基于综合指标法的鄱阳湖生态系统健康评价

由于湖泊生态问题日益突出,湖泊生态系统安全状态已经成为人们关注的热点问题,了解湖泊水生态系统的状况并根据湖泊生态系统健康状况开展精准治理和生态修复与保护尤为重要。本文基于对鄱阳湖及其流域生态环境的长期监测数据和资料收集,采用综合指标体系法,从物理形态、水文、水环境、水域生态、湿地生态和社会服务6个方面构建了鄱阳湖生态系统健康评估的指标体系,主要涵盖了湖泊口门状况、“五河”入湖径流变异程度、入湖河流水质达标率等26个指标。依据设置的阈值等级得到鄱阳湖生态系统健康评价各层次健康状况等级,通过对各湖泊生态系统各指标得分进行加权计算,得出生态系统健康评估准则层和目标层的得分,最终对鄱阳湖生态系统健康进行了客观的评价。结果表明,构建的湖泊生态系统健康评价体系针对性强、科学全面、具有可操作性,可为鄱阳湖及类似通江湖泊的生态系统健康评价提供案例和方法借鉴。评价结果表明鄱阳湖健康体征状况目标层得分为73.45分,评价结果为亚健康,鄱阳湖水生态系统健康主要受泄流能力、水文节律变化、富营养化程度和物种多样性的影响。最后根据鄱阳湖的水生态系统健康评分等级探讨了鄱阳湖水生态系统中亟需解决的问题,针对性地提出了...     

基于贝叶斯方法的贵州高原百花水库水体营养盐变化及评价(2014—2018年)

为了确定百花水库营养盐变化特征,选取百花水库5个监测点2014年1月-2018年7月共28个月份的水质实测数据,分析溶解氧、高锰酸盐指数、氨氮、总磷和总氮的年际变化特征.采用基于熵权法赋权的贝叶斯理论对5个监测点的水质综合状况进行评价,并结合水库的实际状况,从生态修复、工业污染源、沉积物中营养盐、水库季节性热分层及农业与生活污染源5个方面对其水质变化的影响因素进行分析.结果表明:2014-2018年水体环境波动较大;除总氮外,各污染指标浓度均有不同程度的下降;综合水质后验概率表明百花水库水质有逐渐变差的趋势;总氮和总磷治理应成为百花水库污染治理的主要方面;生态修复工程的开展和工业污染源的削减是百花水库水质转好的主要影响因素,农业与生活污染源的增加是百花水库水质转差的主要影响因素.     

基于遗传模糊层次分析法的水库诱发地震综合风险评价指标体系筛选模型

水库诱发地震综合风险评价指标体系反映了水库诱发地震风险因子与研究地区整个社会经济系统的复杂交互作用关系,建立该指标体系需要地震学、社会学、经济学、管理学和工程学的综合集成研究。根据水库诱发地震与所在地区社会经济系统交互作用的机理分析,提出了由危险性、易损性、减灾能力、灾情4个子系统组成水库诱发地震综合风险系统。由这些子系统及其二级评价指标组成水库诱发地震综合风险评价的初步指标体系,再利用专家咨询信息,采用遗传模糊层次分析法筛选该初步指标体系,从而建立了水库诱发地震综合风险评价指标体系。该指标体系可用于水库诱发地震综合风险评价,为构建水库诱发地震综合风险预警系统提供了重要的技术基础。     

基于生态—社会服务功能协调发展度的湖泊健康评价方法

本文首先运用频度分析法构建湖泊生态系统健康评价指标体系;其次,应用变异系数法与信息熵权法相结合的组合赋权法计算指标权重;在此基础上提出了基于生态—社会服务功能协调发展度的湖泊生态系统健康评价方法,并给出从湖泊综合发展水平和湖泊协调发展度两方面度量湖泊生态系统健康水平的等级划分标准.应用此评价方法,以白洋淀生态系统为研究对象,开展其健康状况及协调发展状况的模型实证研究.结果显示:白洋淀生态系统综合发展水平处于不健康病态萎缩状态,湖泊协调发展度属于临界协调发展.该方法综合考虑了生态完整性和社会服务功能两个方面的协调性和发展性进行湖泊健康评价,从协调、发展的角度为湖泊管理建设提供建议.同时研究表明协调发展度湖泊健康评价法具有计算简单、适用性强的特点,同样适用于其他湖泊健康评价.     

