MIROC_Hires模式模拟我国极端降水非均匀性在CO2浓度增加下的响应

利用日本东京大学气候系统研究中心、日本环境研究所和日本地球环境研究中心联合研制的全球海气耦合气候系统模式(MIROC_Hires)输出的逐日降水资料,探讨CO2浓度增加下我国极端降水非均匀性的响应及其可能机制。结果表明:(1)就气候平均而言,CO2浓度增加后,我国南部地区极端降水事件的发生更为集中,而北方地区的极端降水事件分布较平均。(2)从年际变率来看,我国南部地区极端降水事件集中度在"A1B试验"中偏小,年际之间的差异不大,而北方地区的极端降水集中度增加,年际之间变化剧烈。(3)CO2浓度增加后,南方和北方地区在水平和垂直上的增温幅度不一致,且整层大气平均的稳定度呈现出南北反相差异。这种不均匀增暖的分布很可能是导致我国极端降水非均匀性在CO2浓度增加后变化的原因。     

CO2浓度渐增对气温影响的敏感性试验

使用辐射对流模式,研究了中纬度冬季气温对于CO₂浓度变化的敏感性。结果表明:气温变幅随CO₂浓度渐增呈现先快后慢的非线性特征;气温变幅具有一定的稳定性。     

OBSERVATION AND INVESTIGATION OF VARIABILITIES OF BASELINE CO2 CONCENTRATION OVER WALIGUAN MOUNTAIN IN QINGHAI PROVINCE OF CHINA*

In-situ measurement of atmospheric CO₂ was made at the top of the Waliguan Mountain(36°17'N,100°54'E,3816 m asl).where the air is not directly affected by the local anthropogenic and natural sources,by using a nondispersive infrared(NDIR)analyzer and following the procedures proposed by WMO.The CO₂ in the flask samples collected on the mountain was also analyzed in a laboratory.The measurements uncover the daily,monthly and seasonal variabilities and the baseline level of the CO₂ in the air over the "clean" area of Chinese hinterland.Results suggest that the CO₂ concentration over the East Asia continent has evident periodical variation,similar to that of global distribution.In 1992,an annual mean baseline CO₂ concentration of 356.4 ppm over the continent was obtained.The annual mean value was 357.2 ppm for 1993.Some relationships between the CO₂ concentration at Waliguan and the weather conditions,especially,wind speed and direction are found through the observation.     

A DIAGNOSTIC EXPERIMENTAL STUDY OF EFFECTS OF CO2 ENRICHMENT ON COTTON GROWTH, DEVELOPMENT AND YIELD

A series of experiments were conducted about the effects of different CO₂ concentrations and ventilating time on cotton using OPT-1 open top chambers.The results show that.for all the ventilating treatments,the development stages of cotton were advanced,plant height increased,the biomass of root and stalk increased when CO₂ concentration increased:the number of bolls formed in summer was more than 85% of the total for the treatment of 700 ppm CO₂ concentration;single boll weight,the number of bolls per plant,ginned and unginned cotton weights,and stalk weight increased obviously when CO₂ concentration increased,but the influences of CO₂ enrichment on the ratio of ginned weight to the total weight of ginned and unginned cotton,fibre length and ginned weight of 100-seed were small.     

CONCENTRATION AND FLUX OF CO2, TURBULENCE FLUXES AND RADIATION BALANCE IN THE NEAR SURFACE LAYER OVER WHEAT FIELD

The gradient of CO₂ concentration, photosynthetically active radiation(PAR). net radiation.soil heat flux, profiles of wind speed, and air temperature and humidity were measured above a wheat field during May and June 1985 at Beijing Agro-Ecosystems Experimental Station. Beijing,China. Fluxes of carbon dioxide, sensible heat, latent heat and momentum were calculated by using the aerodynamic method. The observation site. equipment, calibration techniques, the errors associated with the measurement, and the computational procedures are described. The results show that the diurnal variations of amplitude of CO₂ concentrations were 103.8 to 27. 0.86. 3 to 22.8 and 69.8 to 11.6 ppm:the average CO₂ concentrations were 331.5. 339.9 and 364.6 ppm for the photosynthesis type, and 369.6. 364.0 and 375.2 ppm for the respiration type at 1. 2 and 10 m above surface, respectively, from May 14 to June 15. In the daytime, transfer direction of the CO₂ fluxes and gradients is from air to crop canopy, and at noon(1100 to 1300 BT(Beijing Time)) the transfer rate reaches negative maximum value. At night, transfer of CO₂ fluxes and gradients is in the reversed direction and reaches positive maximum in the early morning(0400 to 0600 BT). There are strong negative correlations between CO₂ flux and the net radiation(R_n),available energy(H+LE). photosynthetically active radiation(PAR) and momentum flux(τ).     

