森林过火区植被遥感参数的变化与恢复特征分析

遥感技术可以快速、准确地监测森林火灾火烧迹地的植被遥感参数变化,分析植被对火灾的响应与恢复特征,为防灾减灾决策提供科学依据。本文首先基于森林火灾前后的Landsat5 TM数据,利用差分归一化燃烧指数（the Differential Normalized Burn Ratio,dNBR）来提取2009年澳大利亚维多利亚州火烧迹地的范围,计算过火区面积及火烧强度;其次基于时间序列的全球地表特征参量（Global Land Surface Satellite,GLASS）产品中的叶面积指数（Leaf Area Index,LAI）、吸收光合有效辐射比例（Fraction of Absorbed Photosynthetically Active Radiation,FAPAR）数据,利用距平分析法对比不同火烧强度过火区植被与未过火区植被受森林火灾的影响状况与植被恢复特征。结果表明,森林火灾发生后,LAI、FAPAR值迅速降低,火烧强度越大,LAI、FAPAR下降程度越大,高火烧强度过火区的LAI、FAPAR最大降幅分别为中火烧强度、低火烧强度过火区的1.2、1.3倍;随时间推移,LAI、FAPAR值逐渐上升,在2-3年内恢复至未过火区水平。LAI、FAPAR恢复至未过火区平均水平的时间与森林火灾规模、火烧强度密切相关：维多利亚州森林火灾过火区域中大过火斑块、高火烧强度林地的植被遥感参数恢复时间相比小过火斑块、低火烧强度林地滞后1-2年。植被遥感参数LAI、FAPAR能很好地反映过火区植被的受损状况及恢复过程。     

随机森林算法在全球干旱评估中的应用

干旱是发生频率最高,造成社会、经济损失和生态破坏最严重、最广泛的自然灾害之一,因此对干旱进行可靠、有效的评估十分重要.本文以月平均降水、月平均温度、月最高温度、月最低温度、土壤湿度、蒸散发、NDVI、叶绿素荧光等作为解释变量,以基于SPI的干旱等级作为目标变量,采用随机森林算法,以2007-2012年的数据作为训练数据...     

基于植被状态指数的云南省农业干旱状况时空分析

本文首先计算了云南省2004-2013年农业干旱指数VCI,然后使用Pearson相关系数评价降水与VCI的相关性,基于VCI识别云南省2004-2013年农业干旱事件,最后,与SPEI气象干旱识别结果进行对比分析,在VCI农业干旱识别的基础上,使用干旱频率和干旱面积占比指标分析了云南省2004-2013年农业干旱时空特征。结果表明：降水只是影响VCI指数的关键因素之一;VCI和SPEI指数均能够较好对干旱进行监测并识别典型干旱,但两者的识别结果存在差异;云南省农业干旱频率在春冬两季较高,夏季较低,秋季介于夏季和春冬季之间;春夏冬三季农业干旱频率空间分布较为均匀,秋季农业干旱频率呈南低北高的分布态势,整体上北部干旱频率高于南部;2004-2013年云南省整体干旱面积占比呈现先减小后增加再波动的趋势,春冬两季整体干旱面积占比最高,分别为46.63%和47.18%,呈现下降趋势,夏季整体干旱面积占比最低,为43.81%,呈现上升趋势,秋季整体干旱面积占比介于冬春季和夏季之间,为45.74%,呈现下降趋势。总之,云南省农业干旱春冬易发性最高,影响范围最大,夏季易发性最低,影响范围最小。     

Drought Impacts on Vegetation Indices and Productivity of Terrestrial Ecosystems in Southwestern China During 2001–2012