贵州高原花溪水库浮游植物优势种生态位及种间联结性动态分析

为了解贵州高原花溪水库在2017年3月生态调控蓝藻水华后,浮游植物物种多样性结构的稳定状况,于2017年4月-2018年1月4个季节对花溪水库的浮游植物群落结构进行调查.运用生态位宽度、生态位重叠值、方差比率法、卡方检验和联结系数对主要浮游植物群落间的相互关系进行综合分析.结果表明:4个季节共出现优势种4门11种,其中...     

江苏省水库底栖动物调查及其综合评价

于1998年5月-1999年5月对江苏省48座大中型水库底栖动物进行了调查．鉴定的底栖动物计75属种,优势种类为尾鳃蚓属（Branichiura）、水丝蚓属(Limnodrilus）、管水蚓属（Aulodrilus)、长足摇蚊属（Pelopia)、隐摇蚊（Cryptochironomus）等5属．底栖动物密度为288．4ind．／m^2,变动范围43．2-928．2ind．／m^2;生物量为8．753g／m^2,变动范围0．235—61．884g／m^2．北部、中部、南部水库各类底栖动物的季节变化呈现较大的差异．用Goodnight ＆ Whitley生物指数和Wright寡毛类密度法评价水库水质,除少数水库有轻度污染外,水质状况总体良好．用能量估算法估算水库底栖动物的平均渔产潜力为5．8kg/hm^2。     

模糊秀体溞(Diaphanosoma dubium)和奥氏秀体溞(D.orghidani)在广东水库中的分布特征

秀体溞(Diaphanosoma app.)是华南地区水库中枝角类的优势属.于2000年对广东省19座大中型水库丰水期和枯水期2次采样和2001 -2006年对飞来峡水库、新丰江水库和大镜山水库分别进行了16、12和7次采样.这19座水库的样品中,5座水库仅有模糊秀体溞(D.dubium),8座水库仅有奥氏秀体溞(D....     

我国城市水源水库水质风险成因及对策

我国城市水源中约40%为湖泊或水库,且大部分为水库,因此水源水库的水质状况对我国城市安全极其关键。本文综述了我国水源水库水质问题研究进展,分析了22个代表性水源水库的周年水质状况。结果发现,当前我国城市水源水库水质风险类型主要是异味问题、藻类水华、铁锰超标、有机质偏高、营养盐超标等。引发水源水库水质问题的主要原因包括流域开发强度过大、库底淤积及内源释放、生态系统结构失衡、气候与水文异常变化等。针对上述主要问题,提出了构建在线水质监测预警体系、控制流域土地开发强度、构建面源拦截及流域净化系统、疏浚底泥、优化生态系统结构、实施应急曝气与控藻工程、完善流域生态保护法律法规等多种水源水库水质安全保障技术措施。鉴于水源水库水质及水生态对暴雨、高温热浪等极端气象响应敏感而复杂,在当前极端天气事件频发、强度不断增加的气候背景下,还应加强水库生态学基础研究,以深入理解水源水库水质对气候变化的响应机制,提高水库水安全保障科技支撑能力,满足我国城市高质量发展的水资源需求。     

东非大裂谷山岭隧道地质灾害熵权可拓物元法评价及风险控制

东非大裂谷火山、地震、断层移动和地裂缝等地质作用活跃,严重威胁隧道安全,有必要研究裂谷内山岭隧道地质灾害破坏.通过系统分析东非大裂谷山岭隧道地质灾害风险源,建立了4类22项风险评价指标体系以及裂谷内山岭隧道地质灾害风险熵权可拓物元方法评价方法,开发了相应的风险安全可视化程序,得到东非大裂谷山岭隧道地质灾害破坏等级,提出...     

