Effects of different soil and water conservation measures on hydrological extremes and flood processes in the Yanhe River,Loess Plateau,China

The runoff and sediment load of the Loess Plateau have changed significantly due to the implementation of soil and water conservation measures since the 1970s. However, the effects of soil and water conservation measures on hydrological extremes have rarely been considered. In this study, we investigated the variations in hydrological extremes and flood processes during different periods in the Yanhe River Basin (a tributary of the Loess Plateau) based on the daily mean runoff and 117 flood event data from 1956 to 2013. The study periods were divided into reference period (1956–1969), engineering measures period (1970–1995), and biological control measures period (1996–2013) according to the change points of the annual streamflow and the actual human activity in the basin. The results of the hydrological high extremes (HF1_max, HF3_max, HF7_max) exhibit a decreasing trend (P?<?0.01), whereas the hydrological low extremes (HBF1_min, HBF3_min, HBF7_min) show an increasing trend during 1956–2013. Compared with the hydrological extremes during the reference period, the hydrological high extremes increased during the engineering measures period at low (<?15%) and high frequency (>?80%), whereas decreased during the biological control measures period at almost all frequencies. The hydrological low extremes generally increased during both the engineering measures and biological control measures periods, particularly during the latter period. At the flood event scale, most flood event indices in connection with the runoff and sediment during the engineering measures period were significantly higher than those during the biological control measures period. The above results indicate that the ability to withstand hydrological extremes for the biological control measures was greater than that for the engineering measures in the studied basin. This work reveals the effects of different soil and water conservation measures on hydrological extremes in a typical basin of the Loess Plateau and hence can provide a useful reference for regional soil erosion control and disaster prevention policy-making.

     

A review on missing hydrological data processing

Like almost all fields of science, hydrology has benefited to a large extent from the tremendous improvements in scientific instruments that are able to collect long-time data series and an increase in available computational power and storage capabilities over the last decades. Many model applications and statistical analyses (e.g., extreme value analysis) are based on these time series. Consequently, the quality and the completeness of these time series are essential. Preprocessing of raw data sets by filling data gaps is thus a necessary procedure. Several interpolation techniques with different complexity are available ranging from rather simple to extremely challenging approaches. In this paper, various imputation methods available to the hydrological researchers are reviewed with regard to their suitability for filling gaps in the context of solving hydrological questions. The methodological approaches include arithmetic mean imputation, principal component analysis, regression-based methods and multiple imputation methods. In particular, autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity (ARCH) models which originate from finance and econometrics will be discussed regarding their applicability to data series characterized by non-constant volatility and heteroscedasticity in hydrological contexts. The review shows that methodological advances driven by other fields of research bear relevance for a more intensive use of these methods in hydrology. Up to now, the hydrological community has paid little attention to the imputation ability of time series models in general and ARCH models in particular.     

喀斯特流域径流量时序演变特征分析——以贵州省为例

以贵阳水文站近45年年径流量序列为例,利用Mo r let 小波变换对喀斯特流域径流量时序演变特性进行了分析预测。结果表明: ( 1)贵阳水文站年径流主要存在4a和25a 两个时间尺度的周期变化,在这两种时间尺度下,径流演变呈现出较明显的丰、枯交替振荡。( 2) 2000年以后的10a左右,年径流量有由丰转为枯、逐步下降的趋势。( 3)年平均径流量的丰、枯周期变化主要受年平均降水量的影响;人类活动对喀斯特流域年径流量有增加和减小两方面的影响,总体上会使径流量略有增加。      

气候与土地利用变化对水文水资源的影响研究

水资源短缺和水患灾害已成为全球关心的重大问题。气候与土地利用变化对流域水资源和旱涝的影响以及由此产生的社会经济后果已引起人类社会的广泛关注。深入综合地开展这方面的研究对国民经济建设和可持续发展规划决策有重要的意义。通过分析总结已进行的有关研究工作 ,对该领域的研究进展作了简要回顾 ,讨论了现有工作的不足和今后的研究内容和方法。     

The younger dryas cooling in northeast Germany: summer temperature and environmental changes in the Friedländer Groβe Wiese region

