The evolution analysis of flood and drought in Huai River Basin of China based on monthly precipitation characteristics

Based on the daily precipitation data of 38 weather stations in the Huai River Basin from 1961 to 2010, this study used SPI index, P-III curve to determine the flood/drought years, under what situations for droughts and floods easily happen, and to analyze the evolution law of flood and drought during inter-annual and intra-annual based on the characteristic of monthly precipitation. The results showed that: (1) annual rainfall of the Huai River Basin presented decreasing trend, maximum rainfall appeared from June to August, and multi-year average precipitation increased gradually from north to south; (2) the variation of monthly precipitation during flood years was more severe than other typical years, and precipitation in drought years showed nearly 50 % decline compared with normal years; (3) high rainfall of flood years was mainly caused by the increase in rainfall in flood season, and the strategy of flood control and drought relief was “short-term flood prevention and long-term drought relief”; (4) while precipitation of most months in drought year was reduced, the relevant strategies “annual basin-wide of long-term drought prevention” should be carried out; (5) combination events of floods and droughts occurred frequently. Persistent drought dominated in spring and summer while droughts and floods that happened alternately were mainly in summer and autumn.     

IMERG卫星降水数据在嘉陵江流域的干旱监测效用评估

针对嘉陵江流域存在雨热同期,水旱灾害频发的现象,为快速且准确地把握流域内降水与干旱情况,利用覆盖范围广且分辨率高的网格化IMERG卫星降水数据对嘉陵江流域进行多时空尺度反演,并基于卫星降水数据采用标准化降水指数(SPI)对流域实行干旱监测。结果表明：1)根据分类指标与统计指标的计算结果,三种卫星降水数据中的IMERG-F能更准确地反映流域内的日降水量,与地面降水数据CC达0.737,整体高估地面降水2.6%,具有在干旱监测方面的应用潜力。2)三种卫星降水数据驱动的SPI指数在干旱监测方面存在一定的差异,IMERG-F驱动的SPI指数与地面降水数据驱动的SPI指数保持较高的一致性(CC>0.9),较近实时产品IMERG-F更能准确地呈现出流域的干湿特征。3)卫星识别降水与干旱监测的能力受地形地貌的影响,IMERG卫星降水数据在平原丘陵地带具有较好的适用性。     

长江上游流域降水结构时空演变特性

为研究气候变化和人类活动背景下的长江上游流域降水结构时空分布特性,利用长江上游流域67个气象站点1961—2005年45年的日降水资料,分析了各种不同历时连续降水的时空演变特征。通过Trend Free Pre-Whitening方法消除降水时间序列中的自相关成分,利用非参数的Mann-Kendall法检验了降水结构的变化趋势。结果表明:① 长江上游流域及各分区各历时降水发生率随降水历时增加呈指数递减趋势,贡献率先增加后降低,以短历时降水为主;② 长江上游短历时（1 d和2 d）降水贡献率发生突变的时间在1976年,长历时（6 d和10 d）降水发生率发生突变的时间为1984年,贡献率发生突变的时间为1999年;③ 长江上游短历时降水集中出现的次数增加,降水强度增大,降水量占总降水量的比例较大,而长历时降水出现频次降低,降水量占总降水量比例下降,其中岷沱江流域、大渡河流域、长江干流区间通过了显著性检验。     

Spatio-temporal variation of stable isotopes in precipitation in the Heihe River Basin,Northwestern China

