Celestial mechanical causes of weather and climate change

This paper is devoted to the synchronization of synoptic processes in the atmosphere with tidal oscillations in the Earth’s rotational speed discovered by the author. The causes and effects of the synchronization are explained. Data are given on the monthly revolution of the Earth, tidal oscillations in the Earth’s rotational speed, and the main lunisolar cycles. An explanation is proposed for the causes of the Mul’tanovskii elementary synoptic periods and the manifestations of 4- and 8-year cycles in the climate system. It is shown that the 35-year Brückner cycle is attributed to the beat of the annual solar (365 days) and annual lunar (355 days) oscillations in meteorological characteristics. An explanation is proposed for how the lunisolar tides may affect the air temperature, which is based on the interaction of the gravitational lunisolar tides with the radiation conditions in the atmosphere (due to changes in the cloud cover). A discussion is given of the relationship between the fluctuations in the climatic characteristics and the change in the Earth’s rotational speed on decadal time scales.     

Deep-sea pycnogonids from the North Atlantic and their distribution in the World Ocean

The information on the composition and distribution of present-day pycnogonids in different regions of the World Ocean and, especially, in the northern part of the Atlantic Ocean acquired during the past decades allowed us to perform a biogeographical analysis of these animals, which represent a permanent component of bottom communities. For 34 species of sea spiders (Pycnogonida) found in the North Atlantic deeper than 2 km, ten types of geographical distribution were recognized. Half of the species identified represent Atlantic forms, and 41% of them are endemic forms with West-Atlantic, East-Atlantic, amphi-Atlantic, and central-Atlantic distributions. The other half of the deep-sea Atlantic species have broad geographical ranges. Among them, 11.7% are Atlantic-Pacific species, 14.7% dwell in the Atlantic and West Pacific, 8.9% are low-latitudinal panocaanic species, and 14.7% are panoceanic species able to penetrate to higher latitudes. The zoogeographical species composition shows a significant independence of this fauna in the northern Atlantic Ocean and its relation to the Pacific and Indian oceans. At present, these relations are probably maintained via the temperate latitudes of the Southern Hemisphere and via the Drake Passage; meanwhile, it seems that, previously, they were realized possibly via the ancient Tethys Ocean.     

太平洋东南部新生界的演化

由于地理位置上的遥远性,太平洋东南部至今研究程度仍然较差,了解甚少。例如不了解有关这个地区发生的海洋作用过程与晚新生代在南半球的巨大构造和气候事件的联系等（在这个时候发生了德雷克海峡的开放和巴拿马海峡的封闭,安第斯山系的隆起和南极洲冰盾的形成）;不清楚在太平洋高纬度区和赤道地区气候的波动和生物地球化学旋回之间的相互关系（后者与地球轨道的韵律性变化有关）;也很少知道有关气候、生物界和水体化学成分的区域性演化特征,及其与全球性活动过程的相互作用。     

极区海洋对全球气候变化的快速响应和反馈作用

分析了全球气候变化与极区海洋的相互作用;集成极区快速变暖促使极区海洋出现快速变化的各种现象,如海冰快速变薄和退缩,格陵兰冰盖严重融化,北冰洋和南大洋碳池的固碳能力下降以及极地海洋酸化等.研究提出:北冰洋夏季海冰覆盖面积快速退缩,海冰覆盖面积在2012年8月26日呈现了记录以来的最低值,有模型预测到2035年北冰洋夏季将会见不到海冰.格陵兰冰盖的消融对全球海平面的上升和大洋环流均会产生影响,格陵兰冰盖全部融化将会使全球海平面上升7 m.通过近10 a的观测发现极地海域对大气二氧化碳的吸收能力不升反降,海水对大气二氧化碳的吸收趋向饱和,南大洋和西北冰洋碳吸收能力变弱.有模式预测,到21世纪末,北冰洋表层海水pH值将会降低0.23～0.45,成为全球海洋酸化最严重的海区,而南大洋的表层海水二氧化碳浓度在21世纪下半叶或将超过600μatm的水平,极地海洋酸化对海洋食物链和生态系统的影响可能成为不可逆转的损害.这些极区海洋的快速变化将对全球气候变化产生反馈作用.     