A lake sediment record from the Friedländer Groβe Wiese in northeast Germany was studied to reconstruct summer temperature changes associated with changes in vegetation development during the Weichselian Lateglacial. The record was analysed for pollen, chironomids, and oxygen and carbon isotopes of lake marl. The combination of radiocarbon dates, the presence of the Laacher See Tephra and correlation of lithological and palynological changes with other records from the region indicated that the record encompassed the Allerød to the early Holocene. Pollen assemblages reflect development of birch and later pine‐dominated forests during the Allerød, comparable to other sites in the region. Chironomid‐inferred mean July air temperatures (C‐IT) for this period range between ～14.0 and 14.8°C. A temporary decrease in C‐IT of ～1°C, a negative shift in the isotope records, and a minor decline of birch may correspond to Greenland Interstadial 1b. Even though the transition to the Younger Dryas appears to be affected by reworking and redeposition processes, a drop in C‐IT to ～11.1°C is reconstructed for the later part of the Younger Dryas, while it appears that pine locally persisted in the region. Comparison with a nearby pollen record further indicates a local expansion of wetland grasses during this period. At the transition to the Holocene, C‐IT increased to ～15.7°C, while birch and pine forests re‐expanded. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Short-period variations in the proper motions of sunspots from SOHO (MDI) observations

Short-period (1–60 min) variations in the coordinates of the centers of gravity of isolated sunspots are analyzed. The sunspot coordinated were determined using two sets of observational data—magnetograms and intensities—obtained by SOHO (MDI) on December 6, 1998, from 01:00 to 21:57 UT with temporal resolution 60 s and spatial resolution 0.6″/pixel. A slow drift in the sunspot coordinates was removed using a low-frequency filter with a 61-min integration window. The guiding errors (RMS～0.014″) were determined by analyzing correlated motions in pairs of sunspots, and were removed from the time series before determining the sunspot proper motions. Based on the calculated power spectra for the sunspot proper motions, two period intervals containing appreciable power were identified. One coincides with the well-known 5-min acoustic solar oscillations. The concentration of power in this interval is greater for the coordinate variations derived the magnetograms than those derived from the intensities; the harmonic amplitude for some peaks reaches ～±30 km. The other spectral interval corresponds to periods exceeding 30 min. Overall, the rms short-period variations in the sunspot proper motions are 9.9±2.2 and 16.7±7.6 km (0.014″±0.003″ and 0.024″±0.010″) for the magnetogram and intensity data, respectively.     

碳酸盐岩礁滩油气储层地震预测方法探讨

储层结构和孔隙流体预测是目前碳酸盐岩礁滩油气储层地震预测的重点和难点。这里从流体敏感性参数的选择和基于储层结构模拟的孔隙度预测二方面。研究了碳酸盐岩礁滩油气储层的流体识别问题。其中,基于测井资料统计分析和／或岩石物理岩样测试的参数交会图的制作,是优选烃类敏感参数的基础。在单一敏感参数的基础上,构组复合型的流体识别因子,能获得更好的流体识别效果。储层孔隙度预测是这样实现的：首先,对Gassman流体替换方程通过引入近似关系βp-βs≈βp进行简化;然后引入Eshelby—Walsh储层结构参数以获得直接计算孔隙度的表达式;最后,根据弹性反演得到的纵波、横渡阻抗（或纵波、横波速度）等参数,计算得到孔隙度及孔隙流体预测剖面。经实际地震资料的流体预测结果显示,新方法比常规方法预测的精度高。     

中国历史文献档案中的古环境记录

我国的历史文献记录是古气候、古环境信息的重要来源,对古全球变化（PAGES）研究计划的目标时段——近2000年（人文记录和自然记录并存的时段）来说,尤其具有重要的科学价值。介绍了我国古文献中的古气候、古环境记录的概况和各项记录如水、旱、雨、雪等的数量统计,综述了这些记录被用于重建定量的气候序列、绘制历史气候复原图、编制古环境事件年表、获取高分辨率的古气候信息诸方面的主要进展。     

小波分析在水文学中的应用研究及展望

扼要介绍了20世纪80年代初发展起来的,被誉为数学“显微镜”的信号分析新方法——小波分析。在此基础上,综述了小波分析在水文水资源系统中的应用研究现状。展望了小波分析在该领域的未来研究趋势和发展方向。将小波分析引入水科学,不但拓宽了应用范围,而且推动了小波理论本身的发展。     

