contributes the most.     

黄河内蒙古河段冲淤演变及其影响因素(英文)

Rivers with fluvial equilibrium are characterized by bed deformation adjustment. The erosion-deposition area in cross-section reflects this characteristic, which is a base of researching the river scour and deposition evolution by time series analysis. With an erosion-deposition area indicator method proposed in this paper, the time series of erosion-deposition area quantity at Bygl and Shhk stations were obtained with the series duration of 31 years from 1976 to 2006. After analysis of its trend and mutation, three different ten- dencies about the evolution were observed in general from the quasi-equilibrium phase through a rapid shrinkage to the final new quasi-equilibrium. It is also found that the trend of erosion-deposition area series will change once a big flood occurred in some of the tributaries, and its ever greater influence is due to the decrease of deluge with the completion of upstream reservoirs. Almost all the turning points were coincident with the time when hyper-concentrated sediment flood occurred in some tributaries. With the time series of clear mutations since the late 1990s, the Inner Mongolian Reach has been in a new equilibrium phase. This can be concluded in two aspects. 1. The absence of big floods and sediment transportation from tributaries result in the river shrinkage, and to regain the channel flow-carrying capacity in Inner Mongolian Reach a large flood is needed both of high peak discharge and of lengthy interval to destroy the new equilibrium. 2. The proposed method of erosion-deposition area indicator is of great help to channel scoureposition evolution analysis because it can demonstrate real time deformation of cross section in quantity.     

黄河内蒙河段河床冲淤演变特征及原因

利用黄河内蒙段1962-2000年间4期大断面观测资料,计算了各期河床冲淤和河槽形态指标。发现从1962-2000年间前20年、中间9年及后9年,内蒙河段河槽500m²过水面积下河底高程发生了降低-升高-再升高的过程;河槽漫滩过水面积经历了升高-降低-再降低的过程,2000年只有1982年的大约一半;滩地经历了持续淤积过程,平均抬升0.25m;河槽宽深比值经历了变化不显著-增加-减小的过程。分析结果表明:气候变化、引水、水库拦沙和重点产沙支流来沙变化在河床冲淤和河床形态调整中作用较大;水库对径流的年内调节对1982年后河槽淤积贡献较大;来水来沙变化下河流多要素自动调整是造成河槽形态变化过程复杂的原因。     

澜沧江河道冲淤变化特征及发展趋势

文章根据20多年来澜沧江河道断面形态、来水来沙的实测资料,分析了冲淤变化特征及其与来沙系数的相互关系。还根据澜沧江天然来沙量的变化趋势,梯级开发后可能发生的来沙量变化,探讨了澜沧江河道冲淤变化的可能发展趋势     

黄河银川平原段河岸摆动速率变化及原因

研究选取黄河银川平原全长196 km的河段,以1975 年、1990 年、2010 年和2011 年四个年份的卫星影像数据绘制的左右河岸线,与设立的平均间隔为1.3 km的153 个河道固定横断面的交点位置的变化,估算了1975-1990 年、1990-2010 年和2010-2011 年三个时期的河岸平均摆动速率。结果表明,该河段左岸以向右摆动为主,在上述时期左岸总的平均摆动速率分别为36.5 m/a、27.8 m/a 和61.5 m/a;右岸在1975-1990 年以向右摆动为主,此后则以向左摆动为主,其摆动速率分别为31.7 m/a、23.1 m/a 和50.8 m/a。在1975-2011 全部36 年间,左右河岸的年均摆动速率分别为22.3 m/a 和14.8 m/a。河岸摆动速率在A、B、C三个河段相差悬殊,在1975-2011 的36 年间,左岸向左和向右的平均摆动速率之比分别为1：7.6：4.6 和1：1.7：3.8;右岸向左和向右的平均摆动速率之比为1：1.8：1.2 和1：5.6：17.7。显然,无论左岸右岸,它们在A段的摆动速率最小,向左摆动速率最大的出现在B段,而向右摆动速率最大的则是C段。河岸摆动速率在时序上的增大现象主要受制于人类筑坝蓄水等引起汛期流量的逐渐减小,而空间变化主要受制于河岸物质组成的区域差异。     