An intensive investigation of the spatial and temporal variations of δD and δ ¹⁸O in precipitation was conducted during 2002–2004 in six sites in the Heihe River Basin, Northwestern China. The δD and δ ¹⁸O values for 301 precipitation samples ranged from +59 to −254 and +6.5 to −33.4‰, respectively. The relationship between δD and δ ¹⁸O defines a well-constrained line given by dD = 7.82d¹⁸\textO + 7.63 \delta D = 7.82\delta {}^{18}{\text{O}} + 7.63 , which is nearly identical to the meteoric water line in the Northern China. This wide range indicates that stable isotopes in precipitation were primarily controlled by different condensation mechanisms as a function of air temperature and varying sources of moisture. The results of backward trajectory of each precipitation day at Xishui show that the moisture of the precipitation in cold season (October–March) mainly originated from the west while the moisture source was more complicated in warm season (April–September). The simulation of seasonal δ ¹⁸O variation shows that the stable isotope composition of precipitation tended to a clear sine-wave seasonal variation. The spatial variation of δ ¹⁸O shows that the weighted average δ ¹⁸O values decreases with the increasing altitude of sampling sites. The great difference of air temperature which led to the differences of condensation mechanisms and local recycled continental moisture may have influence upon the isotopic composition of rain events in different sites.     

对渭河流域洪水预报的思考

渭河纵贯陕西富饶的八百里秦川,此间是陕西政治、经济、文化的中心,渭河防汛事关陕西经济发展,是全省防汛工作的重中之重。本文结合多年来渭河洪水预报、特别是2003、2005年的实践经验,通过对渭河流域暴雨洪水特性分析,揭示了渭河流域洪水预报中的难点和问题,提出解决渭河流域洪水预报的研究对策。     

Effects of human activities on hydrological drought patterns in the Yangtze River Basin,China

Natural Hazards - As an extremely important region for the socioeconomic development of China, the Yangtze River Basin (YRB) is vulnerable to climate change and natural disasters. In recent...     

Assessment of drought hazard,exposure, vulnerability,and risk for rice cultivation in the Mun River Basin in Thailand

Natural Hazards - When assessing drought risk, most studies focus on hazard and vulnerability, paying less attention to exposure. Here, we propose a comprehensive drought risk assessment scheme...     

Evaluation of CHIRPS and its application for drought monitoring over the Haihe River Basin,China

To establish the drought index objectively and reasonably and evaluate the hydrological drought accurately, firstly, the optimal distribution was selected from nine distributions (normal, lognormal, exponential, gamma, general extreme value, inverse Gaussian, logistic, log-logistic and Weibull), then the Optimal Standardized Streamflow Index (OSSI) was calculated based on the optimal distribution, and last, the spatiotemporal evolution of hydrological drought based on the OSSI series was investigated through the monthly streamflow data of seven hydrological stations during the period 1961–2011 in Luanhe River basin, China. Results suggest: (1) the general extreme value and log-logistic distributions performed prominently in fitting the monthly streamflow of Luanhe River basin. (2) The main periods of hydrological drought in Luanhe River basin were 148–169, 75–80, 42–45, 14–19 and 8–9 months. (3) The hydrological drought had an aggravating trend over the past 51 year and with the increase in timescale, the aggravating trend was more serious. (4) The lower the drought grade was, the broader the coverage area. As for the Luanhe River basin, the whole basin suffered the mild and more serious drought, while the severe and more serious drought only cover some areas. (5) With the increase in time step, the frequency distribution of mild droughts across the basin tended to be concentrated, the frequency of extreme droughts in middle and upper reaches tended to increase and the frequency in downstream tends to decrease. This research can provide powerful references for water resources planning and management and drought mitigation.     

Regional frequency analysis of extreme precipitation and its spatio-temporal characteristics in the Huai River Basin, China

With the increasing exposure of populations and economy to natural hazards, the spatio-temporal characteristics of extreme rainfall remain a key subject of study. Based on annual maximum rainfall (AM) and peaks over threshold rainfall series at 30 meteorological stations during 1960–2011 in the Huai River Basin (HRB), spatio-temporal characteristics of extreme rainfall are analyzed through regional frequency analysis method using L-moments. The accuracy and uncertainty analysis of quantile estimations are also carried out, and the regional and at-site frequency analyses are compared. Results indicate the following: (1) During 1960–2011, AM precipitation at 20 stations in the HRB shows an increasing trend, while at the other 10 stations, it shows a decreasing trend. And both the increased and decreased trends are not significant. (2) The HRB can be categorized into three homogeneous regions via cluster analysis. For both at-site and regional frequency analyses, the root mean square error values increase with the increase in return periods. The estimations are reliable enough for the return periods of less than 100 years. The quantile estimates of large return period from regional frequency analysis are more accurate and have smaller uncertainty than those from at-site frequency analysis. (3) Extreme precipitation in the HRB concentrates in the upstream of the Huai River and YiShuSi water system in the east of the HRB. Generally, the area with extreme precipitation, especially the upper reaches of the Huai River and Yimeng Mountain areas, also has large standard variations of extreme precipitation, which will increase the risk of natural hazards.     