Drought, as a recurring extreme climate event, affects the structure, function, and process of terrestrial ecosystems. Despite the increasing occurrence and intensity of the drought in the past decade in Southwestern China, the impacts of continuous drought events on vegetation in this region remain unclear. During 2001–2012, Southwestern China experienced the severe drought events from 2009 to 2011. Our aim is to characterize drought conditions in the Southwestern China and explore the impacts on the vegetation condition and terrestrial ecosystem productivity. The Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) was used to characterize drought area and intensity and a light-use efficiency model was used to explore the effect of drought on the terrestrial ecosystem productivity with Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer(MODIS) data. The SPI captured the major drought events in Southwestern China during the study period, indicated that the 12-year period of this study included both ‘normal' precipitation years and two severe drought events in 2009–2010 and 2011. Results showed that vegetation greenness(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index, NDVI and Enhanced Vegetation Index, EVI) both declined in 2009/2010 drought, but the 2011 drought resulted in less declines of vegetation greenness and productivity due to shorten drought duration and rising temperature. Meanwhile, it was about 5 months lapse between drought events and maximum declines in vegetation greenness for 2009/2010 drought events. In addition, forest, grassland and cropland revealed significant different ecosystem responses to drought. It indicated that grassland showed an early sensitivity to drought, while cropland was the most sensitive to water deficit and forest was more resilient to drought. This study suggests that it is necessary to detect the difference responses of ecosystem to drought in a regional area with satellite data and ecosystem model.     

Topographic correction-based retrieval of leaf area index in mountain areas

Leaf Area Index(LAI)is a key parameter in vegetation analysis and management,especially for mountain areas.The accurate retrieval of LAI based on remote sensing data is very necessary.In a study at the Dayekou forest center in Heihe watershed of Gansu Province,we determined the LAI based on topographic corrections of a SPOT-5.The large variation in the mountain terrain required preprocessing of the SPOT-5 image,except when orthorectification, radiation calibration and atmospheric correction were used.These required acquisition of surface reflectance and several vegetation indexes and linkage to field measured LAI values.Statistical regression models were used to link LAI and vegetation indexes.The quadratic polynomial model between LAI and SAVI (L=0.35)was determined as the optimal model considering the R and R2 value.A second group of LAI data were reserved to validate the retrieval result.The model was applied to create a distribution map of LAI in the area.Comparison with an uncorrected SPOT-5 image showed that topographic correction is necessary for determination of LAI in mountain areas.     

基于LTDR AVHRR和MODIS观测的全球长时间序列叶面积指数遥感反演

叶面积指数是描述土壤-植被-大气之间物质和能量交换的关键参数,获取大区域长时间序列叶面积指数有助于研究气候变化条件下植被的响应及反馈。本文利用MODIS观测和经过重新处理的地表长时间数据集（Land Long Term Data Record）LTDR AVHRR数据,生成了全球1981-2012年叶面积指数数据。算法通过建立二者之间像元级关系,利用高质量MODIS观测约束历史AVHRR数据的反演,这有助于减小2种存在显著差别传感器反演结果的不一致性,也有助于提高AVHRR反演质量。首先算法利用高质量MODIS地表反射率反演2000-2012年叶面积指数,然后利用多年每8 d的LTDR AVHRR地表反射率数据计算简单比植被指数（Simple Ratio,SR）,利用SR平均值和MODIS LAI平均值建立像元级AVHRR SR-MODIS LAI关系。在此基础上,实现1981-1999年AVHRR LAI反演,最终得到全球1981-2012年叶面积指数数据。本算法反演的AVHRR和MODIS LAI与全球植被的空间分布吻合,能表征主要生物群系类型的季节变化特征,2个数据集一致性较好,并且与NASA MODIS LAI标准产品（MOD15A2）的空间分布和季节变化曲线吻合较好。     

Daily SPEI Reveals Long-term Change in Drought Characteristics in Southwest China

