汶川地震的发生对周围断层稳定性影响的数值模拟

大地震发生后, 研究地震的发生对周围断层的影响尤为重要.利用川西-藏东地区三维粘弹性有限元模型,考虑地表高程和粘弹性松弛等因素的影响,研究主要断裂带库仑应力累积速率和汶川地震的发生对周围断层的影响.结果表明:(1)龙门山断裂带年累积速率为0.28×10-3~0.35×10-3 MPa/a,这种较小的累积速率与龙门山断裂带强震较长复发间隔一致;(2)汶川地震的发生除造成震源区应力减小外, 还造成断裂带北东段不同程度的应力增加, 这与震后余震的分布基本吻合;(3)鲜水河断裂北西段、东昆仑、龙日坝、岷江以及虎牙断裂库仑应力水平增加显著,且汶川地震对于玉树地震的发生有微弱的加载效应;(4)汶川地震的发生造成鲜水河断裂带强震复发间隔缩短约52~104 a,是值得关注的强震危险区.      

Earthquake Stability Analysis of Rock Slopes: a Case Study

Stability analysis of Surabhi landslide in the Dehradun and Tehri districts of Uttaranchal located in Mussoorie, India, has been simulated numerically using the distinct element method focusing on the weak zones (fracture). This is an active landslide on the main road toward the town centre, which was triggered after rainfall in July–August 1998. Understanding the behaviour of this landslide will be helpful for planning and implementing mitigation measures. The first stage of the study includes the total area of the landslide. The area identified as the zone of detachment is considered the most vulnerable part of the landslide. Ingress of water and increased pore pressures result in reduced mobilized effective frictional resistance, causing the top layer of the zone of detachment to start moving. The corresponding total volume of rock mass that is potentially unstable is estimated to 11.58 million m³. The second stage of this study includes a 2D model focussing only on the zone of detachment. The result of the analyses including both static and dynamic loading indicates that most of the total displacement observed in the slide model is due to the zone of detachment. The discontinuum modelling in the present study gives reasonable agreement with actual observations and has improved understanding of the stability of the slide slope.     

5.12汶川地震对都汶公路(G213)沿线土地破坏及损失评价

5.12汶川地震及其次生山地灾害对灾区的土地资源造成了严重破坏,损失巨大.以重灾区都汶公路沿线为研究对象,通过野外实际调查,利用遥感影像解译和土地利用资料,探讨了地震引起的崩塌、滑坡等次生山地灾害对土地利用的破坏方式和特征,次生山地灾害以移动破坏、淤埋破坏和拉裂破坏3种形式破坏土地资源,并对土地利用损失进行了评估.结果表明:①各种土地利用类型中,淤埋破坏是最主要的破坏形式,占总破坏面积的77.23%,移动破坏面积占总破坏面积的22.77%;②林地和草地破坏呈现出在缓坡地带和陡坡地带破坏比例高,在中间地带破坏比例低的规律,旱地破坏具有随着坡度的增大而加剧的趋势;③研究区内各类土地利用类型总损失价值达76 577.26万元,其中林地损失量最大,占总损失价值的87.18%,是地震引起崩塌、滑坡灾害损失的主要对象.     

露天矿排土场高边坡动力稳定性研究

露天矿生产采用爆破手段,除采矿形成边坡外,废矿堆积也常常形成排土场高边坡,现场实测露天矿排土场在生产爆破作用下的振动速度,将实测加速度数据推导得到的水平加速度值,线性插值到每一个土条中,利用等效静力法对边坡在爆破动力作用下的稳定性进行了计算及评价,与传统等效静力法相比,此方法更接近实际振动加速度分布情况。同时,采用模态叠加法,通过有限元动力响应分析的手段,对露天矿排土场高边坡表面不同部位土体位移分布规律进行了分析,最终得到研究边坡在生产爆破动荷载作用下不会产生整体滑移,但在坡面顶部表层或浅层会产生一定深度的拉张裂缝,在重力和爆破动力的作用下裂缝逐渐加深,到一定深度时,表层矿渣会顺坡滑下产生表面滑塌型破坏的结论。     

Dynamic and Static Stability Assessment of Rock Slopes Against Wedge Failures

Summary ?The stability of slopes during and after excavation is always of great concern in the field of rock engineering. One of the structurally controlled modes of failure in jointed rock slopes is wedge failure. The limiting equilibrium methods for slopes under various conditions against wedge failure have been previously proposed by several investigators. However, these methods do not involve dynamic assessments and have not yet been validated by experimental results. In this paper, the tests performed on model wedges under static and dynamic loading conditions are described and the existing limiting equilibrium methods are extended to take into account dynamic effects. The applicability and validity of the presented method are checked through model tests carried out under well controlled conditions and by actual cases studied by the authors, both in Turkey and Japan.     

