农业干旱监测研究进展与展望

本文全面分析了农业干旱的概念内涵及其与其他干旱类型之间的关系,进而从基于站点监测和基于遥感监测两个方面,系统梳理了国内外农业干旱监测的近今进展,对比了不同干旱监测指标的适用范围和局限性;同时,通过文献统计和重要文献引用揭示了国内外农业干旱监测研究的发展历程和最新进展,即农业干旱监测指标从传统的单一气象监测指标逐渐向气象与遥感相结合的综合监测指标转变。最后,在分析农业干旱监测现有挑战和困境的基础上,将农业干旱监测未来发展趋向归纳为5点展望,即进一步明晰农业干旱发生机理和受旱过程、识别农业干旱影响因素及其相互作用关系、构建多时空尺度农业干旱监测模型、耦合农业干旱定性表征与定量评估模型以及提高农业干旱监测模型中遥感数据的应用水平。     

农业干旱业务化监测研究进展与展望

业务化农业干旱监测系统是农业干旱监测和预测以及农业风险评价和防范的有力工具,为了更好地促进农业干旱业务化监测的发展,系统回顾了基于气象变量、土壤湿度、植被状态和多变量等4类常用干旱指数,详细分析了美国、中国、欧洲和联合国粮食及农业组织等业务化农业干旱监测系统的特征,讨论了业务化农业干旱监测系统中存在的问题：如数据的质量及融合不稳定、综合干旱指数的构建不确定、监测的时间分辨率有待提高、缺乏考虑水文条件以及作物的生长过程等影响的问题。展望了未来农业干旱业务化监测,应从利用多源数据监测干旱、构建综合指标时需考虑区域时空差异及不同指标间的累积性和滞后性、加强机器及深度学习在综合指标构建中的作用、发展日时间尺度监测干旱以应对骤旱事件的发生、强化作物生长过程模型和先进的技术手段在干旱监测中的作用等方面深入发展。     

耕地撂荒研究进展与展望（英文）

Since the 1950 s, noteworthy farmland abandonment has been occurring in many developed countries and some developing countries. This global land use phenomenon has fundamentally altered extensive rural landscapes. A review of global farmland abandonment under the headings of "land use change – driving mechanisms – impacts and consequences – policy responses" found the following:(1) Farmland abandonment has occurred primarily in developed countries in Europe and North America, but the extent of abandonment has varied significantly.(2) Changing socio-economic factors were the primary driving forces for the farmland abandonment. And land marginalization was the fundamental cause, which was due to the drastic increase of farming opportunity cost, while the direct factor for abandonment was the shrink of agricultural labor forces.(3) Whether to abandon, to what extent and its spatial distributions were finally dependent on integrated effect from the physical conditions, laborer attributes, farming and regional socio-economic conditions at the village, household and parcel scales. With the exception of Eastern Europe, farmland abandonment was more likely to occur in mountainous and hilly areas, due to their unfavorable farming conditions.(4) A study of farmland abandonment should focus on its ecological and environmental effects, while which is more positive or more negative are still in dispute.(5) Increasing agricultural subsidies will be conductive to slowing the rate of farmland abandonment, but this is not the only measure that needs to be implemented. Due to China's rapid urbanization, there is a high probability that the rate of abandonment will increase in the near future. However, very little research has focused on this rapid land-use trend in China, and, as a result, there is an inadequate understanding of the dynamic mechanisms and consequences of this phenomenon. This paper concludes by suggesting some future directions for further research in China. These directions include monitoring regional and national abandonment dynamics, analyzing trends, assessing the risks and socio-economic effects of farmland abandonment, and informing policy making.     