小浪底水库运用以来黄河下游河道冲淤的时空规律与模拟

1999年小浪底水库投入运用以来,黄河下游河道发生持续冲刷,其时空变化过程复杂。基于滞后响应模型单步模式推导得到了黄河下游累计冲淤量的计算公式,2000—2020年计算值与实测值之间的决定系数R²达0.99。当前,黄河下游处于持续冲刷之中,冲刷速度逐渐变慢,当前时段的平衡值与计算值的差异减小,河床冲刷正在逐渐趋向于平衡。基于悬移质泥沙不平衡输沙方程得到了黄河下游主槽单位河长累计冲刷量空间分布的计算公式,2003—2015年计算值与实测值之间的决定系数R²在0.98～0.99之间,相对误差多年平均值为6.2%。结果表明,在当前黄河下游来沙减少,河道发生持续冲刷的背景下,就多年平均情况而言,累计淤积量调整完成一半所需的时间约为3.0 a,完成95%所需的时间约为13.0 a;且随着冲刷的持续发展,黄河下游累计冲刷量的空间分布在逐渐趋于均匀。本文的结果可为分析黄河下游复杂时空变化过程提供参考。     

调水调沙以来黄河尾闾河道冲淤演变及其影响因素

2002年开始的黄河调水调沙改变了进入黄河口的水沙条件,必然引起尾闾河道地貌的显著调整.根据黄河尾闾河道利津以下的断面实测高程数据,建立基于正交曲线网格的河道DEM,结合河床形态与水沙条件变化,综合研究黄河尾闾河道冲淤的时空演变及其影响因素.结果表明,调水调沙以来尾闾河道冲刷明显,2002-2017年累计冲刷6240万...     

不同流路时期黄河下游河道的冲淤变化过程

运用统计学方法对1950-2007年的水沙数据以及不同流路各水文站同流量(3000m³/s)水位变化进行了分析,结果表明:黄河下游河道表现出淤积-冲刷交替出现的变化过程,当进入下游的含沙量为18.6kg/m³时,河道冲淤表现为动态平衡。艾山以下河道的冲淤变化过程除受水沙条件控制外,还受到流路变迁的影响。流路变迁初期河道发生溯源冲刷作用,中后期河道发生溯源淤积作用。各站同流量水位变化,神仙沟流路主要为下降,河道以冲刷为主;刁口河流路主要为升高,河道以淤积为主;清水沟流路有升有降,河道冲淤互有,总体表现为淤积。流路变迁对河道横断面形态的影响主要在利津以下。     

黄河第一湾齐哈玛河段砾质网状河1990年以来的演变特征（英文）

The anastomosing river that is present within the First Great Bend of the Yellow River is different from other sand-bedded rivers of this type because it contains gravel-bedded materials. It is therefore important to determine whether, or not, the specific characteristics of this anastomosing river are similar to those seen in sand-bedded forms, including the characteristics of erosion and deposition, and the stability of channel and interchannel wetlands. Four Landsat images from 1990, 2001, 2013, and 2016 alongside two Google Earth(GE) images from 2011 and 2013 were utilized in this study in tandem with field sampling and observations to select a 12 km main channel length section of the Qihama reach anastomosing river. This section was then used to determine variations in channel planform and sedimentary characteristics over a 26 year period. The results of this study show that this gravel-bedded anastomosing river has exhibited a high degree of stability overall, and that there has been no obvious channel and wetland bank erosion and deposition. Data also show that over the 26 years of this study, anastomosing belt area increased by 2.43%, while the ratio of land to water area remained almost equal. The number of wetlands has also increased along this river section at a rate as high as 62.16% because of the fragmentation of some small interchannel examples, while the talweg has alternately migrated to either the left or right over long periods of time at a relatively stable rate. Indeed, as a result of the migration of this line, there has been significant turnover in the number of islands within the main channel while bank shift has occurred at a rate of about 5 m/yr. The numerous anastomosing channels within this river section remained very stable over the course of this study, characterized by a mean annual migration rate of just 1 m/yr, while the sediments in bank columnar sections are mainly composed of fine sands or silts with a relatively high clay content. The sediment grain-size distribution curve for this river section contains multiple peaks, distinct from the muddy sediments within bank columnar sections from sand-bedded anastomosing rivers. The dense vegetation within riparian and interchannel wetlands alongside this river reach has also protected anastomosing channels from erosion and maintainedtheir stability, a key feature of this gravel-bedded system.     