Rheological Characteristics of Weak Rock Mass and Effects on the Long-Term Stability of Slopes

The creep deformation behavior of the northern slope of an open-pit mine is introduced. Direct shear creep tests are then conducted for the samples taken from the northern slope to study the rheological characteristics of the rock mass. The experimental results are analyzed afterwards using an empirical method to develop a rheological model for the rock mass. The proposed rheological model is finally applied to understand the creep behavior of the northern slope, predict the long-term stability, and guide appropriate measures to be taken at suitable times to increase the factor of safety to ensure stability. Through this study, a failure criterion is proposed to predict the long-term stability of the slope based on the rheological characteristics of the rock mass and a critical deformation rate is adopted to determine when appropriate measures should be taken to ensure slope stability. The method has been successfully applied for stability analysis and engineering management of the toppling and slippage of the northern slope of the open-pit mine. This success in application indicates that it is theoretically accurate, practically feasible, and highly cost-effective.     

Stability of Slopes with Berms on Rigid Foundations

The finite element method was used to assess the influence of berms on the stability of slopes resting on rigid foundations for three different slope angles. Both purely cohesive soils and soils exhibiting cohesive and frictional strength properties were considered. The results of the analyses are presented in non-dimensional graphical and tabular form for design purposes and show that, for each case considered, there is a unique (berm width) : (slope height) ratio after which further increases in the berm width produce no further increases in stability. Example design calculations are presented and validated using Bishop's simplified method.     

充气位置及压力对边坡截排水效果的影响

充气截排水主要依据非饱和渗流理论,通过向坡体后缘压入气体驱除部分地下水,形成非饱和帷幕带,降低土体的渗透性,截排斜坡后缘地下水的入渗,降低潜在滑坡体内地下水位。多孔介质的多相渗流问题相当复杂,模拟技术往往是有效的研究方法。笔者以试验得到的地下水位及渗流量为基础进行数值反演分析,得到土质参数,构建数值计算模型,研究不同充气位置对边坡潜在滑坡区地下水位的影响。结果表明:在坡体后缘压入气体能够降低潜在滑坡区的地下水位线;在坡体后缘充气时,充气点放置在距离潜在滑坡区较近的位置时,截排水效果更好;充气点充气压力越大,潜在滑坡区的地下水位线下降得越多;选择充气点深度时,宜选择较深的充气深度,这样能够选择较大的充气压力。     

地震作用下滑坡动力响应及稳定性模拟分析

我国中西部是斜坡失稳破坏高密度存在区域,其中滑坡是一种常见的破坏方式,滑坡会给工程建设和人民生活造成巨大的损失,在地震作用下滑坡发生的几率明显增加。以白龙江郭家滑坡为例,在分析工程地质条件的基础上,利用FLAC3D数值分析软件建立数值计算模型,利用模型分析滑坡地震作用下的动力响应,进而分析地震动力作用下滑坡的稳定性,并与基于极限平衡法的静力分析结果进行对比分析,为滑坡的地震灾害预测提供依据,也为今后地震作用下滑坡的稳定性动力分析计算提供借鉴。     

高地震区公路隧道地震动力响应分析

基于土一结构相互作用理论,对高地震区一实际重大工程的公路隧道洞口段结构进行了抗震计算,得到了衬砌结构各控制点的位移、加速度及内力响应规律。结果表明：在人工合成地震波条件下,衬砌墙脚、拱腰为抗震薄弱位置;结构的加速度波形与输入波形相似;这些结果为抗震设计提供了一些依据。     

Assessment of the Stability of Rock Slopes by the Slope Stability Rating Classification System

Given the lack of suitable systems in the characterization of slope stability of heavily jointed rock masses, a new rock mass classification system called Slope Stability Rating (SSR) is proposed. In addition to the so-called modified Geological Strength Index, the proposed system considers five additional parameters whose relative effects on the stability of fractured rock slopes were precisely examined based on data retrieved from eight different rock slope sites in Iran. An overall rating for the rock mass is obtained from the summation of the individual ratings of each parameter. A number of design charts are provided as illustration. The new system was then validated based on 46 slope case histories from Iran and Australia. For this, by means of the design charts previously mentioned, a recommended stable angle for each slope was given and compared with the current slope conditions. As a result, SSR design charts for maximum excavation angle (FS = 1.0) and also for other more conservative excavation angles (FS = 1.2, 1.3, 1.5) were presented.     

