Numerical simulation of the Valentine's day storm during the 1990 winter icing and storms project

This paper discusses numerical simulation of the first day of the 1990 winter icing and storms project's (WISP) Valentine's day storm (VDS) case with the Purdue mesoscale model (PMM) and comparison of the results to aircraft, satellite, radiometer and other observations. This situation is marked by many observations of supercooled liquid water (SLW) contents of 0.2 g m⁻³ to 0.3 g m⁻³ by the WISP research aircraft. The PMM was initialized with the ECMWF analysis for 13 February 1990 at 0000 GMT and used to make an 18-h forecast with output every 6 h. This paper focuses on comparison of the forecast to observations made at about 1800 GMT since the aircraft encountered significant amounts of SLW during its flight between 1723 GMT and 1928 GMT. Dual channel radiometer, satellite visible imagery, and other observational data sources are also utilized. For this study, the PMM includes a new stable cloud parameterization that is discussed here. In it, cloud water and ice are explicitly calculated while rain and snow are implicitly handled. Between 0 and − 40 °C, cloud water and cloud ice can coexist; the conversion of cloud water to cloud ice is governed by the depositional growth rate of ice crystals whose concentration is diagnosed on the basis of temperature. After accounting for precipitation, a saturation adjustment is done to remove either supersaturated vapor or subsaturation in the presence of cloud drops. In mixed phase conditions, both saturation vapor pressure and the apportionment of condensate into ice or liquid are on a mass-weighted basis according to the existing amounts of ice and liquid or on the basis of temperature if there is neither.     

北极中央区海冰密集度与云量相关性分析

本文使用海冰密集度以及低云、中云、高云的日平均数据,借助滑动相关分析方法,研究了北极中央区海冰密集度与云量之间的相关性,分析了海冰与云的相互作用机制。研究表明,在春季海冰融化季节(4、5月)、秋季海冰冻结季节(10、11月),低云与海冰密集度之间表现为较好的负相关,表明在这段时间内冰区海面蒸发强烈,对低云的形成有重要贡献。在10月和11月,中云与海冰密集度也有很好的负相关,表明秋季低云可以通过抬升形成中云。高云与海冰密集度之间并没有明显的相关性,可能原因:一方面海冰的空间分布对高云无影响,另一方面,高云主要影响到达的短波辐射,从而影响海冰的融化和冻结速度,与海冰厚度有直接显著的关系,而与海冰密集度的关系不明显。此外,在海冰密集度与低云存在较好负相关的情况下会出现某些年份相关性不好的情况,我们的研究发现这是北极中央区与周边海区发生了海冰交换或云交换的结果。     

渤海海效应暴雪微物理过程的数值模拟

采用RAMS4.4中尺度数值模拟结果,分析了2008年12月4～6日1次渤海海效应暴雪的微物理过程。结果表明:(1)在降雪初期,云中水物质包含云水、雨水、霰、冰晶和雪晶,及地水物质为雨水和霰。随着温度的降低,中后期仅存冰晶和雪晶,产生降雪。由于整个过程以降雪为主,降雨时间短暂,通常忽略降雨,称为降雪过程。(2)本次海效应暴雪的微物理过程表现在两方面:一是"播撒-反馈"机制,二是合适的冰相过程。这两种过程均有利于降雪增幅。(3)西风槽前产生的环境云和冷空气流经渤海暖海面时形成的海效应云之间在合并时发生"播撒-反馈"作用,前者是中云,后者是低云,前者从上层播撒冰晶和雪晶到下层,使得降雪增强。(4)微物理过程另一个有利因素是环境温度,本次强冷空气使得降水云中的温度在-10～-15℃之间,有利于树枝状冰晶的增长,从而产生强降雪。强降雪发生在强上升运动、高相对湿度和适宜的温度的叠置区域。     

Atmospheric water species budget in mesoscale simulations of lee cyclones over the Mackenzie River Basin