瀑布沟水电站水库天然地震本底特征

瀑布沟水电站处于相对稳定的瓦山断块上,水库的库尾位于龙门山断裂带、鲜水河断裂带、安宁河断裂带的交汇部位,地震活动相对强烈。了解和掌握水库蓄水前库坝区及其周围天然地震活动背景水平,可对水库诱发地震的危险性进行前期评价,为蓄水后的诱发地震活动监测预测提供可靠的鉴别依据。在水库蓄水前瀑布沟水库地震台网一期运行逾3年,二期运行逾1年,本文用这批资料提供库区及附近蓄水前天然地震活动水平确切实用的各项指标。用全国和四川台网地震资料,给出含库区的较大区域地震活动背景和对库区的影响,同时给出库区及附近ML≥2．5地震的活动特征。     

Integrative fuzzy set pair model for land ecological security assessment: a case study of Xiaolangdi Reservoir Region, China

Due to the increasingly serious ecological degradation of land systems, the land ecological security issues have attracted more and more attention of policy makers, researchers and citizens. Aiming at overcoming the disadvantages in subjectivity and complexity of the currently used assessment methods, an integrative fuzzy set pair model for assessing the land ecological security was developed by integrating fuzzy assessment and set pair analysis (SPA). The approximate degree of land ecological security to the optimal standard set was calculated to describe the secure level by combining multiple indices. The indices and weights were determined by a pressure-state-response model and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (AHP), respectively. Aided by a geographic information system, this model was applied to evaluate comprehensively the status of land ecological security in Xiaolangdi Reservoir Region, China, taking the administrative division as the assessment unit. The results showed that 20% of the total area maintained a slightly secure status, while 50% of the study area was of a middle or seriously low grade of land ecological security. The remaining portion (30%) was the most ecologically insecure. From the spatial prospective, obvious variations were observed. The land eco-security gradually decreased from the Xiaolangdi Dam to its surrounding regions. It was concluded that the status of the integral land ecological security of Xiaolangdi Reservoir Region was in the middle level, and increasingly intense human activities speeded up the degradation of regional land ecosystem in recent years and thus induced the crisis of land ecological security.     

福建敖江流域水域生态系统健康评估

以敖江流域为研究区,通过采集底栖动物、鱼类等样品,结合监测数据分析流域水域生态系统健康状况,并采用指标体系评估方法对水域生态系统进行评估.结果表明:敖江流域水质总体良好,但山仔水库总氮、总磷浓度长期超标,水体存在富营养化和藻类水华暴发生态环境问题;底栖动物种类呈现支流多于干流、河流多于水库的规律;鱼类种类上、中、下游各科物种组成差异不显著,鱼类区系特点具有较明显的热带、亚热带区系特点;流域上游、中游水域生态健康良好,下游水域生态健康一般.     

Reservoir-type water source vulnerability assessment: a case study of the Yuqiao Reservoir,China

ABSTRACT

In this study, we developed a method to assess reservoir-type water source vulnerability (WSV) and adapted the method to the Yuqiao Reservoir (in Tianjin in North China). First, we identified the factors that influence reservoir vulnerability and selected suitable indexes for vulnerability assessment. Second, the CRITIC, AHP and integrated weighting methods were applied to quantify the index weight. Third, the information diffusion method was applied to process the index data. Finally, the vulnerability of the Yuqiao Reservoir was assessed, and the results showed that the vulnerability of the Yuqiao Reservoir is high, with social factors (i.e. the road traffic system, automatic management control system, potential menace in evaluation scope, destructive man-made accidents, emergency management plan, and per capita water consumption) being the main reasons.     

福建省富营养化水库沉积物磷形态及对水体的贡献

采用 SMT 法结合 X 射线荧光和 X 射线衍射分析了福建省发生富营养化的山仔深水库表层沉积物的磷赋存形态 及对水体的贡献．分析结果表明，山仔水库表层沉积物总磷含量在400-750 mg/kg 之间，铁/铝结合态磷和有机磷是沉积 物磷的主要赋存形态，分别占总磷含量的47%和37%左右．沉积物水-土界面存在明显的活性磷梯度，在一定条件下活 性磷可以从沉积物间隙水扩散到上覆水体，从而一定程度上影响山仔水库水体的营养水平．     