Drought is the most widespread and insidious natural hazard, presenting serious challenges to ecosystems and human society. The daily Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) has been developed to identify the regional spatiotemporal characteristics of drought conditions from 1960 to 2016, revealing the variability in drought characteristics across Southwest China. Daily data from142 meteorological stations across the region were used to calculate the daily SPEI at the annual and seasonal time scale. The Mann-Kendall test and the trend statistics were then applied to quantify the significance of drought trends, with the following results. 1) The regionally averaged intensity and duration of all-drought and severe drought showed increasing trends, while the intensity and duration of extreme drought exhibited decreasing trends. 2) Mixed (increasing/decreasing) trends were detected, in terms of intensity and duration, in the three types of drought events. In general, no evidence of significant trends (P < 0.05) was detected in the drought intensity and duration over the last 55 years at the annual timescale. Seasonally, spring was characterized by a severe drought trend for all drought and severe drought conditions, while extreme drought events in spring and summer were very severe. All drought intensities and durations showed an increasing trend across most regions, except in the northwestern parts of Sichuan Province. However, the areal extent of regions suffering increasing trends in severe and extreme drought became relatively smaller. 3) We identified the following drought hotspots: Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from the 1960s to the 1990s, respectively. Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region and Guizhou Province in the 1970s and 1980s, and Yunnan Province in the 2000s. Finally, this paper can benefit operational drought characterization with a day-to-day drought monitoring index, enabling a more risk-based drought management strategy in the context of global warming.     

玉米叶面积指数的CHRIS/PROBA数据反演分析

叶面积指数(LAI)是衡量植被生态状况和估算作物产量的一个重要指标。LAI的反演是定量遥感研究的重要内容。传统的经验统计反演方法基于单一观测角度的遥感数据进行,忽略了地物反射率的方向性。若在反演中加入多观测角度的信息,则有可能提升LAI反演的精度。以2008年甘肃省张掖市玉米实验区为研究区,利用欧空局的CHRIS/PROBA多角度高光谱数据对比分析了传统植被指数NDVI、RVI、EVI的变化规律及其反演玉米叶面积指数LAI的精度,并根据NDVI随观测角度的变化规律,构造出新型多角度归一化植被指数MNDVI,分别对实测叶面积指数进行线性回归并利用实测数据对估算LAI进行精度验证,结果表明：新型MNDVI指数相比于传统NDVI、RVI、EVI对LAI的反演精度有了显著提升,估算模型决定系数R²达到0.716,精度验证均方根误差为0.127,平均减小了33.3%。     

An improved temperature vegetation dryness index (iTVDI) and its applicability to drought monitoring

Using Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer(MODIS) data from the dry season during 2010–2012 over the whole Yunnan Province, an improved temperature vegetation dryness index(iTVDI), in which a parabolic dry-edge equation replaces the traditional linear dry-edge equation, was developed, to reveal the regional drought regime in the dry season. After calculating the correlation coefficient, root-mean-square error, and standard deviation between the iTVDI and observed topsoil moisture at 10 and 20 cm for seven sites, the effectiveness of the new index in depicting topsoil moisture conditions was verified. The drought area indicated by iTVDI mapping was then compared with the drought-affected area reported by the local government. The results indicated that the iTVDI can monitor drought more accurately than the traditional TVDI during the dry season in Yunnan Province. Using iTVDI facilitates drought warning and irrigation scheduling, and the expectation is that this new index can be broadly applied in other areas.     

Modelling plant canopy effects on water-heat exchange in the freezingthawing processes of active layer on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

The effect of vegetation on the water-heat exchange in the freezing-thawing processes of active layer is one of the key issues in the study of land surface processes and in predicting the response of alpine ecosystems to climate change in permafrost regions. In this study, we used the simultaneous heat and water model to investigate the effects of plant canopy on surface and subsurface hydrothermal dynamics in the Fenghuoshan area of the QinghaiTibet Plateau by changing the leaf area index(LAI) and keeping other variables constant. Results showed that the sensible heat, latent heat and net radiation are increased with an increase in the LAI. However, the ground heat flux decreased with an increasing LAI. The annual total evapotranspiration and vegetation transpiration ranged from-16% to 9% and-100% to 15%, respectively, in response to extremes of doubled and zero LAI, respectively. There was a negative feedback between vegetation and the volumetric unfrozen water content at 0.2 m through changing evapotranspiration. The simulation results of soil temperature and moisture suggest that better vegetation conditions are conducive to maintaining the thermal stability of the underlying permafrost, and the advanced initial thawing time and increasing thawing rate of soil ice with the increase in the LAI may have a great influence on the timing and magnitude of supra-permafrost groundwater. This study quantifies the impact of vegetation change on surface and subsurface hydrothermal processes and provides a basic understanding for evaluating the impact of vegetation degradation on the water-heat exchange in permafrost regions under climate change.     