A moisture budget over the Mackenzie River Basin (MRB) was computed using a high‐resolution mesoscale model with explicit microphysics for 3 lee cyclogenesis events. A unique feature of the calculation is that all the budget terms are calculated from the model and no residual terms are required. It was found that during the initial formative period of the lee cyclones, a large influx of moisture occurs at the western boundary. However, as the cyclone moves further east, a significant amount of moisture is withdrawn through the eastern and southern boundaries of the basin. Surface evaporation was found to be relatively large during the local day time and plays a vital ròle in initiating convection in the presence of frontal lifting south of 60°N within the basin. In 2 of the 3 cases, the total water in the basin increases over the history of the simulation as a result of substantial lateral flux convergence of total water content even though the total precipitation in these two events was nearly 1.4× the surface evaporation. For the 3rd cyclone, the total water in the basin decreases substantially because of precipitation and large outward moisture flux at the boundary. The dominant microphysical processes governing the transformation of various water species were condensation, deposition, autoconversion and accretion of cloud water by rain, accretion of cloud water by ice, melting of ice to rain water and evaporation of cloud and rain water. In the net horizontal flux convergence of water species, the largest was water vapor, followed by ice and cloud water. The net flux convergence of rainwater into the basin was small and the effect of the graupel processes is negligible.     

基于星载微波辐射计的海洋大气参数反演算法研究

利用3个辐射传输模式对无冰无降水情况下的星载微波辐射计亮温测量进行仿真研究,通过模拟计算结果与同步卫星数据之间的比较分析,确定了用于反演算法研究的前向模式;利用该模式,提出了基于物理的星载微波辐射计海洋大气参数(包括海面风速、海表温度、大气垂直积分水汽量以及积分液态水量)多重线性回归算法。     

Sea surface wind and Sea ice in the Barents Sea using microwave sensing data from Meteor-M N1 and GCOM-W1 satellites in January–March 2013

Application of satellite passive microwave sensing for the retrieval of key climatic parameters in the Barents Sea is considered. Fields of surface wind, atmosphere water vapor content and cloud liquid water content were found from MTVZA-GY radiometer onboard the Meteor-M N1 satellite and AMSR2 onboard the GCOM-W1 satellite with the use of original algorithms. The fields are in a good agreement with the ancillary remote and in situ measurements, which follows from the analysis of the evolution of the extra tropical and polar cyclones and cold air outbreaks with storm winds leading to intense air-sea interaction, and the formation and drift of sea ice.     

Asymmetry parameter of the optical scattering phase function of a mixed-phase cloud

Basic characteristics of optical scattering in a mixed-phase cloud (asymmetry parameter of the scattering phase function and efficiency scattering factors and scattering coefficients) are considered. Theoretical consideration is based on the mixed-phase cloud model in the form of a uniform mixture of ice crystals and water droplets. Expressions allowing calculation of asymmetry parameter of the mixed-phase cloud scattering phase function are obtained as functions of the cloud temperature, average size of cloud particles, and ratios of the number densities of differently shaped ice crystals. Data calculated for the asymmetry parameter of infrared scattering in a mixed-phase cloud layer at its given temperature are presented.     

深冷环境下海水冷冻淡化性能试验研究

提出利用液态天然气(LNG)冷能实现海水冷冻淡化,针对LNG的储运工艺,开展海水在超低温环境下的过冷度、结晶、脱盐等机理研究。试验测试了海水在电导率为20～40 mS/cm、冷冻温度为-30～-80℃冷冻条件下,制冰率、制冰速率、脱盐率等性能指标,并分析了影响各性能指标的因素,得出了超低温工况下系统最优过程参数。该研究结果为基于LNG冷能实现海水冷冻淡化的工程设计提供了必要的技术基础和设计依据。     

Thermodynamics of freezing puddles in the autumn-winter period

The results of the field observation of freezing melted puddles on the drift ice in the Arctic Basin carried out in July–September of 2005 during cruise 23 of R/V Akademik Fedorov are analyzed, and a thermodynamical model of the process based on these results is developed. The essential features of the evolution of puddles in the period of autumn cooling were revealed. The unfrozen liquid layer was shown to be a qualitative component of the system that defines its behavior as a whole. We concluded that the sea ice growing from below is absent until the thickness of the frozen water reaches a critical value that is determined by its initial salinity.     