江苏地区二氧化碳浓度时空分布特征分析

利用瓦里关和上甸子大气本底站观测的月平均CO₂浓度数据对GOSAT卫星反演的CO₂浓度数据进行验证,结果表明GOSAT产品与台站观测数据有较好的一致性.利用2009年6月—2011年5月GOSAT反演的CO₂浓度数据,分析了江苏地区CO₂浓度的时空变化特征,结果表明:1)975 hPa高度层CO₂浓度高于850 hPa高度层,CO₂浓度的水平变化要小于垂直变化;2)在季节变化上,CO₂浓度冬季最高,夏季最低,这可能与植被光合作用的强弱变化有关;比较前后两年的CO₂浓度数据,夏季和秋季的增速较快,冬季和春季的增速较慢;3)在日变化上,发现徐州和南京站02时CO₂浓度最高,14时CO₂浓度最低,这可能也与植被光合作用的强弱有关.     

海洋对人为CO2吸收的三维模式研究

文中用包含海洋化学过程和一个简单生物过程的三维碳循环模式模拟了海洋对大气CO₂的吸收,并分析了碳吸收的纬度分布。模拟工业革命以来海洋对大气CO₂的吸收表明:海洋碳吸收再加上大气CO₂的增加只占由化石燃料燃烧、森林砍伐和土地利用的变化而释放到大气中的CO₂的2/3。1980～1989年期间海洋年平均吸收2.05GtC。海洋人为CO₂的吸收有明显的纬度特征。模式计算的海洋CO₂的吸收在总量与纬度分布上与观测结果比较相符。     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF THE INFLUENCE OFO3,CO2 AND SPECTRUM VARIATION ON THE PHOTOSYNTHESIS OF CROP CANOPY*

Coupled the photosynthesis with transpiration and adjustment of stoma,a dynamic ecological model for simulating the canopy photosynthesis of winter wheat was established by scaling up from the biochemical scale to canopy scale,in which the effects of O₃,CO₂ and solar spectrum on crop photosynthesis were fully considered.Validation of the model against the data measured with CI-301PS portable photosynthesis analyzer showed that the leaf photosynthesis model passed the correlation significance test and had a fairly high accuracy.Numerical analysis showed that the canopy photosynthesis rate would be reduced by 29% if the O₃ concentration increases from 0 ppbv to 200 ppbv,whereas the canopy photosynthesis rate would increase by about 37% while the CO₂ concentration increases from 330 ppmv to 660 ppmv,and the canopy photosynthesis rate would be reduced by 27%0 or so under the condition that the spectrum coefficient changed from 0.5 to 0.4.If the O₃ concentration reached 200 ppbv at noon on the typical sunny day with higher radiation,the canopy photosynthesis will be reduced slightly in the suburb area where the pollution is serious and the photochemical fog is easy to be formed,contrast with that in the clear region and regardless of the climate change,due to the fact that the positive effect of CO₂ on crop photosynthesis can not compensate the negative effect of O₃ on crop photosynthesis.The canopy photosynthesis will be reduced by 35% or so than the BASE value at present,when the spectrum of photosynthetic active radiation(PAR) reduces to 0.4 or so.     

Effects of an Urban Park and Residential Area on the Atmospheric CO2 Concentration and Flux in Seoul, Korea

The CO₂ concentrations and fluxes over an urban forest site (Namsan) and an urban residential region (Boramae) in Seoul, Korea, during the non-growing season (2–4 March 2011), the growing season (10–12 June 2011), and the late-growing season (22–24 September 2011) were analyzed. The CO₂ concentrations of two sites showed nearly the same diurnal variation, with a maximum value occurring during the night and a minimum value occurring during daytime, as well as the same seasonal variation, with a maximum value during the non-growing season (early spring) and a minimum value during the growing season (summer). The CO₂ flux over the urban forest did not show any typical diurnal variation during the non-growing season, but did show diurnal variation with a small positive value during the night and a large negative value during daytime in the growing and late-growing seasons due to photosynthesis in the urban forest. The CO₂ flux over the urban residential region showed a positive daily mean value for all periods, with large values during the non-growing season and small values during the growing season, and it also showed diurnal variation with two maxima at 0600–1000 LST and 1800–2400 LST, and two minima at 0300-0600 LST and 1100-1500 LST, and was strongly correlated with the use of liquefied natural gas for cooking and heating by surrounding houses.     