黄河银川平原段河岸摆动速率变化及其影响因素(英文)

It is important to examine the lateral shift rate variation of river banks in different periods. One of the challenges in this regard is how to obtain the shift rate of river banks, as gauging stations are deficient for the study of river reaches. The present study selected the Yinchuan Plain reach of the Yellow River with a length of 196 km as a case study, and searched each point of intersection of 153 cross-sections(interval between two adjacent cross-sections was 1.3 km) and river banks in 1975, 1990, 2010 and 2011, which were plotted according to remote sensing images in those years. Then the shift rates for the points of intersection during 1975–1990, 1990–2010 and 2010–2011 were calculated, as well as the average shift rates for different sections and different periods. The results show that the left bank of the river reach shifts mostly to the right, with the average shift rates being 36.5 m/a, 27.8 m/a and 61.5 m/a in the three periods, respectively. Contemporarily, the right bank shifts mostly to the right in the first period, while it shifts to the left in the second and third periods, with the average shift rates being 31.7 m/a, 23.1 m/a and 50.8 m/a in the three periods, respectively. The average shift rates for the left and right banks during the period 1975–2011 are 22.3 m/a and 14.8 m/a, respectively. The bank shift rates for sections A, B and C are different. The shift rate ratio of the left bank in the three sections is 1:7.6:4.6 for shift to the left and 1:1.7:3.8 for shift to the right, while that of the right bank is 1:1.8:1.2 for shift to the left and 1:5.6:17.7 for shift to the right during the period 1975–2011. Obviously, the average shift rate is the least in section A, while it is maximum in section B for shift to the left and in section C for shift to the right. The temporal variation of the shift rate is influenced by human activities, while the spatial variation is controlled by the local difference in bank materials.     

黄河下游2300年以来沉积速率的变化

采用沉积学方法提取沉积速率的记录,利用历史文献研究的方法提取气候与人类活动变化的信息,对黄河下游2300年以来的沉积速率的变化及其与气候、植被及人类活动的关系进行了研究,揭示黄河流域地貌系统对气候变化及人类活动所导致的土地覆被、土地利用方式变化的响应过程。研究表明,黄河流域地貌系统中的下游沉积带对于中游侵蚀带的响应是灵敏的,流域植被和土地利用方式的变化,是导致下游河道沉积加速的主导因素;这种变化主要取决于人类活动,同时与气候的变化也有一定关系。在沉积加速的过程中,公元7世纪至10世纪以及18世纪中叶以来,表现为两个突变时期。     

黄河玛曲砾质网状河段河间湿地形态特征及发育程度（英文）

Both interchannel wetlands and multi-channels are crucial geomorphologic units in an anastomosing river system. Planform characteristics and development of interchannel wetlands and multi-channels control the characteristics of anastomosing rivers. To understand the role that interchannel wetlands play in the development of anastomosing rivers, a study was conducted on the Maqu Reach of the Upper Yellow River(MRUYR), a gravel-bed anastomosing river characterized by highly developed interchannel wetlands and anabranches. Geomorphologic units in the studied reach were extracted from high resolution satellite imagery in Google Earth. The size distributions of interchannel wetlands and interchannel wetland clusters(IWCs), a special combination of interchannel wetlands and anabranches, were investigated. Geomorphologic parameters, including the ratio of interchannel wetland area to IWC area(P), shoreline density(D_l), and node density(D_n) were used to analyze planform characteristics of IWCs and the development of multi-channels in the studied reach. The results suggest that small or middle sized interchannel wetlands and large or mega sized IWCs are more common at the study site. The area of IWC(S_u) is highly correlated with other geomorphologic parameters. P increases with increasing S_u, and the upper limit is about 80%, which indicates that the development of interchannel wetlands and anabranches in the IWC is in the equilibrium stage. In contrast, D_l and D_n show a tendency to decrease with increasing S u due to diverse evolution processes in IWCs with different sizes. There are three main reasons leading to the formation of IWCs: varying stream power due to the meandering principal channel; development of the river corridor due to the weakening of geologic structure control; and high stability of interchannel wetlands due to conservation by shoreline vegetation.     