Simulation of the spatiotemporal variability of the World Ocean sea surface hight by the INM climate models

The results of simulations of the World Ocean sea surface hight (SSH) in by various versions of the Climate Model of the Institute of Numerical Mathematics, Russian Academy of Sciences, are compared with the CNES-CLS09 fields of the mean dynamic topography (deviation of the ocean level from the geoid). Three models with different ocean blocks are considered which slightly differ in numerical schemes and have various horizontal spatial resolution, i.e., the INMCM4 model, which participated in the Climate Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP Phase 5, resolution of 1° × 1/2°); the INMCM5 model, which participates in the next project, CMIP6 (resolution of 1/2° × 1/4°); and the advanced INMCM-ER eddy-resolving model (resolution of 1/6° × 1/8°). It is shown that an increase in the spatial resolution improves the reproduction of ocean currents (with Agulhas and Kuroshio currents as examples) and their variability. A probable cause of relatively high errors in the reproduction of the SSH of Southern and Indian oceans is discussed.     

Problems of modeling climate and climate change

The properties of the climate system as a physical object are considered. Major concepts of the mathematical theory of climate are stated, and the problems of constructing mathematical climate models are discussed. The results of reproducing the present-day climate are analyzed, and the sensitivity of the climate system to changes in the content of greenhouse gases is considered. Major directions are formulated in which the development of the mathematical theory of climate and of modeling climate and climate change is possible.     

Geochemical features of the Okhotsk Sea Cenozoic volcanism

Cenozoic volcanic rocks were discovered on major rises of the inner Okhotsk Sea. In this paper, these rocks are geochemically typified, and the geodynamic conditions of their formation reconstructed. For this purpose, mineralogical and geochemical analyses as well as radioisotope age determinations were carried out. The radioisotope age determinations show that the Cenozoic volcanic rocks were formed during the Paleogene–Pleistocene. Within this period, Eocene and Plio-Pleistocene volcanic complexes are particularly prominent. Mineralogical and geochemical analyses show that the rocks belong to the calc-alkaline volcanic series. The Eocene volcanic rocks were formed under subaerial conditions, whereas the Plio-Pleistocene volcanics were formed under submarine conditions. The results of the study suggest that the Okhotsk Sea Basin was formed during the destruction of the Asian continental margin, the Eocene volcanism reflecting subaerial, the Plio-Pleistocene volcanism submarine stages of the Okhotsk Sea evolution.     

Anti-warming of deep layers in the World Ocean

Manifestation of the pumping effect (pump up/pump down) in the periodic problem of nonlinear heat conductivity was studied theoretically for the temperature of the deep layers averaged over the latitude and longitude of the World Ocean. It was shown that the pumping effect in the World Ocean is negative; i.e., when the amplitude of the sea surface temperature (SST) fluctuations increases, the temperature in its depths decreases. Thus, heat is pumped from the depths. Vice versa, if the amplitude of the SST fluctuations decreases as compared with the previous period, the temperature in the depths of the ocean increases; i.e., heat is pumped into the deep layers of the ocean. The period of climate warming is characterized by an increase in the amplitude of the interannual SST fluctuations, which, according to the theory developed, should lead to the cooling of the deep layers of the World Ocean.     

气候变化对东北大西洋渔获物组成、多样性和营养级的影响

东北大西洋是世界上重要的捕捞海域,气候变化对该海域捕捞产生了重要的影响。本文基于联合国粮农组织所提供的1982−2016年东北大西洋渔获产量数据,对该海域渔获物组成、多样性、平均营养级及主成分变化特征进行时间序列上的分析,并结合东北大西洋海域气候、环境因子,应用广义可加模型探究渔获物组成与气候变化之间的关系。结果显示：渔获物多样性的变化总体上呈下降趋势,2002−2010年间处于较低水平;平均营养级在2002年之前呈平缓下降的趋势,2002年之后开始波动上升,相关性分析表明这两个指标与海域环境因子的变化较为相关。对渔获物组成进行主成分分析显示,第一主成份变化的方差解释率达到35.3%,且与海域气候、环境因素有较高的相关性,第一主成分变化能够较好地表征气候影响下渔获物组成变化的情况。广义可加模型分析结果显示,渔获物组成变化的影响因素按解释率由高到低分别为：海表温度、海平面高度、盐度、海冰和北大西洋涛动指数。该研究有助于认识气候变化对海洋渔业资源及其结构组成的影响。     

Late Cenozoic prograding wedges on the NW European continental margin: their formation and relationship to tectonics and climate