福建省富营养化水库沉积物磷形态及对水体的贡献

2003年7月至2004年4月,每季度对武汉市南湖大型底栖动物进行定量和定性的采样分析,共发现大型底栖动 物30种;优势种为霍甫水丝蚓和刺铗长足摇蚊,均呈聚集分布;大型底栖动物的年均密度和生物量分别为4437 ind/m~2和 17．79 g/m~2,其密度和生物量春季最高,Shannon-Wiener 多样性指数和 Margalef 多样性指数的年均值分别为1．515和 1．123．比较分析了南湖大型底栖动物组成的历史变化,对水环境进行了生物学评价,并提出了南湖大型底栖动物合理利 用的建议．     

Assessing ecological security at the watershed scale based on RS/GIS: a case study from the Hanjiang River Basin

The purpose of this study is to develop an assessment framework of ecological security at the watershed scale to meet the need of watershed management, and to assess ecological security using this framework in the middle and lower reaches of Hanjiang River Basin (in Hubei Province, China). The states and their changes of ecological security in the study region are investigated with the support of ERDAS and ARC/INFO platform. The results show that the ecological security index (P) values in 1995 and 2000 were 0.685 and 0.699 respectively in the study region. While in 2005 and 2010, the P values were decreased to 0.657 and 0.624. In 1995, there were 5 counties with degree II state (the poor state) of ecological security, and 14 counties with degree III state (the common state). By 2000, the amount of counties with degree II decreased to 4 counties. And the number of counties with degree II is the same as 2000 in 2005. The result of 2010 shows there were 12 countries with degree III state as well as 7 counties with degree II state. The results of our case study of the Hanjiang River Basin reflect that the ES situation is very grim in the study area. The degree of ecological security developed in this study can be used as a useful tool for watershed managers and decision-makers.     

Simulation of the Hydroecological Regime of the Nizhnekamskoe Reservoir

Water Resources - The hydroecological simulation model GMV-MGU is applied to the Nizhnekamskoe Reservoir. The results of a series of diagnostic model calculations, which characterize the ecological...     

The construction and application of a carrying capacity evaluation model in a national park

This work applies ecological footprint analysis to establish the framework of a carrying capacity model for a national park. The model estimates changes in ecological footprint and biocapacity indicators for Taroko National Park (Taiwan) from 2002 to 2011. The findings indicate that: (1) In the past 10 years, the biocapacity status of Taroko National Park has remained within the environmental capacity; however, the per-capita ecological reserve decreased by 73.38 % between 2002 and 2011, from 0.085010 global hectares to 0.022633 global hectares. Evaluation of the ecological footprint intensity index reveals that the park has maintained a level 1 status, the highest ecological security level; (2) Linear estimation undertaken in the study predicts that when the ecological footprint intensity index reaches 0.5—when the ecological security level falls from level 1 (good) to level 2 (fair)—the critical tourist-carrying capacity would be 3,380,351 visitors per year, or 1.18 times the number of tourists in 2011. Furthermore, when the ecological footprint intensity index reaches 0.8—when the ecological security falls to level 3 (poor)—the critical tourist-carrying capacity would be 5,408,561 visitors per year, or 1.88 times the number of tourists in 2011. This work adopted the ecological footprint method and the threshold ecological footprint intensity index value to estimate the critical number of tourists for the sustainable biocapacity of Taroko National Park. The results are intended to serve as a reference for national park administrators to develop policies on tourist carrying capacity.     

-座富营养化水库—福建山仔水库夏季热分层期间浮游植物垂向分布

对福建省水温分层型富营养化山仔水库夏季大坝断面垂向水体的物理化学参数进行了监测分析,并应用荧光分析法结合显微镜细胞计数法,对垂向分层水体和沉积物中的浮游植物生物量、群落组成及丰度进行了分析.结果表明,水库的水温分层能够引起水化学指标的分层.夏季大坝断面水体中的浮游植物以蓝藻门微囊藻属占绝对优势,垂向分布表现为表层的浮游植物细胞数量高于底层,温跃层以下细胞数急剧减少,水温分层可能决定着浮游植物的垂向分布,底泥中的浮游植物将为水体的水华提供"种源".