共查询到19条相似文献,搜索用时 140 毫秒
1.
介绍了上存水库库区地质背景、构造应力场、地震活动背景等诱发地震条件。应用诱发地震条件类比与概率预测法,对上存水库进行诱发地震可能性分析。结果表明:①根据水库诱发条件类比分析认为上存水库发生诱发地震的可能性小。②从概率预测和最大诱发地震估算看,上存水库存在发生4级以下诱发地震的可能。极震区地震烈度可能会达到Ⅵ度,尚未达到当地地震基本烈度。水库建设可不用考虑水库诱发地震的影响。 相似文献
2.
3.
4.
5.
二滩水电站水库诱发地震预测 总被引:1,自引:1,他引:0
胡先明 《地震地磁观测与研究》1999,20(2):41-46
二滩水电站是国内仅次于长江三峡水电站正在建设中的最大水电站。二滩水电站水库可能诱发MS=5.0±0.5的水库地震;在二滩水电站水库区域里的4条主要断层中的3条断层诱发水库地震的条件概率是相当高的;在各主要断层中诱发水库地震的概率排序为树河-普威断层,李明久断层,西番田断层,头滩断层 相似文献
6.
7.
8.
水库蓄水后可能诱发的地震危险性估计是工程地震工作中的一项重要环节,其中可能诱发的地震强度是人们特别关注的要素。本文基于国内外41个水库地震震例,从目前对水库地震形成机理的认识水平出发,提取了15个可能的诱震指标,应用模式识别的一些方法对水库蓄水后的诱发地震危险性进行复因子评估,通过内符检验讨论了这些方法在水库诱发地震危险性上的估计效能,给出了其错误概率估计值,结果表明,这些方法能够相对客观和合理地评定水库蓄水后可能诱发的地震危险性水平大小,在工程上具有一定应用价值。 相似文献
9.
福建水口水库诱发地震最大震级预测 总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3
许振栋 《地震地磁观测与研究》2004,25(3):58-62
福建水口水库于1993年3月下闸蓄水,同年5月23日发生首次诱发地震,迄今已超过1400次,其中最大地震为1996年4月21日ML4.1地震。水口水库能诱发多大震级的地震一直是人们关心的话题。本文根据国内外已发生水库诱发地震震例资料,结合水口库区的具体情况,应用概率预测法、综合影响参数预测法、两级模糊评判法、古登堡—里克特公式外推预测法、发育断裂长度预测震级法、历史地震最高震级预测法等方法,对水口水库可能诱发的最大震级进行预测研究。综合结果认为:水口水库有可能诱发最大5.0级地震。 相似文献
10.
11.
The available substructure method for the earthquake analysis of concrete gravity dams, including the dynamic effects of the impounded water and the flexible foundation rock, is extended to include the effects of alluvium and sediments invariably present at the bottom of actual reservoirs. Modelled approximately by a reservoir bottom that partially absorbs incident hydrodynamic pressure waves, these effects are incorporated into the continuum solution for the hydrodynamic pressure. The dam-water-foundation rock system is idealized as a two-dimensional system and analysed under the assumption of linear behaviour. An example earthquake analysis is presented to demonstrate the results obtained from the analytical procedure. Computation times for several cases illustrate the efficiency of the analytical procedure. In particular, the additional computation time required to include reservoir bottom absorption is shown to be very small. 相似文献
12.
新丰江水库诱发地震是在什么深度发生的?通过对该水库基底断裂内岩石的三轴实验,获取了该岩石较完整的三轴强度包络线。利用强度理论、孔隙水压力并结合地震资料,对水库诱发地震的极限深度进行研究后得出:①具有诱发地震条件的水库,存在一个诱发空间,若岩体深度超过某一值(极限深度)后,将不再有诱发地震;岩石不同,极限深度也不同;②新丰江水库区的诱发地震,只在约14km深度的岩体内发生,震源深度≥14km的地震,均为普通的构造地震。 相似文献
13.
14.
15.
16.
本文对丹江口水库区地震活动的有利地质条件,海西期以来应力场,地震活动特点,成因与发展趋势都作了讨论。初步认为:丹江口地震活动区处在两组不同的构造线交汇,隆起断块与下降断块接触边缘,差异运动强烈地段以及不同类型岩石的接触部位。地震活动是在特殊水文地质环境下,由于北东东向压应力作用,两组剪切面在水的参与下发生滑动的结果。有利的地质条件是丹江口水库区地震活动的主因,库水引起的垂直压力和孔隙压力是次要因素。在发展趋势上,1973年11月29日4.7级地震可能就是157米水位线诱发的最高震级。二期工程竣工后,有可能发生5级左右的地震。这一看法,对充分利用丹江口水库使其发挥应有的作用,以及二期工程的进行都可能有一定的参考价值。 相似文献
17.
Kianoosh Hatami 《Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering》1997,16(7-8):407-415
The absorption of hydrodynamic pressure waves at the reservoir bottom has dominant effects on the structural response of the dam when subjected to ground motion. In the present study, a model is proposed for the absorption effects of the reservoir bottom in the earthquake analysis of dams. The model utilizes the wave reflection coefficient approach and is based on the solution of the wave equation in a sediment layer of viscoelastic material with a constant thickness overlying an elastic, semi-infinite foundation. Numerical studies were conducted to evaluate the effect of the sediment layer thickness and material properties as well as the effect of reflection of waves from the underlying rock. It is shown that the current approach of assuming the wave reflection coefficient at the reservoir bottom based on the characteristics of the sediment material and excluding the effect of the reflected waves from the underlying rock, may significantly underestimate the seismic response of the dam. 相似文献
18.
2002年在浙江温州的珊溪水库发生了一系列水库诱发地震,其拐角频率明显小于同震级的构造地震。本从二相介质理论出发,讨论了水库岩体在扩容、流体渗入饱和和强度弱化过程中波速和波速比的变化以及对拐角频率的影响。根据实验结果,当孔隙度为0.15,岩体弹性模量减小23%时,拐角频率可以减小约29%。由此解释了水库诱发地震拐角频率偏小主要是由裂隙发育和库水渗透扩散使地壳浅部岩体强度弱化引起的。因此拐角频率可以作为区别两的一个依据。 相似文献
19.
In this work, a ghost-cell immersed boundary method is proposed for the hydrodynamic response of earthquake excited dam-reservoirs. The numerical method employs a second order accurate two-step projection algorithm including compressibility effects in pressure field due to earthquake. The effects of reservoir bottom absorption are treated by introducing damping terms into the momentum equations. Hydrodynamic response of earthquake excited dam with a sloping face is simulated to demonstrate the accuracy of the present numerical method. Numerical results compared with previous numerical and analytical solutions show that the present immersed boundary method can accurately compute the hydrodynamic forces on inclined and curved dam faces including the effects of water compressibility and reservoir bottom absorption for the possibility of resonance. The proposed numerical method was shown to have significant advantages in computational time and memory usage for the hydrodynamic simulation of large dam-reservoirs with arbitrary geometries. Hydrodynamic forces on a double curvature arch dam subjected to real earthquake induced ground motion are also simulated to demonstrate the capability of the method. 相似文献