近年来中国旅游地理学研究进展与展望（英文）

Based on a large number of domestic literature reviews with related research abroad, academic standards and issues awareness have been intensified in domestic tourism geography, disciplinary consciousness and innovation enhancement. Hence, some valuable achievements have been made in the areas of tourism resources, tourism regional system, the spatial structure of tourism, tourism flow, ecotourism, tourism industry, tourism planning and tourism impacts, which strengthened the traditional advantages of research, expanded new areas of research and made research trends diverse. Meanwhile, with innovation of research methods, tourism geography in China is getting more and more internationally-oriented and reflecting Chinese characteristics. Research trends of China's tourism geography are prospected: 1) Catering to national strategic needs, persisting problem-oriented, strengthening the metatheoretical research, and building Chinese "localization" of theory of tourism geography and method system. 2) Introducing and assimilating foreign theories and research methods, while focusing on explaining new tourism phenomena and problems in the domestic socio-economic background. 3) Concerning about the new regional spatial processes of demographic process, social process, and spatial process in new tourism trend. 4) Exploring interactive process and mechanism of man-land relationship and new models to develop territorial space under the tourism impacts. 5) Exploring important research issues of tourism geography in global, national, regional and local scales, from the point of view of spatial differentiation, scale transformation, interaction of man and nature, creating tourism geography interpretation system based on "process-structure-mechanism" of China. 6) Building theoretical system actively, while strengthening application-oriented research, and focusing on tourism poverty alleviation, tourism and heritage protection, national parks' construction and other hot issues. Faced with econometrics research boom, we should return to rational thinking, using big data scientifically, while paying attention to the important role of qualitative evaluation in future research.     

全球重要农业文化遗产（GIAHS）监测年度报告设计与应用（英文）

科学有效的监测不仅可以实现农业文化遗产自身的保护及其价值的维护,而且可以实现遗产地的可持续发展。为了促进我国的全球重要农业文化遗产(GIAHS)的保护与管理,本研究在GIAHS监测体系总体框架的基础上,提出了GIAHS监测年度报告的设计方案,并对我国第一个GIAHS项目——青田稻鱼共生系统进行了应用研究。在本研究的设计方案中,GIAHS监测年度报告由24个监测项目组成,各监测项目之间具有内在逻辑关联,由遗产地管理机构组织填报,并通过GIAHS动态监测系统实现上报。对青田稻鱼共生系统的研究结果表明:青田县采取了一系列遗产保护与发展措施,这些措施在遏制土地抛荒、提升农产品单位效益、增加农民收入等方面都产生了积极的效应;同时,遗产地也面临着旅游资源吸引力减弱、遗产经营人员老龄化、遗产经营收入有限等困境,需要采取措施加以改善。青田稻鱼共生系统的研究结果也对其他GIAHS有所启示,如应关注文创产品的发展、社区性组织的建设和自发性宣传能力的培养、推动建立遗产地之间的学习与交流机制等。GIAHS监测年度报告的设计与应用,不仅能为GIAHS监测工作的实地开展提供具体指导,还能为GIAHS保护与管理成效评估工作奠定基础。本研究有助于丰富GIAHS监测理论,进一步推动中国的GIAHS监测工作,也能为国际的GIAHS监测提供中国经验。     

基于土壤水分的农业干旱监测研究进展

土壤水分是评估农业干旱的关键变量。然而长期以来,由于缺乏大范围、高精度、长时间的土壤水分观测数据,基于土壤水分的农业干旱监测在实际应用中受到限制。近年来,随着遥感观测技术的发展,土壤水分数据的时空覆盖度和产品精度显著提升,基于土壤水分的农业干旱监测逐渐吸引更多的关注。论文系统归纳了站点观测与微波遥感观测的土壤水分数据特性,综述了目前基于土壤水分的3种农业干旱监测指标：基于长时间土壤水分序列的干旱指标、基于土壤水分与土壤水力学参数的干旱指标和基于土壤水分等多变量综合的干旱指标。最后,论文从提高土壤水分数据空间分辨率、加强农业干旱机制研究与完善农业干旱监测体系三方面提出基于土壤水分的农业干旱监测所面临的挑战与机遇,以期为未来的相关研究提供参考。     

水文监测和季节预报研究——进展与展望（英文）

Hydrological monitoring and seasonal forecasting is an active research field because of its potential applications in hydrological risk assessment, preparedness and mitigation. In recent decades, developments in ground and satellite measurements have made the hydrometeorological information readily available, and advances in information technology have facilitated the data analysis in a real-time manner. New progress in climate research and modeling has enabled the prediction of seasonal climate with reasonable accuracy and increased resolution. These emerging techniques and advances have enabled more timely acquisition of accurate hydrological fluxes and status, and earlier warning of extreme hydrological events such as droughts and floods. This paper gives current state-of-the-art understanding of the uncertainties in hydrological monitoring and forecasting, reviews the efforts and progress in operational hydrological monitoring system assisted by observations from various sources and experimental seasonal hydrological forecasting, and briefly introduces the current monitoring and forecasting practices in China. The grand challenges and perspectives for the near future are also discussed, including acquiring and extracting reliable information for monitoring and forecasting, predicting realistic hydrological fluxes and states in the river basin being significantly altered by human activity, and filling the gap between numerical models and the end user. We highlight the importance of understanding the needs of the operational water management and the priority to transfer research knowledge to decision-makers.     

