Quadrant characteristics of earthquake precursors and its theoretical analysis

IntroductionMigration and inhomogeneity are important two of the characteristics in the temporal-spatial distribution of earthquake precursors, which have been dealt with by MEI, et al (1993) comprehensively with their proposed explanation. The obvious quadrant feature in spatial distribution of earthquake precursors has been drawn with the explanation for its mechanism developed in some case studies in recent years. This paper deals mainly with the quadrant features derived from the analysis…     

Subarea characteristics of earthquake types in Yunnan

Studies on the earthquake sequences and the source mechanisms of the strong earthquakes show that Yunnan hasmore obvious subarea characteristics of earthquake type.Strike-slip seismic fault and mainshock-aftershockearthquake sequences are dominant in whole Yunnan area.Considering the ratio of non strike-slip faults and nonmainshock-aftershock,Yunnan area can be divided into four subareas with different characteristics,which arestrike-slip mainshock-aftershock in central Yunnan(A1),incline-slip swarm in northwestern Yunnan(A2),strike-slip double shocks in western Yunnan(B1)and quasi-strike-slip mainshock-aftershock in southwestern Yun-nan(B2),respectively.     

Spectrum characteristics of geoelectric field variation

The spectrum characteristics of geoelectric diurnal variation and geoelectric storm have been identified by maximum entropy method, based on geoelectric data from seven stations in the Chinese mainland, including Jiayuguan, Changli and Chongming. The study shows that, in geoelectric diurnal variation, the amplitude of the 12 h semidiurnal wave is the largest, followed in turn by the 24~25 h diurnal wave and the 8 h periodic wave; Geoelectric storm usually occurs in a large-scale space, whose spectrum values are higher than those of geoelectric diurnal variation by 2~3 orders of magnitude. A preliminary interpretation is presented for the generative mechanism of predominant waves in geoelectric field variation.     

Geometrical textures of faults，evolution of physical field and instability characteristics

Ｇｅｏｍｅｔｒｉｃａｌｔｅｘｔｕｒｅｓｏｆｆａｕｌｔｓ，ｅｖｏｌｕｔｉｏｎｏｆｐｈｙｓｉｃａｌｆｉｅｌｄａｎｄｉｎｓｔａｂｉｌｉｔｙｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓＪＩＮＭＡ（马瑾），ＳＨＥＮＧ－ＬＩＭＡ（马胜利），ＬＩ－ＱＩＡＮＧＬＩＵ（刘力强），Ｚ...     

Seismogenic structure and rupture characteristics of the M_S=4.8 Jingyang earthquake

Introduction An earthquake of MS=4.8 occurred near Yongle town, Jingyang county, Shaanxi Province on January 5, 1998. Its epicenter is 34.5篘, 108.9篍, origin time is 09h36min (Beijing time), focal depth is 14 km, intensity is >VI and its perceptibility is great in Xian city. The eastern part of Guanzhong in Shaanxi Province is the key earthquake monitoring area in China, and many great earthquakes occurred here in history. This earthquake is the greatest in the past forty years in Shaa…     

Comparison and analysis of the stress field in the source region of Tangshan and Lancang earthquake sequences

ＣｏｍｐａｒｉｓｏｎａｎｄａｎａｌｙｓｉｓｏｆｔｈｅｓｔｒｅｓｓｆｉｅｌｄｉｎｔｈｅｓｏｕｒｃｅｒｅｇｉｏｎｏｆＴａｎｇｓｈａｎａｎｄＬａｎｃａｎｇｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓｅｑｕｅｎｃｅｓＧｕｉ－ＬｉｎｇＤＩＡＯ；（刁桂苓）Ｌｉ－ＭｉｎＹＵ；（于利民）...     

The characteristics of tectonic stress field about strike slip earthquake－generating structure in the Chinese mainland

（环文林，汪素云，宋昭仪）Ｔｈｅｃｈａｒａｃｔｅｒｉｓｔｉｃｓｏｆｔｅｃｔｏｎｉｃｓｔｒｅｓｓｆｉｅｌｄａｂｏｕｔｓｔｒｉｋｅｓｌｉｐｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅ－ｇｅｎｅｒａｔｉｎｇｓｔｒｕｃｔｕｒｅｉｎｔｈｅＣｈｉｎｅｓｅｍａｉｎｌａｎｄ￥Ｗｅｎ－Ｌｉｎ...     