渭河盆地新生代孢粉组合与植被演化特征

在新生代全球变冷的背景下,亚洲环境变化的主要特征之一是季风气候的形成和演化。渭河盆地具有连续的新生代沉积序列,为研究新生代植被演化历史,探究季风的阶段性变化特征提供了良好材料。文章通过分析和综合集成渭河盆地新生代的孢粉记录,初步重建了新生代以来的古植被和古气候变化序列。始新世植被以含热带亚热带乔木成分的落叶阔叶林为主,气候暖湿;渐新世植被类型为含常绿树种的落叶阔叶林,气候相对暖热湿润;早中新世植被以落叶阔叶树为主,气候温暖湿润,晚中新世植被以森林草原为主,气温和降水比早中新世略有降低;上新世植被为落叶阔叶林和针叶林交替出现,后期变为森林草原,气候向干凉方向发展;第四纪以来,植被向森林草原—稀疏的森林草原—草原发展,气候变化趋于凉干。新生代以来降水阶段性减少,与全球变冷趋势基本一致,可能揭示了全球变冷对构造时间尺度亚洲季风降水和植被演替的影响。

     

Characteristics and sources of atmospheric composition based on precipitation chemistry in the Shiyang River Basin,Northwestern China

Through collected precipitation samples continuously to research the precipitation chemical characteristics and the water vapor source in Shiyang River Basin, Northwestern China, a total of 121 precipitation samples had been collected in the Shiyang River Basin from July 2013 to July 2014. The results showed that, during the period of sampling, the variation range of pH value of precipitation ranged from 6.62 to 8.53 in Shiyang River Basin and the average was 7.46. The EC values ranged from 17.28 to 787.00 μs/cm, with a mean 186.66 μs/cm. Ca²⁺ and Na⁺ dominated cations and accounted for 71.80% of total cations composition, while SO₄ ^2? and NO₃ ^? dominated anions with a contribution of 82.18%. The main ionic sources are local dust aerosols and the dust from Central Asia and Northwestern China arid regions brought by the westerly, and the back trajectories also supported it. Back trajectories suggested that the air mass arrived in Shiyang River Basin mainly from the dust sources region in Central or West Asia or Northwestern China through westerly circulation in dry season, while from the Indian Ocean or the Pacific Ocean through monsoon circulation in wet season. The precipitation can be divided into three types based on the vector of water vapor transportation: the monsoon precipitation, the westerly precipitation, and the interaction precipitation (precipitation influenced both by monsoon and westerly). The type of interaction precipitation was major precipitation patterns in study area, and the westerly precipitation came next. The results are also helpful for further understanding the air pollution situation caused by dust events in study area and providing scientific basis for the effective prevention and control of atmospheric pollution.     

1956-2016年渭河支流葫芦河流域径流及降水的年际变化特征

研究河流径流量和流域降水量的变化特征,对区域水资源规划与开发利用具有重要意义。基于葫芦河干流上下游的两个主要控制水文站实测年径流量及其流域年降水量资料,运用标准距平累计曲线法、小波分析法和Mann-Kendall等方法,研究了葫芦河干流年径流量和年降水量的年际变化趋势、周期性和突变性。结果表明：葫芦河上下游年径流量变化趋势一致性较好,流域年降水量变化趋势与径流量变化趋势基本对应,均呈下降趋势,但径流减少的速率远大于降水减少速率,且下游径流量的减少速率比上游更快。葫芦河上下游径流量变化的大周期一致,但下游径流小周期的转换要比上游径流和流域降水更频繁,上下游径流量与其流域降水量变化周期的年份对应关系不好,径流变化的主周期和次周期均小于降水的变化周期。葫芦河下游年径流量在1988年发生了突变,而上游径流量和流域降水量均无明显的突变点。     