During late Pliocene to Pleistocene times, prominent prograding wedges were deposited along the continental margin of NW Europe, resulting in seaward shelf break migration of up to 150 km. Much of the sediment accumulation occurred marginal to the former mid- to high-latitude ice sheets. The geographical distribution, and stratigraphical and chronological data may suggest that the instigation of the wedges was variously related to tectonic uplift as well as a response to the late Pliocene to Pleistocene climate deterioration and onset of major northern hemisphere glaciations. The onset of wedge growth on the NW UK and Irish margins was initiated at about 4 Ma in response to tectonic tilting of the margin in that region. However, glacially derived sediments here comprise a significant proportion of the wedges, especially since 0.44 Ma. For the Faroe margin, no detailed chronology is available; however, it may be inferred that onset of glacigenic wedge growth here did not post-date that observed on the NW UK and Irish margins. Offshore Norway, wedge growth has largely occurred since ca. 2.7 Ma in response to northern hemisphere glaciations, also recording a major change in sediments transport routes at 0.8–1.1 Ma (reflecting larger Fennoscandian Ice Sheets). Presently, it is uncertain whether the glacigenic wedge growth was preceded by a fluvial phase (in response to uplift) in this area. In the western Barents Sea, an early phase of wedge growth was (glacio) fluvial in character. Off western Spitsbergen, the development was similar to that of the Barents Sea although the glacigenic wedge-growth phase may have started somewhat earlier.The wedges commonly display gently inclined seaward prograding clinoforms, and transparent to chaotic internal acoustic facies. Sampling of their sediments reveals that they are mainly composed of glacigenic diamicton interbedded with marine and glaciomarine sediments that, to various extents, have been affected by bottom-current action. The clinoforms of these wedges vary in geometry from oblique to sigmoidal, and they also show varying degrees of aggradation throughout their development. The resulting stratal stacking pattern can be attributed to a combination of variations in sediment supply, sedimentary processes, and accommodation space, the latter being a function of tectonic movements and/or loading induced subsidence as well as eustatic sea-level fluctuations.     

吕宋海峡海洋环流的基本特征

根据对高分辨率的并行海洋气候模式输出的较长时间序列的海面高度（ＳＳＨ）场的分析,推断在吕宋海峡附近海区常年存在吕宋海峡黑潮流套,该流套出现于吕宋海峡的中部和北部,表现为一个舌状的ＳＳＨ的高值中心自海峡东部的太平洋向西扩展到南海北部,大致到达１１０°Ｅ的位置,但其位置、形状、强度等表现季节变化,年际变化和季节内时间尺度变化的特征。在吕宋海峡东侧的大洋上,经常出现位置和范围时有变化的反气旋涡,与之对应,在ＳＳＨ的月平均经向和纬向剖面上,吕宋海峡东侧的大洋上有永久存在的ＳＳＨ高值中心。另外在１９９５年１～７月期间有一次完整的黑潮流环脱离黑潮主体并在南海北部向西南方向移动的过程。     

海洋中Redfield比值的研究

总结并评述了对海洋中的Redfield比值进行修正的研究成果。通过对文献结果的综合分析,获得了一些规律性认识：N／P=16这一传统的Redfield比值被广泛接受,个别大洋深层水中N／P比值小于16可归因于脱氮作用;海洋中实际的-O2／P和C／P比值大于传统的Redfield比值;海洋中浮游生物的实际元素组成中C／H、C／O比值显著高于Redfield给出的浮游生物元素组成中的比例。     

世界大洋潮波特征的比较分析

对TOPEX/Poseidon(以下简称T/P)高度计资料直接分析得到4个主要分潮(M2,K1,S2和O1)的调和常数,并与5个全球大洋潮波模式的模拟结果和138个验潮站观测资料的分析结果进行了系统比较,得出如下结论:在深水大洋,高度计资料直接分析结果与潮波模式模拟结果较一致;模拟出的无潮点的个数和位置也较一致;半日分潮模拟结果比全日分潮要好。5个模式模拟结果之间的差异相对较小,振幅的绝对偏差在1.0 cm左右,迟角的绝对偏差在10(°)左右。在陆架浅海,不同模型结果差异相对较大。高度计资料直接分析结果比模式模拟结果普遍偏小,尤其在陆架浅海更是如此。     

Organic geochemistry of late Cenozoic sediments from the subtropical South Atlantic Ocean

Organic matter has been characterized in samples of Pleistocene, Pliocene, and Miocene sediments from seven Deep Sea Drilling Project sites in the subtropical South Atlantic Ocean. Organic carbon concentrations average 0.3% for most samples, and n-alkanoic acid, n-alkanol, and alkane biomarkers indicate extensive microbial reworking of organic matter in these organic-carbon-lean sediments. Samples from the easternmost parts of the South Atlantic contain an average of 4.1% organic carbon and reflect the high productivity associated with the Benguela Current. Lipid biomarkers show less microbial reworking in these sediments. Eolian transport of land-derived hydrocarbons is evident at most of these oceanic locations.     