大气CO2浓度升高及气候变化对作物冠层光合影响的数值模拟

利用美国Licor-6200光合作用测定仪,对黄淮海地区代表性冬小麦品种鲁麦23号叶片光合作用速率进行了较为全面的测定,分别确定了冬小麦叶片光—光合作用响应曲线和CO₂—光合作用响应曲线,在此基础上,建立了叶片光合作用模式,并进而建立了一个具有瞬时时间尺度,空间积分为叶片尺度的冬小麦冠层模式,利用模式分别分析了大气中CO₂浓度升高和温度变化对冠层光合作用的不同影响,并在此基础上进一步进行了综合数值分析。单因子分析表明:晴天状况下,冠层光合速率随CO₂浓度升高而上升,当CO₂浓度由330×10^-6上升至660×10^-6时,冠层光合日总量可增加19.7%;冠层光合速率随辐射增加而增大,辐射量增加10.0%,冠层光合日总量可增加6.7%;冠层光合速率随温度升高而下降,温度升高1℃,冠层光合日总量减少2.9%。多因子综合数值分析表明:在辐射量较大的气候背景下,冠层光合日总量对温度和CO₂变化响应更加敏感。本文的实测数据为研究气候变化对中国农业影响提供了最基本的可靠模型参数,冠层光合模型为未来改进作物模型提供了理论基础。     

钢铁工业CO2的排放现状及主要的捕集方法

简要讨论了目前CO₂等温室气体的危害、钢铁工业CO₂的排放现状及来源,并针对我国钢铁行业的发展状况,分析了温室气体CO₂的捕集方法.     

Multi-Model Projection of July–August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO_2 Doubling. Part II: Temperature

This is the second part of the authors’ analysis on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models (20C3M) experiment and 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment (to doubling) (1pctto2x) of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP3). The study focuses on the potential changes of July–August temperature extremes over China. The pattern correlation coefficients of the simulated temperature with the observations are 0.6–0.9, which are higher than the results for precipitation. However, most models have cold bias compared to observation, with a larger cold bias over western China (>5°C) than over eastern China (<2°C). The multi-model ensemble (MME) exhibits a significant increase of temperature under the 1pctto2x scenario. The amplitude of the MME warming shows a northwest–southeast decreasing gradient. The warming spread among the models (～1°C– 2°C) is less than MME warming (～2°C–4°C), indicating a relatively robust temperature change under CO 2 doubling. Further analysis of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 (GFDL-CM2.1) simulations suggests that the warming pattern may be related to heat transport by summer monsoons. The contrast of cloud effects also has contributions. The different vertical structures of warming over northwestern China and southeastern China may be attributed to the different natures of vertical circulations. The deep, moist convection over southeastern China is an effective mechanism for "transporting" the warming upward, leading to more upper-level warming. In northwestern China, the warming is more surface-orientated, possibly due to the shallow, dry convection.     

锡林浩特草原CO2通量特征及其影响因素分析

利用锡林浩特国家气候观象台开路涡度相关系统、辐射土壤观测系统,测得的长期连续通量观测数据,对锡林浩特草原2009—2011年期间的CO₂通量观测特征进行了分析。结果表明:CO₂通量存在明显的年际、季节和日变化特征。3 a中NEE年际变率达到200 g·m^-2,季节变率最大达到460 g·m^-2,日变化幅度生长季最大达到0.25 mg·m^-2·s^-1。通过不同时间尺度碳通量与温度、水分、辐射等环境因子的分析,认为CO₂通量日变化主要受温度和光合有效辐射影响,而季节变化和年变化主要受降水和土壤含水量的影响。降水强度及时间分布是制约牧草CO₂吸收的关键因素,大于15%的土壤含水量有利于促进牧草生长。     

膜基—气体吸收耦合分离混合气中CO2性能评价

在膜基—气体吸收耦合实验装置上,评价了疏水性PP(聚丙烯)微孔膜,活化MDEA(N-甲基二乙醇胺)溶液分离混合气中CO₂传质性能,研究了气液流速、吸收剂和混合气的浓度等因素对总传质系数的影响,采用阻力层关联方程模型预测总传质系数K_ov值。结果表明:活化MDEA溶液能提高总传质系数K_ov值,模型的计算值和实验值符合较好。     

A SIMULATION OF CO2 UPTAKE IN A THREE DIMENSIONAL OCEAN CARBON CYCLE MODEL*

A three-dimensional ocean carbon cycle model which is a general circulation model coupled with simple biogeochemical processes is used to simulate CO₂ uptake by the ocean.The OGCM used is a modified version of the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory modular ocean model(MOM2).The ocean chemistry and a simple ocean biota model are included.Principal variablesare total CO₂,alkalinity and phosphate.The vertical profile of POC flux observed by sediment traps is adopted,the rain ratio,a ratio of production rate of calcite against that of POC,and the bio-production efficiency should be 0.06 and 2 per year,separately.The uptake of anthropogenic CO₂ by the ocean is studied.Calculated oceanic uptake of anthropogenic CO₂ during the 1980s is 2.05×10¹⁵g(Pg)per year.The regional distributions of global oceanic CO₂ are discussed.     