液态降水与地表气温对北极海冰开始融化时间的影响

海冰最早开始融化时间（EMO）是体现海冰融化的重要指标,也是影响海冰热收支的关键因素。本文使用EMO遥感数据、ERA5再分析资料和海冰密集度数据分析研究了地表气温和液态降水对EMO影响的相对贡献。研究显示,在5个研究海区中,大西洋扇区南区EMO提前最显著,1979− 2021年的变化率为−3.3 d/(10 a)。北极各海区的地表气温与EMO有着持续1～2个月的显著相关时段,其中太平洋扇区南区、大西洋扇区北区和南区的地表气温较液态降水与EMO相关的持续时间更长,相关性也更强;而对太平洋扇区北区和北极中央区,只有在EMO发生前的2～3周,液态降水对其EMO有着更高的贡献。对于太平洋扇区北区,大气环流提供的强水汽输送通道伸入该海区,使对流层低层饱和水汽增多,500 hPa位势高度的多年变化趋势具有三波绕极环流加强的结构,也有利于经向的热量交换,使比湿的垂向梯度进一步增加,为该海区EMO的提前起到一定的促进作用。对于北极中央区,在EMO提前的年份,液态降水较常年偏高33%,不仅气候态意义下的太平洋水汽通道的输送加强,欧亚大陆上空的水汽通道也与之汇合,促使北极东部形成气旋式水汽输送模态,为EMO的提前发生提供了有利条件。     

An assessment of Arctic cloud water paths in atmospheric reanalyses

The role of Arctic clouds in the recent rapid Arctic warming has attracted much attention. However, Arctic cloud water paths(CWPs) from reanalysis datasets have not been well evaluated. This study evaluated the CWPs as well as LWPs(cloud liquid water paths) and IWPs(cloud ice water paths) from five reanalysis datasets(MERRA-2,MERRA, ERA-Interim, JRA-55, and ERA5) against the COSP(Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project Observations Simulator Package) output for MODIS from the MERRA-2 CSP(COSP satellite simulator) collection(defined as M2 Modis in short). Averaged over 1980–2015 and over the Arctic region(north of 60°N), the mean CWPs of these five datasets range from 49.5 g/m~2(MERRA) to 82.7 g/m~2(ERA-Interim), much smaller than that from M2 Modis(140.0 g/m~2). However, the spatial distributions of CWPs, show similar patterns among these reanalyses, with relatively small values over Greenland and large values over the North Atlantic. Consistent with M2 Modis, these reanalyses show larger LWPs than IWPs, except for ERA-Interim. However, MERRA-2 and MERRA underestimate the ratio of IWPs to CWPs over the entire Arctic, while ERA-Interim and JRA-55 overestimate this ratio. ERA5 shows the best performance in terms of the ratio of IWPs to CWPs. All datasets exhibit larger CWPs and LWPs in summer than in winter. For M2 Modis, IWPs hold seasonal variation similar with LWPs over the land but opposite over the ocean. Following the Arctic warming, the trends in LWPs and IWPs during 1980～2015 show that LWPs increase and IWPs decrease across all datasets, although not statistically significant. Correlation analysis suggests that all datasets have similar interannual variability. The study further found that the inclusion of re-evaporation processes increases the humidity in the atmosphere over the land and that a more realistic liquid/ice phase can be obtained by independently treating the liquid and ice water contents.     