魏晋南北朝时期的中国东部温度变化

根据魏晋南北朝时期的异常霜雪记载及植物物候记述,推算了中国东部地区部分年代及每30年的冬半年温度距平;并结合有关自然证据,分析了魏晋南北朝时期中国的冷暖变化特征。主要结论有:1)魏晋南北朝时期中国东部冬半年温度距平较现代约低05℃,最冷的30年（480s～500s）较现代约低12℃,是一个可与小冰期相比拟的寒冷气候阶段。2)魏晋南北朝的温度存在“冷-暖-冷”世纪波动;其中两个冷谷为270s～350s及450s～530s,当时中国东部冬半年温度分别较现代低05℃（270s～350s）和09℃（450s～530s）;而360s～440s虽然相对温暖,但当时中国东部冬半年温度仍较现代略低。     

青海省海西州德令哈地区近千年来年降水量变化特征分析

试图揭示位于我国青藏高原东北部的青海省海西州德令哈地区近千年来世纪尺度年降水量变化规律。分析结果表明,该地区近千年年降水量变化存在显著的多尺度周期变化特征,其中以13～18世纪中的200年主控周期最为明显,并在15～17世纪达到最强,而近200年则以准120年的周期振荡为主,且在19世纪两种主要周期变化趋势相反,在近百年又趋向一致。年降水量序列的均值突变一般以30～100年尺度最为明显,世纪尺度的均值突变时段分别为公元1100～1111年、1403～1449年及1615～1661年,表现为年降水量的减少,以及公元1321～1348年、1497～1557年、1728～1743年及1885～1891年,表现为年降水量的增加。200年以上时间尺度的方差突变主要表现为序列的低频变化幅度,从公元1220年前后至1580年前后持续增大,且以15世纪的方差突变最为明显。     

乌鲁木齐河山区流域360年径流量的重建

本文利用在乌鲁木齐河山区流域所建立的树轮年表，重建了乌鲁木齐河山区流域３６０年上年７月～当年３月的平均径流量。校准方程的相关系数为０．６７０，交叉检验的误差缩减值达０．３６６。在重建的３６０年径流量的变化中，有４个偏丰期和３个偏枯期，第２，３两个偏丰期与乌鲁木齐河河源１号冰川的两次冰进期相对应。对重建径流量的丰枯频率分析发现，平水年份出现最多，偏枯水年份多于偏丰水年份约５．８％，特枯水年没有出现，特丰水年出现６次，约占１．７％。这表明３６０年来径流量变化基本上稳定。     

Ozonation of triterpenoids: Implications for early diagenesis of biomarkers in oxic environments

This study examines the fate of commonly found organic natural products under exposure to ozone to simulate early oxic diagenesis. The model compounds β-amyrin, lupenone and friedelin have been investigated by ozonation in the presence of water. The transformation products were identified or proposed based on their fragmentation patterns in mass spectra. The double bonds located at the isopropenyl group of lupenone and ring C of β-amyrin are the main reaction sites in the ozonation reaction. The major products identified from the ozonation of β-amyrin are β-amyrone, 12,13-epoxyoleanan-3β-ol, 11-oxo-olean-12-en-3β-ol, 12-oxo-oleanan-3β-ol. In addition, 8,14-seco-12-oxo-olean-14-en-3β-ol, 8,14-seco-12-oxo-olean-13-en-3β-ol and 8,14-seco-oleana-3,12-dione, generated from the bond cleavage between C-8 to C-14 of 12-oxo-oleanan-3β-ol and 12-oxo-oleanan-3-one, respectively, have also been detected. 22,29,30-trisnorlup-18(19)-en-3-one, 22,29,30-trisnorlupan-3-one, 22,29,30-trisnorlupana-3,19-dione, 22,29,30-trisnorlupana-3,12-dione, lupeol, lup-22(29)-en-3-on-29-ol, 22,29-epoxylupan-3-one, lupan-3-on-29-al, lupan-3-on-29-ol and 19,22-epoxylupan-3-one are the major products from the ozonation of lupenone. No transformation product was detected for friedelin, probably due to its stability to ozonation.     