近十年中国城乡转型与乡村发展研究进展和展望（英文）

Urban-rural transformation and rural development are issues at the forefront of research on the topic of the urban-rural relationship in the field of geography, as well as important practical problems facing China's new urbanization and overall planning of urban and rural development. The Center for Regional Agricultural and Rural Development, part of the Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research under the Chinese Academy of Sciences, was established in 2005. The Center has laid solid foundations for integrating research in the areas of agricultural geography and rural development in China over the past decade. The paper aims to review the major achievements in rural geographical research in China during the past decade, analyze innovative developments in relevant theories and methods, and suggest prospects and countermeasures for promoting comprehensive studies of urban-rural transformation and rural geography. The research shows that innovative achievements have been made in rural geography studies of China in the past decade as major national policy development, outputs of result and decision making support; new breakthroughs have been achieved in such major research projects as geographical integrated theory, land remediation projects and technology demonstration projects, new urbanization and urban-rural integration; significant progress has been made in actively expanding the frontiers of rural geography and pushing forward theoretical innovations in land and resource projects; and, with China's development goals of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects and achieving modernization in mind, future innovative developments in agricultural and rural geography should aim to make research more strategic, systematic, scientific and security-oriented, with attention given to promoting systematic scientific research on international cooperation and global rural geography.     

坡耕地径流与土壤侵蚀研究进展（英文）

土壤侵蚀一直是重要的全球性环境问题之一,而坡耕地的土壤侵蚀是坡地水土流失的主要源头。作为坡耕地的主要覆盖方式,作物对坡耕地径流和土壤侵蚀的发生和发展都产生了重要的影响。本文主要回顾了目前坡耕地径流和土壤侵蚀的影响因素,以及作物生长、降雨溅蚀及其空间分布等问题。作物主要影响了坡耕地雨滴溅蚀、坡面径流和侵蚀产沙,并且径流和土壤侵蚀还受降雨强度、坡度、土壤前期含水量、土壤表层物理结皮及土壤糙率等因素影响。不同作物对径流和土壤侵蚀的作用和影响机制,以及它们在不同外部条件下影响侵蚀的能力的变化,都将成为未来研究的重点。作物植被对坡地土壤侵蚀的影响是了解大规模土壤侵蚀系统的一个重要因素,对这一课题的深入研究对坡耕地径流和土壤侵蚀研究的理论和实践都具有重要意义。     

京津冀干旱时空演变规律分析（英文）

Spatio-temporal patterns of drought from 1961 to 2013 over the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei(BTH) region of China were analyzed using the Palmer Drought Severity index(PDSI) based on 21 meteorological stations. Overall, changes in the mean-state of drought detected in recent decades were due to decreases in precipitation and potential evapotranspiration. The Empirical Orthogonal Functions(EOF) method was used to decompose drought into spatio-temporal patterns, and the first two EOF modes were analyzed. According to the first leading EOF mode(48.5%), the temporal variability(Principal Components, PC1) was highly positively correlated with annual series of PDSI(r=+0.99). The variance decomposition method was further applied to explain the inter-decadal temporal and spatial variations of drought relative to the total variation. We find that 90% of total variance was explained by time variance, and both total and time variance dramatically decreased from 1982 to 2013. The total variance was consistent with extreme climate events at the inter-decadal scale(r=0.71, p0.01). Comparing the influence of climate change on the annual drought in two different long-term periods characterized by dramatic global warming(P1: 1961–1989 and P2: 1990–2013), we find that temperature sensitivity in the P2 was three times more than that in the P1.     

中国可持续发展研究进展（英文）

Sustainable development has always been a hotspot in Chinese geographical research. Herein, we conduct a systematic statistical analysis of the contribution of Chinese geographers to sustainable development research using bibliometric methods. Based on the review of a vast amount of literature, we identify the main research teams, research funding sources, journals, and key research fields. The findings are as follows:(1) the resources and environmental institutes of the Chinese Academy of Sciences have a significant influence on sustainable development research;(2) China's central government foundations(the National Natural Science Foundation of China and National Social Sciences Fund) are the main research funding sources;(3) most of the highly cited articles are published in journals sponsored by the Geographical Society of China; and(4) sustainable development theory and its research areas are being constantly enriched and perfected. Based on the statistics of keywords, the theory, research methods, research regional scales, and key research areas are summarized and expounded.     