Sea ice evolution and internal wave generation due to a tidal jet in a frozen sea

The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of tidal currents on sea ice in Spitsbergen fjords which may cause rapid decrease of the ice thickness due to erosion and melting of the ice. The effect was studied in-situ near the narrow channel connecting the Van Mijen Fjord and Lake Vallunden. The strong jet-like tidal currents in the strait driven by semidiurnal tide continue into the lake preventing ice freezing along a narrow strip during high tide and relatively warm weather. Understanding the formation of open water regions or regions with thin ice is important for the safe transportation on ice. We estimate conditions and representative time over which strong tidal current influences ice thickness along a narrow strip in solid ice. Changes of tidal phase and decrease in air temperature influence freezing of the strip in one-two days. While the tidal flow leaves the strait it overflows a shallow bar and generates internal lee waves propagating downslope and mixing the water. Tidal forcing of internal waves was measured using pressure gauges and by scanning of the ice surface during flood and ebb phases. Internal waves were measured using three types of CTD instruments and an ADCP current meter. The generation of wave packets occurs every tidal cycle when the current flows into the lake, but no generation occurs during the ebb phase of the tide because the currents over the bar slope are low. Parameters of internal waves are estimated. Model simulations confirm generation of internal wave train by the tidal current descending downslope.     

Parameterization of key optical and radiative characteristics of homogeneous layers of mixed phase clouds

Key optical characteristics of radiation scattering in clouds (mean cosine of the scattering phase function, averaged factors and indices of scattering efficiency, and single-scattering albedo) and integral characteristics of homogeneous cloud layers (cloud-layer albedo and transmission factor) have been calculated with the use of the earlier suggested model of the microstructure of mixed phase clouds, where ice crystals and water droplets are homogeneously mixed over the volume, for individual wavelengths in the range from 0.6 to 10.6 μm. An approach is elaborated for statistically valid parameterization of the above characteristics versus the mean temperature of a mixed layer only under the availability of reliable information about the temperature dependence of the characteristic sizes of particles of different fractions and their concentrations in the cloud.     

Structure and optical properties of soot aerosol in a moist atmosphere: 1. Structural changes of soot particles in the process of condensation

A laboratory setup and a procedure for measuring the volume coefficients and mean cross sections of extinction, scattering, and absorption of soot particles in the medium of saturated water vapor are described. A method for hydrophilization of the surface of soot particles, which makes it possible to obtain model objects with specified hygroscopic properties, is presented. The processes of transformation of soot particles are analyzed with the use of data of electron-microscopic investigations on the basis of the fractal approach. The structural parameters of hydrophobic soot are shown to depend on the conditions of moistening, whereas hydrophilic particles are subject to substantial structural changes indicative of their watering. Investigation of the coagulation of soot particles with drops shows that hydrophobic particles form a weakly bound system; they coagulate on the surface of drops and cause no changes in the structure of soot aggregates. During the coagulation, hydrophilic soot particles penetrate inside a drop and irreversibly form a mixed system.     

Circulation and melting under the Ross Ice Shelf: estimates from evolving CFC,salinity and temperature fields in the Ross Sea

Temperature, salinity and chlorofluorocarbons (CFCs) 11, 12 and 113 were measured on a line of stations along the front of the Ross Ice Shelf in the austral summers of 1984, 1994 and 2000. Water mass distributions were similar each year but with high variability in the cross-sectional areas. CFC concentrations increased and salinity decreased with time throughout the water column. CFC saturation levels in the shelf and surface waters also increased with time and ranged from 43% to 90%. The undersaturation was due to inflow of low-CFC modified Circumpolar Deep Water, gas exchange limited by sea ice cover and isolation of water from the atmosphere beneath the ice shelf. The residence time of dense shelf waters resulting from sea ice formation is less well constrained by the chemical data than is the strong flow into the Ross Ice Shelf cavity. Shelf waters are transformed over about 3.5 years, by net basal melting of the ice shelf, into fresher Ice Shelf Water (ISW), which emerges as a large plume near the central ice front at temperatures below the sea surface freezing point. We estimate an average ISW production rate of 0.86 Sv and an average net basal melt rate of 60 km³/year for the Ross Ice Shelf exceeding a 300 m draft (75% of the ice cavity) during recent decades from box and stream tube models fit to all of the CFC and salinity data. Model fits to the individual data sets suggest ISW production and net basal melt rate variability due to interannual changes on a shorter time scale than our observations. ISW production based on the CFC budget is better constrained than net basal melting based on thermohaline data, with a heat budget yielding a rate of only 20 km³/yr. Reconciling differences between apparent freshwater and temperature changes under the ice shelf involves considerations of mixing, freezing and the flow of meltwater across the ice shelf grounding line.     