长江宜昌-武汉河段泥沙年冲淤量对水沙变化的响应

运用泥沙收支平衡 (Sediment budget) 的概念确定长江中游宜昌-武汉河段的泥沙冲淤量,并运用数理统计方法,研究了泥沙冲淤过程对水沙变化的响应。研究表明,所研究河段的输沙具有“多来多排”的特性,在平均的意义上,年输入沙量为年输出沙量的1.1345倍,由此求得总净来沙中有11.85%淤积在河道中。河段出口输出沙量随时间而增大,大致在1980年达到峰值,然后再减小。1980年以前河段出口输出沙量的增大,与3口分沙减少 (等价于河段净来沙增多) 和下荆江人工裁弯 (使河道输沙能力增大,因而可以将更多的泥沙输送到河段出口以下) 有关,1980年以后的减少,则与宜昌站来沙量的显著减少有关。建立了1980~1997年间宜昌-汉口#河段年冲淤量与宜昌站年来沙量之间的回归方程,通过该方程估算出使宜昌-汉口河段不淤的宜昌站临界来沙量为3亿t/a。为了定量评价宜昌站的来水量和来沙量以及3口分水比和分沙比、宜昌站洪峰流量的变化对于河段冲淤量的相对贡献,我们以1980~1997年和1955~1997年两个时间系列的数据分别建立了多元回归方程。1980~1997年间的方程表明,宜昌站的来水量和来沙量以及3口分水比和分沙比、宜昌站洪峰流量的变化对宜昌-汉口河段年冲淤量的贡献率分别为6.23%、31.56%、25.77%、32.71%和3.73%。     

长江干流江苏段44年来河道冲淤变化的时空特征

通常认为气候变暖引起的海平面上升将导致下游河道的淤积, 流域水土保持和水库建设引起的上游来沙量的减少将导致下游河道的冲刷。然而, 长江下游河道是如何对海平面上升和上游来沙量的减少做出响应的, 至今还没有直接的确凿的证据。在地理信息技术支撑下, 对长江干流江苏段(约330 km) 5 个时期1:25000~1:60000 的河道地形图进行了数字化, 建立了1959、1970、1985、1992 和2003 年河道数字地形图, 对河道的冲淤变化进行了计算分析。 结果表明, 长江干流江苏段在1985 年前后发生过明显的河道冲淤转换: 由1959-1985 年之间的平均淤积状态转变为1985-2003 年之间的平均冲刷状态。主要原因是1985 年以后该河段的上游来沙量的减少。1959-1985 年之间长江干流江苏段河道的淤积过程, 存在着由上游向下游推进的“顺流堆积”现象。1985-2003 年之间, 下段冲刷速率大于中段和上段。     

近20年印度北阿坎德邦奈尼塔尔地区农业面积变化（英文）

本研究对印度北阿坎德邦奈尼塔尔地区的农业用地进行了时间序列分析。该研究基于Landsat5,Landsat7and Landsat8卫星图像数据,使用随机森林分类器对该区域近21年（2000–2021年）的农业和非农业土地进行分类。陆地卫星图像使用谷歌地球引擎（GEE）平台进行处理,随机森林分类器的选择则是基于随机森林（RF）、支持向量机（SVM）和分类与回归树（CART）之间的比较分析。对总体准确度、用户准确度、生产者准确度和Kappa系数进行了评估,以确定研究区域的最佳分类器。结果表明,2021年RF、SVM和CART的总体准确率分别为96.38%、94.44%和91.94%;类似地,RF、SVM和CART的Kappa系数分别为0.96、0.89和0.81。陆地卫星在农业和非农业地区的分类图像显示,该区域在21年间（2000–2021年）农业用地减少了4.71%。该研究还表明,过去4年（即2018–2021年）该区域农业面积下降幅度最大。本研究对于发展中国家了解农用地变化并采取适当措施以保护该地区的动植物非常重要。     