The Dynamic Evaluation of Rock Slope Stability Considering the Effects of Microseismic Damage

A state-of-the-art microseismic monitoring system has been implemented at the left bank slope of the Jinping first stage hydropower station since June 2009. The main objectives are to ensure slope safety under continuous excavation at the left slope, and, very recently, the safety of the concrete arch dam. The safety of the excavated slope is investigated through the development of fast and accurate real-time event location techniques aimed at assessing the evolution and migration of the seismic activity, as well as through the development of prediction capabilities for rock slope instability. Myriads of seismic events at the slope have been recorded by the microseismic monitoring system. Regions of damaged rock mass have been identified and delineated on the basis of the tempo-spatial distribution analysis of microseismic activity during the periods of excavation and consolidation grouting. However, how to effectively utilize the abundant microseismic data in order to quantify the stability of the slope remains a challenge. In this paper, a rock mass damage evolutional model based on microseismic data is proposed, combined with a 3D finite element method (FEM) model for feedback analysis of the left bank slope stability. The model elements with microseismic damage are interrogated and the deteriorated mechanical parameters determined accordingly. The relationship between microseismic activities induced by rock mass damage during slope instability, strength degradation, and dynamic instability of the slope are explored, and the slope stability is quantitatively evaluated. The results indicate that a constitutive relation considering microseismic damage is concordant with the simulation results and the influence of rock mass damage can be allowed for its feedback analysis of 3D slope stability. In addition, the safety coefficient of the rock slope considering microseismic damage is reduced by a value of 0.11, in comparison to the virgin rock slope model. Our results demonstrate that microseismic activity induced by construction disturbance only slightly affects the stability of the slope. The proposed feedback analysis technique provides a novel method for dynamically assessing rock slope stability and can be used to assess the slope stability of other similar rock slopes.     

土工织物加筋土坡稳定的塑性极限分析法

在塑性极限分析理论的基础上，本文给出了土工织物加筋土坡稳定数的上限解。与无筋土坡的已有解比较表明，该解是可靠的，从而为土工织物加筋土坡的稳定分析提供了一个有效的方法。此外，本文的计算结果表明，各种因素对土坡稳定性的影响程度随坡角的增大而减小。     

地震作用下岩质边坡大型振动台试验研究进展

大型振动台试验方法可真实有效地模拟地震作用,是近年来研究边坡地震动响应特性的常用方法,被学者们广泛用于模拟研究各类支护结构加固的边坡工程中.通过综述学者们有关边坡大型振动台模型试验的相关文献,对其研究方法、研究对象及主要结论进行了分类评述.最后,通过分析目前岩质边坡大型振动台物理模拟试验研究中存在的问题,指明了今后的研究方向,为深入认识地震作用下岩质边坡的动力响应特性、变形破坏规律及支护结构与岩土体动力耦合作用机理奠定了基础,具有重要的理论意义和工程价值.      

Design Charts for the Stability Analysis of Unsaturated Soil Slopes

Simple limit equilibrium analyses can be performed to determine the Factor of Safety (FOS) against slope failure of unsaturated soil slopes. However, many of the input parameters needed for these analyses are highly variable, and the FOS value obtained is critically dependent on assumptions made by the designer. This paper describes a suite of reliability analyses on unsaturated soil slopes performed using an invariant reliability model. The results are presented in design charts from which a designer can choose the FOS value required to ensure a given target reliability index for a slope. The approach ensures that despite the variability of input parameters the slope will have a probability of failure of 2.23% or less.     