On the theory of hailstone growth

Analysis of the existing theories of hailstone growth has shown that there are two different approaches to the explanation of the layered structure of hailstones. L.G. Kachurin showed that the layered structure of ice on the surface of an object placed into the flux of supercooled water aerosol is controlled by the equilibrium film thickness. Another approach is based on the equation of heat balance at the hailstone surface and on the introduction of the critical water content. This paper elucidates the meaning of the critical equilibrium film thickness and establishes the relation between the two existing criteria controlling the transition from the dry regime of hailstone growth to the wet regime.     

黄海海雾短时临近预报中云水路径的EnKF同化研究

在海雾的短时临近预报中,初始场的水汽凝结状态扮演着重要角色。为了改进初始场的云水含量,本文提出直接同化雾体云水信息的思路。针对2011年5月一次大范围的黄海海雾,借助EnKF (Ensemble Kalman Filter)方法,尝试进行了极轨卫星反演云水路径数据的同化试验。结果表明:(1)通过利用EnKF将云水混合比增加到背景场和分析场的控制变量中,构建云水观测数据与背景场之间的关系,实现云水路径数据的直接同化是可行的;(2)同化云水路径可显著改善海面气温与湿度状态,大幅提高海雾预报效果;(3)EnKF能够基于集合体动态统计流依赖的背景误差协方差是其取得良好同化效果的主要原因。值得指出的是,受集合样本误差的影响,需要特别关注云水含量与风之间的相关关系。     

Radar estimation of water content in cumulonimbus clouds

The method and results of radar researches of vertically and volumetric integrated water content in powerful cumulonimbus (Cb) clouds obtained for the first time are considered. It is established that in hailstorms of Northern Caucasus vertically integrated liquid (VIL) water content varies in limits from 8 up to 50 kg/m², in shower clouds—from 0.5 up to 12 kg/m², in Nimbostratus (Ns) clouds—it is usual less than 0.5 kg/m² and in clouds with a drizzle—less than 0.05 kg/m². The main water content of hailstorms in a stage of development is concentrated in their supercooled layer, in a maturity stage—in a layer from the ground up to height 8–10 km and in a stage of dissipation—in a ground layer. The ratio of VIL of the supercooled and warm parts of cloud allows estimating hail dangers of clouds and stage of their development. It is shown that the volume of hailstorms varies in limits from 10³ up to 5 × 10⁴ km³ and their volumetric integrated mass (VIM) of water content — from 10⁵ up to 6 × 10⁶ tons. The volume of hail localization seldom exceeds 5–25% from total cloud volume, but its contribution to VIM achieves 30–60%. Speed of precipitation formation in powerful hailstorms achieves 1 × 10⁴−5 × 10⁵ tons/min and the same order of value has speed of recession of VIM in their stage of dissipation.     

辽东湾冰季太阳辐射分析

利用渤海辽东湾ＪＺ２０－２石油平台上的气象和海冰观测数据,研究了冰季大气层和云层对太阳辐射的影响,结果表明,辽东湾冰季大气光学可取为０．８３,碧空、少云、多云阴天、雾天和雨雪等不同天气条件下的云量系数可分别取为０、３、６、８、９和１０。分析了冰水混合情况下海面对太阳辐射的反射情况;讨论了太阳辐射对冰面长波辐射和对流传热的影响。利用冰面太阳辐射的实测值和计算结果,对整个冰季内太阳辐射的规律进行了分析