中国近海海平面变化特征分析

用经验正交函数分析方法,对中国近海14年多的测高海平面同化格网资料进行分析,给出了黄海、东海和南海各海平面变化主要主成分的空间变化和时间变化特征.用标准Morlet小波变换方法分析了各海区主成分时间变化序列的时频特征.分析结果表明,各主成分的空间分布特征与当地的海洋环流或洋流特征相对应.时频分析结果显示,中国近海海平面变化的显著周期主要为年周期信号.其次,黄海和东海还显示准2个月的非稳态信号,东海和南海具有较显著的半年周期信号,东海半年周期信号的能量不稳定.此外,在南海及台湾东部海域,首次发现存在较为显著的准540天周期信号,其动力学机制目前尚不明确.坎门和西沙验潮站资料的时频特征分析也验证了该信号的存在.最后本文给出了中国近海海平面在1993~2007年间的平均上升速率和其区域分布特征.     

1951～2002年中国东、西部地区地面气温变化对比

利用1951～2002年全国733个测站经过非均一性检验的月平均气温资料,在剔除50万以上人口大城市测站后,分析了52年来中国东、西部及青藏高原地区的气温变化趋势的一致性和差异性,并讨论了其可能原因.结果表明我国东、西部地区年、季平均气温变化有着较好的一致性;近52年来,我国东、西部和青藏高原地区年平均气温均呈升温趋势,年平均气温的增温速率东部为026℃/10a,西部018℃/10a,东部比西部高008℃/10a;季平均气温东部地区冬、春季的增暖趋势大于西部和青藏高原,而其夏、秋季的增暖趋势小于西部和青藏高原.我国东、西部地区年、季平均气温变化关系密切,说明其主要是受全球气候变化的影响而变化,但东部年平均气温的增暖总趋势大于西部,又说明地域差异在气温变化中也有重要作用.     

中国大陆应变应力场研究

根据1999～2009年网络工程GPS观测资料计算得到的应变率参数,研究了中国大陆地壳的应变应力场及其地壳现今的水平活动特征。结果表明,中国大陆地壳西部青藏亚板块的压应力主方向围绕藏南和阿萨姆构造结向北、东、南依次辐射撒开。新疆亚板块自西向东由近SN向变为NE向。中国大陆东部地壳的压应力主方向自北向南由NEE变为近EW向,再变为SEE向。中国大陆主压应力作用强度西部显著大于东部。中国大陆地壳西部强于东部,南部强于北部,现今西部地壳以挤压、走滑为主,东部地壳既有挤压、走滑,也有拉张。     

Fractal analysis applied to faults and earthquakes—A case study of China

The characteristics and correlation of faults and earthquakes are discussed based on fractal and statistical analysis of the earthquakes in the last 500 years and the active faults in China. It is found that fractal relationship exists between the frequency and the length of the active faults, and the fractal dimension is 1.70 in the continental region of China, and 1.40 in the northwest China. The fractal relationship also exists between the frequency and the scales of earthquakes during the last five centuries and the fractal dimension is 1.30 for the whole continental region of China and 1.08 for the northwest China. The differences of the fractal dimensions between the active faults and the earthquakes indicate that some of the active faults have not caused earthquakes during the last 500 years. The differences of fractal dimensions of the active faults and earthquakes between the northwest China and the whole continental region of China suggest that the frequency of strong earthquakes is greater in northwest China than that of the average level of China, because the number of longer active faults is larger in northwest China than that of the average in whole China. Thus, the fractal analysis is an effective method for studies of faults and earthquakes.     

地壳介质非均匀性对华北地区强震活动的影响

华北地区是我国地震灾害最频繁的地区之一,该区域的强震空间分布可能与地壳介质的不均匀性有关.本文建立了华北地区岩石圈三维Maxwell模型,并尝试采用剪切波分裂参数为新的约束条件,对区域地壳运动场和应力应变场进行了模拟,探讨地壳介质不均匀性与区域地震活动的关系.研究结果表明:外部动力源控制了华北地区整体的地壳运动方式,地...     

Fractal analysis applied to faults and earthquakes——A case study of China

Ｆｒａｃｔａｌａｎａｌｙｓｉｓａｐｐｌｉｅｄｔｏｆａｕｌｔｓａｎｄｅａｒｔｈｑｕａｋｅｓ———ＡｃａｓｅｓｔｕｄｙｏｆＣｈｉｎａＪＩＡＮＷＡＮＧ（王建）ＸＩＡＯＨＵＡＺＨＵ（朱晓华）ＹＯＮＧＨＵＩＸＵ（徐永辉）ＤｅｐａｒｔｍｅｎｔｏｆＧｅｏｇ...     