对Beer-Lambert定律间接测量森林LAI的误差低估分析

 叶面积指数(Leaf Area Index,LAI)是表征植被冠层结构的核心参数。在地面对LAI的间接测量是遥感反演算法验证和改进的重要手段,而目前基于Beer-Lambert定律的森林LAI地面间接测量方法存在着严重的低估问题。本文通过理论分析,指出Beer-Lambert定律在应用到森林叶面积指数测量时,LAI低估的根本原因来源于叶面积体密度、消光路径及叶倾角投影G函数在空间上的不均匀性,并定量评估了冠层非随机分布对LAI测量结果的影响,发现植被冠层的非随机分布会对LAI的测量带来20％~40%的误差。这一结论,对于Beer-Lambert定律的简单修正应用于森林LAI间接测量时仍存在着较大的局限性,尚未能根本上解决LAI的低估问题,故间接测量LAI的理论和方法需进一步深入研究。     

A novel dynamic stretching solution to eliminate saturation effect in NDVI and its application in drought monitoring

The normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI) is one of the key input variables for developing drought indices.However,the NDVI quickly saturates in high vegetation surfaces,and thus,the generalization of a drought index over different ecosystems becomes a challenge.This paper presents a novel,dynamic stretching algorithm to overcome the saturation effect in NDVI.A scaling transformation function to eliminate saturation effects when the vegetation fraction(VF) is large is proposed.Dynamic range adjustment is conducted using three coefficients,namely,the normalization factor(a),the stretching range controlling factor(m),and the stretching size controlling factor(e).The results show that the stretched NDVI(S-NDVI) is more sensitive to vegetation fraction than NDVI when the VF is large,ranging from 0.75 to 1.00.Moreover,the saturation effect in NDVI is effectively removed by using the S-NDVI.Further analysis suggests that there is a good linear correlation between the S-NDVI and the leaf area index(LAI).At the same time,the proposed S-NDVI significantly reduces or even eliminates the saturation effect over high biomass.A comparative analysis is performed between drought indices derived from NDVI and S-NDVI,respectively.In the experiment,reflectance data from the moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer(MODIS) products and in-situ observation data from the meteorological sites at a regional scale are used.In this study,the coefficient of determination(R2) of the stretched drought index(S-DI) is above 0.5,indicating the reliability of the proposed algorithm with surface soil moisture content.Thus,the S-DI is suggested to be used as a drought index in extended regions,thus regional heterogeneity should be taken into account when applying stretching method.     

RESEARCH ON DROUGHT / FLOOD INFLUENCE FACTORS IN CHINA

In the fifth paper listed in the references, East China was divided into eight drought/ flood regions. But we, taking earth rotation velocity, sunspots, southern oscillation, etc. as the influence factors, through step-wise regression analysis and typical analysis, discussed drought/ flood influence factors of the eight regions. On the basis of them, applying spectrum analysis, we calculated the cycles of every influence factor variation and cycles of drought/ flood variations of every region as well as cycles of vibration between them. The results indicate that the drought/ flood influence factors of East China are southern oscillation, earth rotation velocity, etc. Specially, the influence of EL-Nino is more evident to drought/ flood in most regions than that of others. Generally, there are good correlations between the year of EL-Nino and the year of drought/ flood in most regions. The ways of these factors influencing drought/ flood are shown in lag correlation, by 2-5-year high-frequency vibration     