农业文化遗产地旅游研究进展与展望(英文)

农业文化遗产是世界遗产的重要类型,存在于特有的生态系统和文化系统之中。它是一种活态的遗产,因此,需要在发展中对其进行保护。作为农业文化遗产动态保护的有效途径之一,合理的旅游开发能够兼顾遗产的保护与发展,实现对传统农业生产系统的可持续管理。本文在对目前联合国粮农组织命名的全球重要农业文化遗产和列入联合国教科文组织世界遗产中的农业遗产进行梳理归纳的基础上,辨析此类遗产地旅游的概念范畴,总结了农业文化遗产旅游的研究的主要内容。当前,我国的相关研究主要集中在资源评价与开发、产品设计与市场营销、旅游感知以及旅游开发影响等方面。今后农业文化遗产地旅游研究可以在遗产地旅游利益共享机制、旅游演化机理、旅游的生态环境影响以及研究方法上进一步深入和完善,以启发理论并服务于实践。     

青藏高原生态学研究的回顾与展望（英文）

青藏高原是地球的"第三极",是全球海拔最高的生物地理单元。由于其高、寒、旱的生物环境特征,高寒生态系统对气候变化和人类活动非常敏感,为全球变化研究提供了天然的实验室,一直受到国内外专家重视,是生态学和全球变化研究的热点区域。青藏高原生态学研究经历了从朴素认识到机理研究的理论升华,从生物地理格局的科学考察到生态学机理定位研究的范式转变,从个体、群落到生态系统及多学科综合研究的尺度延伸,以及从理论研究到支撑资源有效利用与可持续发展的发展轨迹。今后青藏高原生态系统研究将更加聚焦于量化辨识气候变暖和人类活动对生态系统的影响,以及高原生态系统对气候变化的反馈作用研究。加强与自然地理、环境科学和遥感技术多学科、多技术、模型融合的交叉与集成研究,服务于气候变化的适应及生态-社会系统的可持续发展。     

农业干旱风险研究进展

农业干旱风险分析是近年来兴起的一个新的研究领域,这一研究不仅是农业旱灾风险管理的基础和前提,也是农业干旱风险区划和灾前损失预评估的理论基础。本文系统阐述了农业旱灾风险的内涵及构成要素、风险分析体系及研究现状,在此基础上指出,依据自然灾害风险分析基本原理,从农业旱灾危害性以及承灾体脆弱性角度系统地建立农业旱灾综合风险分析程序框架和指标体系,尤其是开发针对每一风险要素的、动态的数学模型和指标体系是当前干旱灾害风险时空格局研究的当务之急。     

中国交通地理研究进展（英文）

As an important branch of human geography, transportation geography has experienced three periods of evolution: foundation, systematization, and rapid development of the discipline. It has gradually become a relatively mature discipline. During the period 1930– 1980, the development of transportation geography consisted mainly of the publication of theoretical texts. During 1980–2000, it gradually became a systematic discipline. Since the start of the 21 st century, transportation geography has focused mainly on exploring the impacts of transportation on socio-economic development. Currently, studies on transportation geography have led to significant developments in a number of areas, including transportation theory, facility distribution and planning, transportation flows and network analysis, evaluation of transport modes, transportation planning, and simulation and assessment of urban transportation. Such studies have also enriched human geography research, provided a wider geographical overview and elucidated the development mechanism of transportation, as well as helped to understand the impacts of transport development on socio-economic systems. Some findings obtained by geographers have been widely used in transportation geography and related fields, including the four basic laws of transportation generation, the hub–spoke mode of transport organization, the subordinating and guiding functions of transportation on socio-economic development, regional transport dominance measures, accessibility measures, and spatial organization of port systems.     

中国经济地理学研究进展（英文）

Economic geography in China's mainland has developed in a different way from that in many other countries. On the one hand, it has been increasingly active in participating in academic dialogues and knowledge development led by Anglophone countries; on the other hand, it takes practice-based and policy-oriented research, i.e. satisfying the demands from the Chinese government and society, as the linchpin of research. Since there has been a lot of literature reviewing the development of economic geography in the country before the new millennium, this paper will make a comprehensive analysis of the discipline in 2000–2015, based on a bibliometric survey and research projects done by Chinese economic geographers. The analysis indicates that(1) economic geography research in China's mainland is unevenly distributed but concentrated in several leading institutions;(2) traditional research fields like human-nature system, regional disparity, industrial location and transportation geography remain dominant while new topics such as globalization, multinational corporations and foreign direct investments, information and communication technology, producer services, climate change and carbon emission emerge as important research areas;(3) Chinese economic geography is featured by policy-oriented research funded by government agencies, having considerable impacts on regional policy making in China, both national and regional. To conclude, the paper argues that the development of economic geography in China's mainland needs to follow a dual track in the future, i.e. producing knowledge for the international academic community and undertaking policy-oriented research to enhance its role as a major consulting body for national, regional and local development.     