中国大陆地震死亡率的标度律及其在预测中的应用

研究了中国大陆华北地区、西南地区和西北地区自1500年以来因地震造成人员死亡率的自相似指数标度律, 并将其应用于泊松模型中, 对未来地震人员死亡数作了长期预测。预测表明, 在2020年前, 华北地区、西南地区发生地震死亡1 000人以上事件以及西北地区发生地震死亡100人以上事件的概率都在0. 8以上。     

Extreme climate events,migration for cultivation and policies:A case study in the early Qing Dynasty of China

Based on the historical records of the annual increase in the workforce (men older than 16 years of age), the annual new taxed cropland in the Shengjing area (Northeast China), the extreme climate events in North China, and related management policies in Northeast China during 1661―1680, a case study has been conducted to investigate the relationship between the extreme climate events in North China and the migration to Northeast China for cultivation. This study has found that the migration to Northeast China for cultivation from 1661 to 1680 was a response to the drought events that occurred in North China. The upsurge of migration, which occurred in 1665―1680, was a response to the drought period during 1664―1680 in North China while the fewer disasters period in Northeast China. There were three migratory peaks during the upsurge of migration, which corresponded to the three drought events. The peaks of migration, however, often lagged behind the drought events about 1―2 years. The encourag-ing-migration policy, which was adopted to encourage cultivation in Northeast China, did not produce much migration into the region in the early Qing Dynasty. It did, however, provide a policy background, which ensured more than 10000 migrants per year to Northeast China when North China suffered from drought/flood disasters. As a response to the highest peak of migration induced by the severe droughts in North China during 1664―1667, a prohibiting-migration policy restricted further migration to Northeast China was carried out in 1668. Although the prohibiting-migration policy could not entirely stop the migrants fleeing from famine in North China to Northeast China, the migrants and cultivation were significantly reduced under the policy. The frequent changes of the policy on the years when taxation started after the land was cultivated were also related to climate events. The extreme climate events in North China, migration to Northeast China for cultivation, and the related management poli-cies showed an impact-response chain, which reflected the interaction among extreme climate events, human behavior, and policies.     

我国深部探测技术与实验研究进展综述

深部探测技术与实验研究专项(SinoProbe,2008-2012)是我国历史上实施的规模最大的地球深部探测计划.专项开展了全国4°×4°、华北和青藏高原1°×1°的大地电磁阵列观测,建立了全国地球化学基准网(含78种元素),完成了青藏高原、华南-中央造山带、华北和东北等四条超长深地震反射剖面,部署了罗布莎、金川、腾冲、南岭、庐枞和铜陵等大陆科学钻探实验,开展了青藏高原东南缘和华北地区地应力监测;在我国东部长江中下游和南岭成矿带开展的矿集区立体探测卓有成效.同时,专项还开展了岩石圈三维结构与地球动力学数值模拟、大陆地壳结构与演化的综合研究.专项全面实施以来,已经完成约6000 km的深地震反射剖面,成功研究、实验了地壳与地幔深部探测的一系列技术方法,积累了丰富经验,极大地加快了我国深部探测的进度,在国内外产生了强烈的反响.专项实现了技术组合创新、技术进步与重大科学发现的并举,适应我国地质地貌条件和地壳/岩石圈结构特征,初步形成了具有不同层次、不同尺度、不同精度探测空间组合的深部探测技术方法体系,建立了若干各具地质特色的探测试验基地.专项实验已经取得了一系列重大突破与重要成果,深部探测关键仪器装备自主研发获得重大突破,为全面开展地壳探测工程的组织实施奠定了必要的技术基础.     

中国东部及其邻域地球物理场特征与大地构造意义

在分析中国东部及其邻域海陆地区的重力场、磁场、电性结构与深地震测深资料的基础上，探讨了地球物理场的大地构造意义及大地构造演化．指出中国东部及其邻域具有东西分带、南北分块的特征，它是由不同结构性质的东北、华北、扬子和华南四大块体组成，并于不同时代碰撞、拼合到一起，经历了五幕演化史．     

Seismic anisotropy beneath the Chinese Mainland: Constraints from shear wave splitting analyses

We use earthquakes recorded by the China National Seismic Network from 2015 to 2019 and measure shear wave splitting parameters of SKS to study the anisotropic characteristics beneath the mainland of China. In general, the fast directions change from nearly E-W in western China (northwest China and Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau) to nearly N–S in central China (Ordos and Sichuan-Yunnan), and then turn to approximately E-W in eastern China (North and South China). The delay times of slow wave in eastern China are about 1.0–1.7 ​s, larger than those in central and western China (about 0.6–1.0 ​s). In addition, the fast directions in eastern China are highly consistent with the plate motion direction and horizontal GPS velocities with respect to Eurasia, indicating that the observed anisotropy is mainly from the asthenosphere which is strongly coupled to the overlying lithosphere. However, the fast directions in western China are mostly in accord with the strike of the surface structures (such as faults), possibly due to the directional arrangement of crystal lattices caused by shear deformation under tectonic activities.     