2010年中国西南旱情的时空特征分析——基于MODIS数据归一化干旱指数

 近年来,干旱灾害频繁发生,对区域内农业生产和生态环境造成了极大的破坏。为了快速准确地获取大面积地表土壤水分信息用以评估地表受旱程度,本文以2010年年初中国西南大旱为例,运用MODIS可见光-红外波段数据以及像元可信度综合生成了归一化干旱指数(NDDI)。同时,结合研究区内地面气象站点实测的土壤湿度数据验证了NDDI对地表土壤湿度的敏感度。结果表明:相比于植被状态指数(VCI)干旱监测模型,NDDI能更加灵敏地对浅层地表干湿变化做出迅速响应。最后,本文利用NDDI分析了2010年年初中国西南大旱旱情发展的时空演变过程,宏观上重现了此次旱情的发展历程,并使用该指数统计了不同时间节点、不同干旱等级下的贵州省土地受旱面积。结果显示:2010年1月-2010年4月为贵州省旱情最为严重的4个月,平均受旱面积达103 352km²,最大受旱面积达132 257km²,占贵州省总面积的75%以上。同时,旱情等级为重旱的土地面积最大达到88 246 km²,占贵州全境土地面积的50%以上。     

THE PRELIMINARY STUDY ON POSSIBLE SCENARIOS OF FLOOD AND DROUGHT IN CHINA IN THE CASE OF GLOBAL WARMING

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长江流域陆地水储量异常的卫星重力监测与干旱指数对比分析北大核心CSCD

利用GRACE/GRACE-FO数据对长江流域2003~2021年期间发生的干旱事件进行定量分析,以探究卫星重力监测区域性干旱的可行性。采用3个机构发布的5种GRACE/GRACE-FO数据产品(CSR_SH、JPL_SH、GFZ_SH、CSR_M、JPL_M)反演长江流域陆地水储量异常(TWSA),计算陆地水储量亏损(WSD)和水储量亏损指数(WSDI),结合气象干旱数据(SPI、SPEI、scPDSI)对5种数据产品的结果进行比较,并对2003~2021年长江流域干旱事件进行分析。结果表明,不同机构发布的GRACE/GRACE-FO数据产品对长江流域干旱事件严重等级的划分具有一定差异;WSDI与6个月时间尺度的SPEI相关性最高,相关系数为0.66,与scPDSI相关系数最低为0.54,降水是影响长江流域陆地水储量变化的重要因素;长江流域最严重的干旱事件发生在2019年夏秋季,干旱强度为2.31,持续10个月,水储量累计亏损达到415 Gt,此次干旱事件的WSDI空间分布图显示2019-09干旱最为严重,出现极端干旱区域。WSDI可反映长江流域干旱分布的时空变化,可在监测全球和大尺度区域干旱方面发挥重要作用。     

The suitability of using leaf area index to quantify soil loss under vegetation cover

Soil erosion by water under forest cover is a serious problem in southern China. A comparative study was carried out on the use of leaf area index (LAI) and vegetation fractional coverage (VFC) in quantifying soil loss under vegetation cover. Five types of vegetation with varied LAI and VFC under field conditions were exposed to two rainfall rates (40 mm h⁻¹ and 54 mm h⁻¹) using a portable rainfall simulator. Runoff rate, sediment concentration and soil loss rate were measured at relatively runoff stable state. Significant negative exponential relationship (p < 0.05, R² = 0.83) and linear relationship (p < 0.05, R² = 0.84) were obtained between LAI and sediment concentration, while no significant relationship existed between VFC and sediment concentration. The mechanism by which vegetation canopy prevents soil loss was by reducing rainfall kinetic energy and sediment concentration. LAI could better quantify such a role than VFC. However, neither LAI nor VFC could explain runoff rate or soil loss rate. Caution must be taken when using LAI to quantify the role of certain vegetation in soil and water conservation.     