临安冬夏季SO2、NO2和O3体积分数特征及与气象条件的关系

对临安大气本底站2003-2004年冬、夏季二氧化氮(NO2)、二氧化硫(SO2)、臭氧(O3)进行了分析.结果表明:冬季NO2和SO2平均体积分数分别为19.48×10-9和35.74 x10-9,而夏季的平均体积分数分别为4.81×10-9和8.12×10-9,冬季高于夏季;O3在夏季的平均体积分数为33.55×10-9,略高于冬季的25.44×10-9;夜间NO2和SO2体积分数比白天高,并且NO2呈明显的单峰单谷型分布,O3也呈单峰型但峰值出现在白天.NO2、SO2体积分数存在着明显的“假日效应”,假日比非假日低,周五高于假日和非假日;但O3体积分数没有明显的假日效应.降水对SO2有明显的清除作用,但对NO2的清除作用不明显.与风向对比发现,夏季高体积分数的NO2、SO2都受到NW、WNW风的影响,冬季则分别受NE和SW、SSW风的影响;而O3受风向的影响较复杂,与局地光化学反应有关.     

长江中下游降水异常特征及其与全国降水和气温异常的关系

利用１９５１－１９９８年中国１６０站逐月降水和气温资料,分析了长江中下游降水异常的基本特征,并着重分析了它与全国其他地区降水和气温异常的关系。结果表明：长江中下游降水异常有明显的季节,年际和年代际变化特征、６－７月降水异常程度大,频数多,以７月为最;在近４８年中,该地区的降水异常表现为３个明显不同的气候时段,可选出１０个涝年和８个旱年。     

北半球近地层典型区CO_2体积分数时空分布及成因

利用GEOS-Chem全球三维大气化学传输模式,分析了北半球近地层CO2体积分数的时空变化特征及其成因。2006—2010年的5 a的模拟结果表明:北半球中纬度近地层CO2体积分数存在着两个高值中心,即亚洲东部和北美东北部。在季节尺度上,亚洲东部CO2体积分数最大值出现在春季,而北美东北区域CO2体积分数最大值出现在冬季;而两个地区的CO2体积分数最低值都出现在夏季。在年际尺度上,两个区域CO2体积分数的年际变率增幅明显高于北半球其它区域,且CO2体积分数高值出现时间的年际差异较大。另外,模拟分析发现北半球森林、农田、草原典型区域,所对应的CO2体积分数具有不同的季节变化特点,它们的CO2季节内变幅依次减小。进一步分析发现3种不同典型区域的CO2体积分数与叶面积指数(LAI)季节变化,具有很好的负相关性。可见陆地生态系统作为碳汇,对近地层CO2体积分数的季节变化具有重要的作用。而温度和降水是影响LAI的最重要的两个气象因子,它们与CO2体积分数季节变化存在内在联系,模拟结果表明北半球大部分陆地近地层CO2体积分数与温度、降水呈现显著的负相关。     

Uptake and Storage of Anthropogenic CO2 in the Pacific Ocean Estimated Using Two Modeling Approaches

A basin-wide ocean general circulation model(OGCM) of the Pacific Ocean is employed to estimate the uptake and storage of anthropogenic CO 2 using two different simulation approaches.The simulation(named BIO) makes use of a carbon model with biological processes and full thermodynamic equations to calculate surface water partial pressure of CO 2,whereas the other simulation(named PTB) makes use of a perturbation approach to calculate surface water partial pressure of anthropogenic CO 2.The results from the two simulations agree well with the estimates based on observation data in most important aspects of the vertical distribution as well as the total inventory of anthropogenic carbon.The storage of anthropogenic carbon from BIO is closer to the observation-based estimate than that from PTB.The Revelle factor in 1994 obtained in BIO is generally larger than that obtained in PTB in the whole Pacific,except for the subtropical South Pacific.This,to large extent,leads to the difference in the surface anthropogenic CO 2 concentration between the two runs.The relative difference in the annual uptake between the two runs is almost constant during the integration processes after 1850.This is probably not caused by dissolved inorganic carbon(DIC),but rather by a factor independent of time.In both runs,the rate of change in anthropogenic CO 2 fluxes with time is consistent with the rate of change in the growth rate of atmospheric partial pressure of CO 2.     

A MODEL OF A COUPLED SEA-ATMOSPHERE-CLOUD CLIMATE SYSTEM*

In this paper,a coupled sea-atmosphere-cloud climatic model is set up.Qualitative analysis shows that the system exists at least in five possible equilibrium states,and not four as traditionally considered.Numerical simulation stated that when we do not consider the feedback of clouds the SST will raise 0.96 K and 0.97 K respectively as the concentrations of CO₂ rise from 280 ppm and 330 ppm to 560 ppm and 660 ppm.When we consider the feedback the SST rises only about 0.51 K under same conditions.So greenhouse effect of CO₂ is lessened in certain extent.