用接收函数方法研究中国境内地壳结构

利用中国数字地震台网30个台站的高质量宽频带远震数据,采用H-k叠加搜索法对中国境内的地壳结构进行研究,获得了研究区内的地壳厚度和v_P/v_S分布特征.结果表明, 中国境内的v_P/v_S值介于1.6—1.9之间,地壳厚度变化剧烈,在29—81 km之间.100°—110°E之间存在一个地壳厚度陡变带, 将中国分为东西两个部分.东部地壳厚度相对均匀,为31—36 km, 西部地区地壳厚度相对较厚且变化较大,中部地区地壳厚度为34—49 km.总的看来,青藏高原地区地壳最厚,可达81 km;天山、准噶尔盆地和内蒙古地区地壳厚度次之;华南地区地壳最薄.另外,中国大陆地壳平均波速比为1.738(σ=0.253),比全球大陆平均波速比1.78(σ=0.269)低.较低的波速比可能暗示中国境内地壳低速层的存在或者铁镁质成分的缺失.      

南华北地区地震活动特征分析

南华北盆地与秦岭大别造山带在构造上有耦合关系,地震活动水平相当。将南华北盆地和秦岭大别造山带组成的南华北地区作为研究对象,考察了其地震活动特征和青藏高原强震对其影响作用。发现南华北地区地震活动水平显著低于北华北地区,略低于下扬子地区。并且,通过对比分析青藏块体7.0级以上地震和南华北地区4.0级以上地震的对应关系,发现两个地区之间存在明显的成组对应现象,并表现2年左右的时间差,表明青藏块体的地震活动对南华北地区有明显的构造应力场传递作用。该结果为南华北地区中长期地震预测提供依据。2017年四川阿坝州九寨沟县发生7.0级地震,根据时间延迟的存在,对南华北地区未来中等地震的发生具有一定的指示意义。     

中国大陆强震区的形成及其动力学分析

根据强震能量密度分布图对中国大陆强震区进行分析 ,运用三维黏弹性有限元模拟研究在印度次大陆的长期推挤作用下中国及其邻区的黏弹性变形场与应力场。中国大陆强震区主要是在3方面的动力作用下形成的 :1)印度次大陆长距离的挤入使碰撞带 2犄角的变形不断延伸 ,形成两侧的变形梯度带 ,高原巨厚地壳为弹性应力能的集中创造了介质条件 ,处于较大深度和较高温度下的下地壳的蠕变使上部弹性层的应力集中。 2 )亚洲东部大尺度向E运移使印度板块向NNE的挤入在青藏高原北部转为NE向运动 ,同时也使两侧变形带由NNE转为NE向。 3)高原内部的不均匀挤出促进了高原东侧 3个弧形带的形成     

华北克拉通中东部基底构造单元的重磁特征

系统收集并重新处理了华北克拉通中东部的重磁资料,利用处理结果,结合近年来华北克拉通前寒武纪结晶基底构造研究的进展,重新将华北克拉通中东部划分为2个一级重磁异常单元和7个二级重磁异常单元;重点描述了7条分划性断裂的重磁特征,特别指出中国东部重力梯度带正是华北克拉通中部带的集中表现,而郯庐断裂带和兰考～聊城～盐山～台安-大洼断裂带是燕山期陆内不同刚性块体调整的重要边界,所以也是重磁特征的变异带．据此,对华北克拉通断裂与构造单元的重磁异常特征赋予了新的地质意义．研究表明,华北克拉通现今的地球物理特征能够反映结晶基底构造,其原因是华北克拉通现今构造格局是中新生代构造继承结晶基底构造的结果．     