中国产业地理研究进展（英文）

The expansion and upgrading of Chinese industries have accompanied with the spatial restructuring process across the country. This paper provides a literature review on China's industrial geography, paying special attention to industrial agglomeration and industrial clusters. The increasing industrial agglomeration and development of industrial clusters have been the prominent characteristics of dynamics of industrial landscape in China. The major driving forces of China's industrial geography include economic globalization, decentralization and regional competition and rebuilding of regional advantages. This paper concludes with a discussion of future research focus.     

中国数字地形学研究进展（英文）

Geomorphometry,the science of digital terrain analysis(DTA),is an important focus of research in both geomorphology and geographical information science(GIS).Given that 70% of China is mountainous,geomorphological research is popular among Chinese scholars,and the development of GIS over the last 30 years has led to significant advances in geomorphometric research.In this paper,we review Chinese progress in geomorphometry based on the published literature.There are three major areas of progress:digital terrain modelling methods,DTA methods,and applications of digital terrain models(DTMs).First,traditional vector-and raster-based terrain modelling methods,including the assessment of uncertainty,have received widespread attention.New terrain modelling methods such as unified raster and vector,high-fidelity,and real-time dynamic geographical scene modelling have also attracted research attention and are now a major focus of digital terrain modelling research.Second,in addition to the popular DTA methods based on topographical derivatives,geomorphological features,and hydrological factors extracted from DTMs,DTA methods have been extended to include analyses of the structure of underlying strata,ocean surface features and even socioeconomic spatial structures.Third,DTMs have been applied to fields including global climate change,analysis of various typical regions,lunar surface and other related fields.Clearly,Chinese scholars have made significant progress in geomorphometry.Chinese scholars have had the greatest international impact in areas including high-fidelity digital terrain modelling and DTM-based regional geomorphological analysis,particularly in the Loess Plateau and the Tibetan Plateau regions.     

湖北省农业生态安全评价（英文）

随着我国农业生态文明建设的推进,农业生态安全也日益受到重视。如何确保农业生态的安全,已经成为不少学者关注的话题。湖北省作为我国重要的农业大省、全国粮食生产基地,确保其农业生态安全对全国粮食安全与农业可持续发展具有重要意义。本文首先运用层次分析法(AHP)与"压力—状态—响应"(PSR)模型构建湖北省农业生态安全评价指标体系与安全等级,接着将2015年全国农业生态安全平均值作为基数,对湖北省农业生态安全进行评价,发现其安全度从2005年的0.90150提升到了2015年的0.97716,提高了0.07566,但没有达到全国的平均值。这说明湖北省农业生态安全虽然得到改善,但是压力还很大,安全度还有待提升。特别是人均水资源量、人口密度、单位面积耕地农药负荷、森林覆盖率、草地退化率、年均降水量等部分指标还呈现恶化趋势。基于此,我们对影响湖北省农业生态安全的因素进行了分析,发现人口布局不合理、农业不当的生产行为、农业自然灾害、农业生态技术的缺失是主要因素。最后,笔者从影响因素层面提出了提升湖北省农业生态安全度的对策建议,希望以此来改善农业生态安全。     

中国人文与经济地理学研究回顾与展望（英文）

The "High-Level Forum of the Development of China's Human Geography Under the Background of Change" was held in Beijing on January 22-23, 2016. More than 30 professors attended this forum. At this conference, they discussed the major progress made towards developing China's human geography, as well as the existing problems, limiting factors, opportunities, international collaborations, emerging directions, and prospects in the development of this discipline. In recent years human geography has boomed, generating many important opportunities for its development. Establishing an academic community for joint research on major research issues and collaborative innovation is a promising and important route to take. We should embrace both domestic and international characteristics, to promote China's human geography onto the world stage. Meanwhile, the cultivation of various scholarly talents is also of great value to enrich and advance the discipline.