芦山地震的发生对周围断层影响的数值模拟

芦山地震发生后,地震的发生造成周围断层应力变化值得关注。本文基于川滇地区的三维非线性有限元模型,利用芦山地震同震静态滑移量结果,分析地震的发生对川滇地区主要断裂的同震加卸载效应。初步结果表明,芦山地震的发生造成龙门山断裂中南段、岷江断裂、马尔康断裂、鲜水河断裂北西段、大凉山断裂南段、小江断裂南段不同程度的应力增加。其中龙门山断裂中南段增加最为显著,最大库仑应力增加量达0.035 MPa;岷江断裂次之,最大达0.0075 MPa;马尔康断裂增加量达0.0031 MPa;鲜水河断裂北西段达0.0008 MPa。而从断裂带同震应变积累与释放方面分析的结果同样表明上述四条断裂地震危险性增强。该结果可以为川滇地区地震危险性分析提供一定的参考依据。     

龙门山地震断裂带地应力分布及其对井壁稳定的 影响———以WFSD-2 井为例

[摘 要]龙门山地震断裂带是我国最为强烈的地震带之一,地层破碎、地应力异常,钻孔缩径造成孔内事故频发,井壁稳定问题十分突出。本文介绍了汶川地震断裂带科学钻探施工中所发生的孔内事故情况,并通过对地层应力数据的统计分析,得出龙门山地震断裂带最大水平应力和最小水平应力随深度变化的回归曲线,最大水平应力梯度为4. 52MPa/100 m,最小水平应力梯度为2. 51 MPa/100 m。以WFSD-2 井为例,分析了龙门山地震断裂带地层应力、尤其是断层泥应力对井壁稳定的影响;针对膨胀性地层,介绍了一种通过泥浆密度微调现场测定地层坍塌压力和破裂压力的简易方法。     

活化构造与克拉通破坏的动力学机制研究

热能聚散交替、地幔蠕动是构造–岩浆活化理论创建初期提出的动力学机制假说。深部地质研究开拓了岩浆活化构造动力学研究的深度。许多地球化学家和地球物理学家对中国中新生代构造演化的研究,给热能聚散交替、地幔蠕动假说提供了科学证据。近20年来对华北克拉通破坏的动力机制研究,促进了构造–岩浆活化动力学机制研究的深入。构造–岩浆活化的动力学过程如同克拉通破坏一样,是一个复杂的地质过程:从稳定的地台区到地台活化区,其动力体制的转化既具有渐变到突变的特点,又是呈阶段性发展的;既有时间上的阶段性又有空间上的迁移性。在由地台阶段向地台活化阶段转化的过程中,上地幔化学结构由亏损状态向富集状态转化,地幔交代作用是导致地台活化的先驱事件。中国东部大陆岩石圈减薄的事实证明,控制岩石圈破坏过程中物质交换与能量转换的关键部位发生在壳幔过渡带。通过大陆岩石圈中孔隙波的产生和传播,地幔物质和热量通过壳–幔过渡带传输到地壳中去,导致东部大陆地壳的构造–岩浆活化。由于孔隙波造成物质和热流的向上运动,导致大陆岩石圈热结构发生调整。为了探讨这一机制所导致的上涌流对大陆岩石圈中热结构模式的可能影响,在岩石圈尺度范围内通过数学运算推导出了与上涌流有关的传热问题的理论解。由理论和数值分析获得不同上涌流条件下的大陆岩石圈不同热结构模式与依据地球物理、地质资料获得的大陆岩石圈热结构模式十分吻合。大陆岩石圈内传质传热模型与热能聚集、地幔蠕动是一致的。华北克拉通破坏(地台活化)的数值模拟实验与地质事实证明这是一种主动活化,反映了地幔传导热流与上涌流速率在华北克拉通岩石圈破坏过程中起着的重要作用,而华北克拉通边缘的板块活动是克拉通破坏的导火线。     

断层间相互作用的触震与缓震效应定量评价

本文提出了同震库仑应力改变的基本概念,应用Navier-Coulomb破裂准则,探讨了其求解方法,从同震库仑应力改变思想出发,结合活动断层地震危险性概率预测方法,分析了断层间相互作用导致的触震与缓震效应及其定量表达方法,并以鲜水河断裂带为例进行了应用研究,检验和评价了断层间相互作用触震与缓震效应的重要性。     

再论“地震预报的关键在于监测断层”

汶川地震的伤痛尚未抚平,玉树地震的灾难又接踵而至,叫人好不揪心!作为一个地质工作者我又一次因不能为地震预报出谋划策而愧疚.唐山地震后我曾在学院的一次学术会议上做过一次呼吁,汶川地震后我又写了一篇短文<地震预报的关键在于监测断层>(孙建中,2009)进行呼吁,现在,玉树地震又一次刺痛了我,我还要呼吁!呼吁有关人士把我国地震预报工作推向正确的高速轨道上去.