The Lithofacies Paleogeography and Paleoenvironmental evolution of the Cenozoic in the Weihe Basin, China

<正>The Weihe Basin,which is known as a Cenozoic rift Basin,is special for its location where not only enrich oil,gas and water,but also is a"sweet"for environment evolution research.It sits in the transition area between the ordos basin with full of oil and gas resources in the north and the Qinling Orogenic Belt with rich mineral     

Occurrence and hydrogeochemistry of fluoride in alluvial aquifer of Weihe River,China

Fluoride (F^?) has significant impacts on human health. High fluoride groundwater (up to 1.90 mg/L) has been found in upper confined aquifer underlying the first terrace of Weihe River during a hydrogeological investigation for water supply in 2005. To reveal the occurrence and hydrogeochemistry of high F^? groundwater, hydrogeochemical tools such as saturation index, ionic ratios and correlation analysis were used in this study. The study shows that the concentrations of most physiochemical parameters from phreatic water, influenced by intensive evaporation and anthropogenic activities such as unregulated sewage and excreta disposal and agricultural practices in the area, are higher than those of confined water. The F^? concentration in phreatic water is within the acceptable limits set by China and the World Health Organization (WHO), while that of upper confined water shows a decreasing trend northwestward as the Weihe River approaches, with F^? concentration in the first terrace beyond the national and the WHO standards. High F^? groundwater is observed in alkaline environment associated with high Na⁺, pH, HCO₃ ^? and low Ca²⁺ and Mg²⁺. The enrichment of F^? is controlled by geologic and hydrogeological conditions, fluorine-bearing minerals presented in alluvial formations and their dissolution/precipitation under the alkaline environment along groundwater flow. Ion exchange, human activities and the mixing of different recharge waters may influence the enrichment of F^? as well.     

树轮记录的西北季风边缘区干旱变化

祁连山东部位于亚洲季风西北边缘区,对气候变化十分敏感。由于该区位于半干旱区,降水的变化直接影响人类社会经济的发展,所以研究该区干旱变化情况及其机制非常重要。 利用采自祁连山东部西北季风边缘、地处半干旱区的吐鲁沟地区的油松树轮样芯,建立了树轮宽度年表,时间跨度为1866-2003AD。树轮宽度年表与气象因子相关分析结果显示树木生长主要响应生长季内的降水和干旱变化。该年表与附近区域利用树轮宽度重建的帕尔默干旱指数（PDSI）进行对比,结果显示严重的干旱时间发生在1920s-1930s、1966年、1974年、1982年和1990s和21世纪初。多窗谱分析研究表明,该区年表序列存在显著的2~4 a周期（P<0.05）,该周期与ENSO变率吻合,与在贺兰山、祁连山其他地区、兴隆山及贵清山研究结果一致,表明这些区域可能受共同气候因子的影响。     

Spatio-temporal variation of groundwater recharge in response to variability in precipitation, land use and soil in Yanqing Basin, Beijing, China

It is important to understand how groundwater recharge responds to precipitation variability in space and time, especially in those areas such as Yanqing Basin (China), where groundwater represents the sole water resource. A simple soil-water balance method is applied for spatio-temporal simulation of groundwater recharge in Yanqing Basin from 1981 to 2000. It was implemented on a monthly time step considering the effects of land use and soil texture. The area-average recharge associated with various land uses and soil textures was then compared with zonal analysis using a geographic information system (GIS). The main findings include: (1) the variation of groundwater recharge follows precipitation changes, either at yearly or seasonal intervals, (2) land use plays a more influential role in groundwater recharge than soil texture in this area, and (3) the water table quickly rises in response to recharge in the shallow parts of the aquifer, while there is a delay of 0.5–1.0?years where the groundwater level is at depth 4–10?m. The application demonstrates how spatio-temporal analysis can be utilized for groundwater-recharge estimation through distributed modeling and GIS.