华北平原冬小麦种植面积变化及对地下水消耗的影响（英文）

The North China Plain is one of the most water-stressed areas in China. Irrigation of winter wheat mainly utilizes groundwater resources, which has resulted in severe environmental problems. Accurate estimation of crop water consumption and net irrigation water consumption is crucial to guarantee the management of agricultural water resources. An actual crop evapotranspiration(ET) estimation model was proposed, by combining FAO Penman-Monteith method with remote sensing data. The planting area of winter wheat has a significant impact on water consumption; therefore, the planting area was also retrieved. The estimated ET showed good agreement with field-observed ET at four stations. The average relative bias and root mean square error(RMSE) for ET estimation were –2.2% and 25.5 mm, respectively. The results showed the planting area and water consumption of winter wheat had a decreasing trend in the Northern Hebei Plain(N-HBP) and Southern Hebei Plain(S-HBP). Moreover, in these two regions, there was a significant negative correlation between accumulated net irrigation water consumption and groundwater table. The total net irrigation water consumption in the N-HBP and S-HBP accounted for 12.9×10~9 m~3 and 31.9×10~9 m~3 during 2001–2016, respectively. Before and after 2001, the decline rate of groundwater table had a decreasing trend, as did the planting area of winter wheat in the N-HBP and S-HBP. The decrease of winter wheat planting area alleviated the decline of groundwater table in these two regions while the total net irrigation water consumption was both up to 28.5×10~9 m~3 during 2001–2016 in the Northwestern Shandong Plain(NW-SDP) and Northern Henan Plain(N-HNP). In these two regions, there was no significant correlation between accumulated net irrigation water consumption and groundwater table. The Yellow River was able to supply irrigation and the groundwater table had no significant declining trend.     

2000年以来华北平原植被生产力和蒸散变化的归因分析（英文）

Quantifying the contributions of climate change and human activities to ecosystem evapotranspiration(ET)and gross primary productivity(GPP)changes is important for adaptation assessment and sustainable development.Spatiotemporal patterns of ET and GPP were estimated from 2000 to 2014 over North China Plain(NCP)with a physical and remote sensing-based model.The contributions of climate change and human activities to ET and GPP trends were separated and quantified by the first difference de-trending method and multivariate regression.Results showed that annual ET and GPP increased weakly,with climate change and human activities contributing 0.188 mm yr~(–2) and 0.466 mm yr~(–2) to ET trend of 0.654 mm yr~(–2),and–1.321 g C m~(–2) yr~(–2) and 7.542 g C m~(–2) yr~(–2) to GPP trend of 6.221 g C m~(–2) yr~(–2),respectively.In cropland,the increasing trends mainly occurred in wheat growing stage;the contributions of climate change to wheat and maize were both negative.Precipitation and sunshine duration were the major climatic factors regulating ET and GPP trends.It is concluded that human activities are the main drivers to the long term tendencies of water consumption and gross primary productivity in the NCP.     

三峡大坝下游水位变化与河道形态调整关系研究（英文）

In this study, data measured from 1955–2016 were analysed to study the relationship between the water level and river channel geometry adjustment in the downstream of the Three Gorges Dam(TGD) after the impoundment of the dam. The results highlight the following facts:(1) for the same flow, the low water level decreased, flood water level changed little, lowest water level increased, and highest water level decreased at the hydrological stations in the downstream of the dam;(2) the distribution of erosion and deposition along the river channel changed from "erosion at channels and deposition at bankfulls" to "erosion at both channels and bankfulls;" the ratio of low-water channel erosion to bankfull channel erosion was 95.5% from October 2002 to October 2015, with variations between different impoundment stages;(3) the low water level decrease slowed down during the channel erosion in the Upper Jingjiang reach and reaches upstream but sped up in the Lower Jingjiang reach and reaches downstream; measures should be taken to prevent the decrease in the channel water level;(4) erosion was the basis for channel dimension upscaling in the middle reaches of the Yangtze River; the low water level decrease was smaller than the thalweg decline; both channel water depth and width increased under the combined effects of channel and waterway regulations; and(5) the geometry of the channels above bankfulls did not significantly change; however, the comprehensive channel resistance increased under the combined effects of riverbed coarsening, beach vegetation, and human activities; as a result, the flood water level increased markedly and moderate flood to high water level phenomena occurred, which should be considered. The Three Gorges Reservoir effectively enhances the flood defense capacity of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River; however, the superposition effect of tributary floods cannot be ruled out.