Seismic anisotropy of upper mantle in eastern China

Based on the polarization analysis of teleseismic SKS waveform data recorded at 65 seismic stations which respectively involved in the permanent and temporary broadband seismograph networks deployed in eastern China, the SKS fast-wave direction and the delay time between the fast and slow shear waves at each station were determined by use of SC method and the stacking analysis method, and then the image of upper mantle anisotropy in eastern China was acquired. In the study region, from south to north, the fast-wave polarization directions are basically EW in South China, gradually clockwise rotate to NWW-SEE in North China, then to NW-SE in Northeast China. The delay time falls into the interval [0.41 s, 1.52 s]. Anisotropic characteristics in eastern China indicate that the upper mantle anisotropy is possibly caused by both the collision between the Indian and Eurasian Plates and the subduction from the Pacific and Philippine Sea Plates to the Eurasian Plate. The collision between two plates made the crust of western China thickening and uplifting and the material eastwards extruding, and then caused the upper mantle flow eastwards and southeastwards. The subduction of Pacific Plate and Philippine Sea Plate has resulted in the lithosphere and the asthenosphere deformation in eastern China, and made the alignment of upper mantle peridotite lattice parallel to the deformation direction. The fast-wave polarization direction is consistent with the direction of lithosphere extension and the GPS velocity direction, implying that the crust-upper mantle deformation is possibly a vertically coherent deformation. Supported by Special Project for the Fundamental R & D of Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration (Grant No. DQJB06B06), Special Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (Grant No. 2006FY110100), China Digital Earthquake Observation Network Project “North China Seismic Array”, and National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40334041 and 40774037)     

2001年我国大陆中强地震活动的构造背景

归纳总结了2001年我国西部5级、东部4级以上地震的发震构造背景，研究表明：2001年中国大陆5级以上的地震大部分发生在青藏一级地块内，华北地块仅发生几次4级地震，其它地块内的地震也较少。发震断层均为各活动地块内的主要活动断层。其中1998－2001年，我国大陆中强地震整体活动水平下半年明显强于上半年。     

论中国大陆基底构造

中国大陆基底可以分为４个区域：西域克拉通和东亚克拉通具太古代－早元古代变质基底，蒙藏增生陆块与华南增生陆块为元古代基底．在西域克拉通内可以识别出南塔里木陆核分布区、准噶尔陆核分布区与伊犁陆核；在东亚克拉通内可以勾画出燕吕陆核分布区、黄淮陆核分布区、秦岭陆核分布区和扬子陆核分布区．在克拉通形成的同时或稍后，在克拉通的两侧发育巨型基底断裂．在东亚克拉通的东西侧为郯庐断裂带与东亚克拉通西缘断裂带；在西域克拉通的南北为阿尔金断裂带与阿尔曼大断裂带．在蒙藏地块中部通过的日喀则－狼山断裂带是位于两克拉通之间的重要断裂带．     

南海油气资源潜力及勘探现状

南海的油气资源极为丰富,享有“第二个波斯湾”的美誉.南海地貌类型多样,地形复杂,其战略位置极为重要,是东亚及相邻各国必经之路.资源之争,使得周边各国使出浑身解数,发展海洋经济与技术,1981年至2002年,越南就从南沙海域的油田中开采了1亿吨石油、15亿多立方米的天然气,获利250亿美元,南海石油已成为越南国民经济的第一大支柱产业.近半世纪中国南海油气勘探工作取得巨大的成就,发现了26个新生代盆地,取得了南海海域的基本石油地质成果,为南海的勘探开发奠定了基础.南海具有巨大的勘探空间及技术发展空间,每一次的技术进步,都会带来南海油气勘探的质的飞跃.     

2011年日本9.0级地震的同震位错以及震后应力松弛过程对中国大陆的影响

本文基于日本GEONET的GPS观测资料, 对日本2011年9.0级地震的同震和震后形变过程进行了研究。 结果表明, 日本9.0级地震使中国大陆出现了显著的同震位移, 几乎对整个中国大陆都有影响。 位移量在中国东北地区最大, 接近甚至超过该地区的年运动速率。 震后1年观测到的形变基本上可由沿着断层面的蠕滑进行模拟, 粘弹松弛的贡献不大。 根据所得到的震后蠕滑模型, 震后1年形变所释放的能量等同于发生一个8.7级地震, 其影响主要在东部地区, 最大位移约为年运动速率的30%。 预测在未来2年, 该地震的影响范围将逐渐减小。 地震造成的粘弹松弛在未来50~100年的尺度上, 对东北地区有拉张效应。 日本9.0级地震整体上起到了卸载中国大陆在板块间挤压过程中所累积应变能的作用, 因此该地震发生后的几个月, 中国大陆东部的地震活动水平较震前明显降低。