Distribution characteristics of historical earthquake classes in Jiangsu Province and South Huanghai Sea region

Introduction In the region of Jiangsu Province and South Huanghai Sea, only 14 M4.7 earthquakes (ex-cluding aftershocks and other main shocks in the swarm) occurred from 1970 when microseismic observation net was built. It is very difficult to objectively distinguish the law of earthquake series distribution in a region based on these data. However, from the antiquity in China, Jiangsu is an area with flourish economy and a galaxy of talent and culture. In Jiangsu, historical data are so c…     

Study on simulation of spatial correlative earthquake ground motion field

ＳｔｕｄｙｏｎｓｉｍｕｌａｔｉｏｎｏｆｓｐａｔｉａｌｃｏｒｒｅｌａｔｉｖｅｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｇｒｏｕｎｄｍｏｔｉｏｎｆｉｅｌｄＸＩＡＯ－ＪＵＮＬＩ（李小军）ＦＥＮＧ－ＸＩＮＺＨＡＯ（赵凤新）ＹＵ－ＸＩＡＮＨＵ（胡聿贤）ＩｎｓｔｉｔｕｔｅｏｆＧｅｏ...     

Seismogenic model of earthquakes in groups in tectonic block and analysis for some features of earthquake precursory field

Ｓｅｉｓｍｏｇｅｎｉｃｍｏｄｅｌｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓｉｎｇｒｏｕｐｓ　ｉｎｔｅｃｔｏｎｉｃｂｌｏｃｋａｎｄａｎａｌｙｓｉｓｆｏｒｓｏｍｅｆｅａｔｕｒｅｓｏｆｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｐｒｅｃｕｒｓｏｒｙｆｉｅｌｄＧｕｏ－ＭｉｎＺＨＡＮＧ；Ｌｕ－Ｍｉｎ...     

Random field characteristics of seismic zoning map

How to test the reasonability of the seismic zoning map with probabilistic means is the most concerned problem. So far, there were no good methods to test zoning map using actual intensity data. Firstly, the author suggest the concept of random field, then proved that the average value of the randomifield is ergodic by using Monte Carlo method, therefor the spatial average tend to be the average of the random field with probability of the zoning map. Thus, a method of testing seismic zoning map with probabilistic means using spatial distributing samples of intensity caused by actual earthquakes was provided. The Chinese seismic zoning map made in 1990 was tested using recent 15 years and 50 years intensity samples. The results shows that this zoning map is reasonable. The method provided in this paper can be used in other circumstance in which random field methods were used. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,15, 53–60, 1993.     

汶川地震对芦山地震及周边 断层发震概率的影响

大震后区域静态库仑应力变化常常被用于解释区域地震活动性速率的变化、 主震断层外余震的发生以及即将失稳断层的地震发生概率的变化. 2013年4月20日芦山M_S7.0地震的发生重新引起了对2008年5月12日汶川M_S8.0大地震的热议. 利用含(滑移)速率和状态的摩擦定律, 结合汶川大地震前后的地震活动性水平, 定量化计算了汶川地震后雅安地区发震概率的变化, 并着重解释了芦山地震发震的可能根源. 此外, 还对库仑应力明显增加的鲜水河断层和熊坡断层进行了发震概率的定量化计算, 计算结果与中国地震台网中心的地震目录基本符合. 鲜水河断层从汶川地震后至今近5年来未发生M>6.0地震, 而M>6.0的发震概率已约为60%; 熊坡断层自汶川地震以来尚未发生M>4.0地震, 芦山地震后M>4.0的发震概率已接近90%. 所以, 我们认为鲜水河断层附近将成为M>6.0地震的重点防范地区, 熊坡地区将来仍旧存在发生中强地震的危险性.     