Devising methods for geomagnetic studies in the World Ocean

The importance of geomagnetic studies in the World Ocean for deep structure research and fore-casting of mineral resources is noted. A combined method for development of a marine nuclear magnetometer is adduced. The physical background of operation of nuclear magnetometers is analyzed in order to optimize the measurements of the magnetic field. The results of the experiments on detecting nuclear precession signals against the background of ship noises are considered and the elaboration of an MM-1 nuclear magnetometer at the Shirshov Institute of Oceanology is described. A technique for magnetic survey and comprehensive geological interpretation of the anomalies and Z and H field components are presented. Examples of geomagnetic studies performed in the World Ocean with the MM-Inuclear magnetometer are assessed: for the first time in Russia, linear magnetic anomalies were identified and sea-floor spreading rates were calculated (the northern part of the Indian Ocean); a regional geomagnetic survey was carried out in the region of Iceland, which proved the spreading origin of the seafloor in this vast region. A systematic analysis of geomagnetic data obtained with the MM-1 magnetometer in the World Ocean provided the creation and development of the methodology for their tectonic and geodynamical interpretation. On the basis of the geomagnetic data obtained, new fundamental conclusions about the deep structure, kinematics and paleogeodynanics of the World Ocean floor were made.     

Average grain-size parameters of unlithified sediments in the World Ocean

The high diversity of grain-size parameters of marine and oceanic sediments is determined by hydrodynamical and gravitational processes. Grain-size spectra of the sediments in the World Ocean are represented by two main types. Filtering organisms that passively inherit the proportions of clayey fractions in suspended matter only accelerate the deposition of fine particles, not influencing their distribution at the bottom.     

Dense aggregations of a hexactinellid sponge, Pheronema carpenteri, in the Porcupine Seabight (northeast Atlantic Ocean), and possible causes

Dense aggregations of the hexactinellid sponge, Pheronema carpenteri, were encountered in the Porcupine Seabight at depths between about 1000 and 1300m. In restricted areas within this bathymetric range the sponges attain numerical abundances of more than 1.5m⁻² and an estimated biomass of up to 372g m⁻² wet weight or about 10g m⁻² ash-free dry weight.These recently acquired samples, together with historical data, suggest that Pheronema occurs close to, but not within, regions of the upper continental slope where the bottom topography is expected to result in significant enhancement of the near-bottom tidal current velocities. It is suggested that the sponges may not be able to withstand the enhanced currents, but may nevertheless be dependent upon the resuspended or undeposited organic matter carried to them from these regions of increased tidal energy.     

3～5月份东印度洋上层水文要素特征分析

利用中国科学院"实验1"号调查船2010~2012年东印度洋3个航次的走航断面观测数据,分析了春季孟加拉湾南部和赤道东印度洋上层海洋的水文结构特征,同时结合卫星遥感资料和世界海洋图集2009(world ocean atlas 2009,WOA09)气候态温、盐资料,探讨了孟加拉湾南部海水经向地转输运的变化以及温跃层的波动。结果表明,在3~5月份,即印度洋冬季风向夏季风转换期间,赤道西风的爆发成为这一海域最关键的驱动力,将阿拉伯海的高盐水向东输运,使赤道纬向压强梯度力转为西向,减弱了赤道潜流并引起向北的经向地转输运。在孟加拉湾湾口,赤道的波动强迫导致了经向输运由南向转为北向,来自阿拉伯海的高盐水与孟加拉湾的低盐水在此汇集,形成了明显的盐度梯度;波动强迫还使得孟加拉湾湾口呈现出一个向西移动并减弱的气旋涡流场。在波动和表层盐度差异的影响下,湾口温跃层维持着向西下倾斜的状态,即使是在印度洋东岸海水堆积时,也没有显示出如赤道断面温跃层那般的大幅度加深。