干旱胁迫下植物抗逆性大尺度遥感监测方法

目前干旱与植被关系的研究主要集中于气候因子与植被时空变化的相关性分析以及植被对气候变化的响应,能够适用于大尺度的植物抗逆性监测方法还较为欠缺。本文基于归一化植被指数（NDVI）、总初级生产力（GPP）、修正花青素含量指数（mACI）、短波红外水分胁迫指数（SIWSI）监测干旱胁迫下的植被变化,综合考虑植物抗逆过程,建立滞后时间、抗逆时差、响应程度与恢复能力4个植物抗逆性监测指标,构建了一种能够适用于大尺度的植物抗逆性综合监测方法。利用各省份作物抗逆性综合评分与绝收比例进行相关性分析,两者呈显著负相关。利用该方法对干旱胁迫下我国不同类型植被的抗逆性进行评估,结果表明：① 从全国整体水平来看,不同季节植物抗逆性差异较大,其中夏季植物抗逆性最弱,冬季最强。我国植物抗逆性空间异质性显著,春季植物抗逆性综合评分低于70分的区域主要位于山西、陕西北部,综合评分高于90分的区域主要集中在内蒙古东北部以及云南的南部地区; ② 不同类型植被的抗逆性有明显差异,夏季落叶针叶林抗逆性最强,类内差异最小,春秋两季草地抗逆性最强但抗逆性类内差异最大。本文提出的植物抗逆性综合监测方法有助于探索干旱胁迫下植物抗逆性规律,对帮助降低灾害风险具有借鉴意义。     

基于MODIS-NDVI的云南省植被覆盖度变化分析

植被覆盖变化监测是区域资源环境承载力研究的基础,本文通过计算2001-2016年MODIS-NDVI植被指数,辅以趋势分析、变异系数等方法,估算了2001-2016年云南省植被覆盖度,进而探讨了植被覆盖度的时空变化特征及与地形因子之间的分布关系。结果表明：① 2001-2016年云南省植被覆盖度呈显著增加趋势,增速为4.992%/10 a。② 在空间上,植被覆盖度空间格局呈现由南向北、由西向东逐渐降低的特征,滇西、滇西南地区植被覆盖度最高,滇西北地区最低;植被覆盖度稳定性表现为由西南向东北方向波动性越来越大;滇东北地区植被覆盖度增加趋势明显优于其他区域,研究区内植被覆盖度变化趋势为增加、基本稳定和减少趋势的面积分别占49.53%、43.76%和6.71%。③ 植被覆盖度在2001-2006年、2006-2011年、2011-2016年3个时段的面积转移矩阵结果均表现为植被覆盖进化面积大于退化面积,二者的比值分别为1.42、1.63、2.01,植被覆盖情况呈持续改善趋势。④ 云南省植被覆盖度与地形因子之间的关系表现为,平均植被覆盖度随海拔增加呈先增加再减少、再增加、再减少趋势;随坡度的增加呈先增加再减少趋势;随坡向的变化呈由北向南逐渐减少趋势。     

Risk assessment of maize drought disaster in southwest China using the Environmental Policy Integrated Climate model

The East Asian monsoon has a tremendous impact on agricultural production in China. An assessment of the risk of drought disaster in maize-producing regions is therefore important in ensuring a reduction in such disasters and an increase in food security. A risk assessment model, EPIC(Environmental Policy Integrated Climate) model, for maize drought disasters based on the Erosion Productivity Impact Calculator crop model is proposed for areas with the topographic characteristics of the mountainous karst region in southwest China. This region has one of the highest levels of environmental degradation in China. The results showed that the hazard risk level for the maize zone of southwest China is generally high. Most hazard index values were between 0.4 and 0.5,accounting for 47.32% of total study area. However,the risk level for drought loss was low. Most of the loss rate was 0.1, accounting for 96.24% of the total study area. The three high-risk areas were mainlydistributed in the parallel ridge–valley areas in the east of Sichuan Province, the West Mountain area of Guizhou Province, and the south of Yunnan Province.These results provide a scientific basis and support for the reduction of agricultural drought disasters and an increase in food security in the southwest China maize zone.