Results of three-frequency monitoring of giant pulses from the crab pulsar

We present the results of long-term, three-frequency monitoring of giant pulses from the Crab pulsar on the 64-m radio telescope in Kalyazin. The total monitoring time was 160 hours. The signal power was recorded simultaneously at 600, 1650, and 4850 MHz via direct sampling of the received signals in the total receiver bandwidth without any compensation for interstellar dispersion. In total, 1117 and 352 giant pulses were detected at 600 and 4850 MHz, respectively. The frequency band centered at 1650 MHz was contaminated by interference, and was used only to identify events found in other frequency bands. The cumulative energy distribution of the giant pulses follows a power law at 600 and 4850 MHz up to the highest energies. A deep modulation in the radio spectra of individual giant pulses was observed on both large (Δv/v ≈ 0.5) and small (Δv/v ≈ (2?4) × 10^?3) frequency scales. The simultaneous appearance of giant pulses at the interpulse longitudes at high (4850 MHz) and low (1650 and/or 600 MHz) frequencies testifies to their common origin, in spite of the observed differences in other parameters.     

Differential behaviour of a Lesser Himalayan watershed in extreme rainfall regimes

Climatic extremes including precipitation are bound to intensify in the global warming environment. The present study intends to understand the response of the Tons sub-watershed in Lesser Himalaya, in 3 years with entirely different hydrological conditions (July 2008–June 2011) in terms of discharge, sediment flux and denudation rates. Within an uncertainty limit of ±20%, the mean interannual discharge (5.74 ± 1.44 m ³ s ^?1) (±SE), was found highly variable (CV: 151%; 0.8–38 m ³ s ^?1). In a normal rainfall year (2008–2009; ～1550 mm), the discharge was 5.12 ± 1.75 m ³ s ^?1, whereas in a drought year (2009–2010), it reduced by 30% with the reduction in ～23% rainfall (CV: 85%). In an excessive rainfall year (once-in-a-century event) (2010–2011; ～3050 mm), discharge as well as total solid load was ～200% higher. Monsoon months (July–September) accounted for more than 90% of the annual solid load transport. The ratio of dissolved to suspended solid (C/P ratio) was consistently low (<1) during monsoon months and higher (1–7) during the rest of the dry period. C/P ratio was inversely (R ²=0.49), but significantly (P <0.001) related to the rainfall. The average mechanical erosion rate in the three different rainfall years was 0.24, 0.19 and 1.03 mmyr ^?1, whereas the chemical erosion was estimated at 0.12, 0.11 and 0.46 mmyr ^?1, respectively. Thus, the average denudation rate of the Tons sub-watershed has been estimated at 0.33 mmyr ^?1 (excluding extreme rainfall year: 1.5 mmyr ^?1). Our results have implications to understand the hydrological behaviour of the Lesser Himalayan watersheds and will be valuable for the proposed and several upcoming small hydropower plants in the region in the context of regional ecology and natural resource management.     

过去2000年中国东部冬半年温度变化

根据近年收集、整理的历史文献冷暖记载及过去有关研究结果,对中国东部地区过去2000年冬半年的温度状况进行了定量推断,重建了中国东部地区过去2000年分辨率为10～30年的冬半年温度距平变化序列,并分析了中国东部过去2000年的冷暖变化阶段与变化幅度。结果发现:在过去2000年中,中国东部冬半年温度高于1951～1980年平均值且持续时间超过百年的暖期有4个,其中最暖的30年出现在1230’s～1250’s(较1951～1980年高0.9℃);低于1951～1980年平均值且持续时间超过百年的冷期有3个,其中最冷的30年出现在1650’s～1670’s(较1951～1980年低1.1℃)。在冷暖期之间相互转换的过程中,冬半年温度一般都出现1℃左右的升、降温;在冷暖期内,一些幅度较大的升、降温也与之相仿;在相邻的两个30年中,温度变化幅度达0.5℃以上的有19次之多。对比过去2000年中的冷暖交替变化还可以看出:20世纪回暖时的升温幅度与过去2000年中的其他回暖过程所出现的幅度相似,特别是与5世纪末至6世纪的回暖极为相似;而在当前温暖阶段中,1981～1999年较1951～1980年升高了0.5℃,不但使其接近过去2000年中的最暖30年,而     