小地震发生率和累计次数变化的理论解释及应用实例

对区域小地震发生率和累计次数的变化进行了理论解释, 可以得到小地震的发生率和累计次数与区域应变能量积累速度呈正比, 并且发生率取不同值及累计次数曲线斜率产生变化时, 区域应变能量的积累状态不同。 并针对祁连山-六盘山地震带的不同小区域计算了小地震的累计次数及发生率, 表明在中强以上地震发生前, 区域小地震累计次数曲线斜率及发生率均会发生变化, 显示中强以上地震发生前, 其区域应力状态会发生改变。     

Relation between the evolution of seismic apparent strain field and the region of strong earthquake occurrence

IntroductionTheearthquakepredictionresearchisanexplorationprocesswhichcarriesonthepredictionofthethreeelementsofearthquake(i.e.time,locationandmagnitude)basedonthescientificobservationandbyrecognizingthelawandessentialityofearthquakeoccurrence(HUANG,1990),ofwhich,thecorrectforecastofthelocationofearthquakeoccurrenceisdirectlyrelatedtothesocialeffectoftheanti-shockanddisasterrelief.Theaccuratejudgmentoftheregionofmacroseismoccurrenceisnotonlyfavorabletocarryoutthepursuingofseismicregimetenden…     

随机溶洞介质模型及其波场模拟

提出了一种模拟构造随机溶洞介质模型的新方法.从现有的随机介质模型理论出发,以混合型连续随机介质的每一个局部最大值点作为一个溶洞分布区的中心点,本文引入了溶洞分布区的局部半径d和溶洞面积p这两个模型特征量,采用阀值截取方法模拟构造各种不同形式的随机溶洞介质模型.用局部半径d描述溶洞介质在大尺度上的离散程度,用溶洞面积p描述在各个溶洞分布区中溶洞介质的面积.通过选择从不同的混合型连续随机介质模型出发,选择不同的局部半径d和溶洞面积p,使用阀值截取法,我们可以最终得到能灵活、准确地描述实际复杂溶洞介质的各种随机溶洞介质模型.本文最后在各种不同形式的随机溶洞介质模型中,作了平面弹性波自激自收记录的数值模拟,并得出了一些结论.     

地震现场工作刍议

简要回顾了随着我国社会经济的发展, 地震现场工作经历的5个发展历程。 随后从人员、 技术、 制度、 装备、 体能和心理等方面概述了震前应急准备工作, 详细介绍了地震现场的震情分析预报、 地震监测、 地震紧急救援、 地震灾害损失评估、 科学考察、 建筑物安全鉴定、 现场通信保障、 地震宣传和后勤保障等各项工作的主要内容、 遵循的工作依据和技术规范及须注意的问题。     

地震活动性参数b值和年发生率的一种取值方法

介绍了一种将历史地震与现代小震统计结果相协调,去不可靠或不稳定数据段确定地震活动性参数ｂ值,以及通过不同震级下限地震频度的时间滑动分析,选取现今与历史相近,且具较高震级下限的统计结果,推算４级以上地震年发生度ｖ４的方法。计算给出了东南沿海地震带及其南带,北带的ｂ值和ｖ４值。     

非齐次复合 Poisson地震发生概率模型研究

依据现有地震发生概率模型合理性与局限性以及地震估计的基本思想提出五类非齐次复合 Poisson 地震发生概率模型,阐述各模型的基本特点及可能实用的前提。 以华北地区的地震序列为例大致模拟了不同阶段的地震发生概率水平,分析表明非齐次复合 Poisson 地震发生概率模型更能反映地震发生的时间不均匀性。     

Research on determining the annual earthquake occurrence rates of potential seismic source areas

To actually reflect the seismic temporal-spatial inhomogeneity of intra continental strong earthquakes of North China in seismic hazard analysis, several seismological and geological characteristics have been selected and quantized to describe the seismicity features in time and space of every magnitude interval with the thought of dividing the interesting magnitude range into several intervals and using of spatial probability distribution function. A component analysis method with orthogonal transformation is introduced to avoid the repeated use of the same element and the subjective effects in determining the annual earthquake occurrence rates of earthquake. By passing synthetic fuzzy judgement on the nonintercorrelated new characteristics, the annual occurrence rates of every magnitude interval of each potential source area are obtained associated with the adjustments of earthquake reducing process after the occurrence ofM>7 quake. An intensity map of the Beijing-Tianjin-Zhangjiakou area is calculated as an example which shows a close coincidence with the seismic temporal-spatial inhomogeneity of North China. The Chinese version of this paper appeared in the Chinese edition ofActa Seismologica Sinica,13, 496–504, 1991.