冀东太平寨-娄子山太古宙麻粒岩相变质峰期流体研究

冀东太平寨-娄子山地区太古宙麻粒岩系变质峰期流体包裹体首次见于夕线石中,按形 态 和产状可分三类,均形成于峰期至其稍后阶段。它们成分相似。特征是:①富碳质,XC　O2+C　H4=0.64～0.93; ②含少量H2O,XH 2O=0～0.22,且与峰期矿物 组合平衡热力学计算的水活度(aH2O=0.04～0.31)和含量( XH2O=0.03～0.22)完全吻合; ③有时含一定量H2S和SO2; ④盐水溶液 中阴离子总量极低(0.12～0.61mol/L)。石英和石榴石中也有特征相同的这期包裹体。峰 期包裹体中C　O 2均一温度多数 为-28℃～-22℃,密度为0.96～1.06g/cm3,包裹体整体密度应稍高,相应的压力为0.60 ～0.70G Pa。流体的氧逸度lgfO2在-17～-15之间。峰期流体上述各种特征在空间上较 均匀,相邻的不同岩石类型中aH2O值相似,结合地质和原岩特 征分析,认为流体中C　O2可能为深部地幔来源,其成因与基性岩浆底侵及其结晶作 用有关。     

Anisotropic Continuous-in-Scale Universal Multifractal Cascades: Simulation,Analysis and Correction Methods

Continuous-in-scale multifractal cascades has long been an attractive choice for mathematically modeling turbulent and turbulent-like geophysical fields. These fields are usually anisotropic as they are subject to both stratification and rotation, thereby questioning the isotropy assumption often made to model them. The self-affine and generalized scale invariance approaches to scaling are used here to introduce anisotropy in such models. These anisotropic simulations have (1) unresolved large-scale features and (2) statistics that deviate from the desired power-law scaling mainly in the small scales. The former issue is solved via nesting, whereas the latter is attempted to be overcome using singularity correction methods. While earlier studies have proposed isotropic correction methods, here they have been generalized to correct anisotropic simulations. These singularity corrections seem to improve the small-scale statistical properties of mildly anisotropic simulations; nesting, on the other hand, appears to enhance statistics over almost all scales even for strongly anisotropic simulations. Both the correction and nesting techniques lead to a reduction in computational time and memory usage suggesting that nested singularity-corrected cascades offer a better framework for quantitatively modeling the atmosphere, ocean, solid earth, and associated fields.     

29Si and 1H NMR spectroscopy of high-pressure hydrous magnesium silicates

We present NMR spectroscopic data, obtained by ¹H MAS, ¹H static spin-echo, and ²⁹Si{¹H} CP-MAS techniques, for a series of hydrous magnesium silicate samples synthesized at high pressure. This series includes chondrodite, β-Mg₂SiO₄, and phases A, B, superhydrous B, and E. Phases B and superhydrous B give very narrow ²⁹Si NMR peaks and display the most de-shielded Si^VI chemical shifts yet reported: ?170.4?ppm for B and ?166.6 for superhydrous B. The ¹H NMR spectra of B and superhydrous B confirm the presence of paired hydroxyls, as determined from refinement of the H positions from X-ray diffraction data. The ¹H MAS NMR spectra of phase B contain peaks for the two distinct hydrogen positions, with chemical shifts of +4.7 and +3.3?ppm. The static ¹H spectrum contains a powder pattern characteristic of a strongly coupled hydrogen pair, from which a dipolar coupling constant of 18.6(4)?kHz and inter-hydrogen distance of d(H–H)=1.86(2)?Å were obtained. Superhydrous B appears to give two poorly resolved ¹H MAS peaks, consistent with the presence of two distinct hydrogen pairs in the P2₁ mn crystal structure. Analysis of its spin-echo spectrum gives d(H–H)=1.83(3)?Å, slightly shorter than for phase B. β-Mg₂SiO₄, coexisting with phases B and superhydrous B, appears to give ²⁹Si{¹H} CP-MAS signal, indicating that it contains significant H concentration. The ²⁹Si chemical shifts for phases B, superhydrous B, and chondrodite, together with those reported previously for other Mg-silicates, show a good correlation with structural parameters.