地震动强度参数相关性对地震滑坡危险性影响分析

本文基于全概率地震滑坡危险性分析方法,利用蒙特卡罗模拟研究在不同临界屈服加速度a_c、永久位移模型、场地类别和断层距情况下,地震动强度参数相关性对地震滑坡危险性结果的影响规律。主要结果表明:在进行滑坡危险性分析时,不考虑多地震动强度参数相关性会造成预测位移值偏小,滑坡风险被低估。因此,考虑地震动强度参数相关性对滑坡危险性评价很有必要,这能使预测结果反映地震动参数样本作为输入时的实际相关性特征,为合理进行滑坡防护提供理论依据和参考。     

地震动的空间相关性——以纳帕地震为例

在区域地震危险性分析或者损失评估中,需要量化同一次地震中的多场点地震动强度被联合超越的概率。常规的特定场点地震危险性分析方法并不能处理场点间地震动的空间相关性问题。文中利用收集到的2014年8月24日美国加州纳帕MW6.0地震的344组强震记录,初步研究了地震动在空间上的相关性。利用半变异函数方法计算获得了峰值加速度(PGA)、峰值速度(PGV)及3个特定周期(0.3s、1.0s和3.0s)反应谱谱值的空间相关性函数,通过指数模型拟合得到了其对应的连续的空间相关性函数,并与先前的研究结果进行了比较。研究结果表明,地震动参数存在空间相关性,且随着距离的增大呈指数衰减;地震动的空间相关性随着反应谱周期的增大而增大;同时,地震动的空间相关性存在区域性的特征,峰值加速度的空间相关性在南加州地区比在日本和中国台湾地区更弱(衰减更快)。文中所得结论可为区域地震危险性分析、损失评估以及减小震后快速产出震动图(Shake Map)的不确定性等提供理论依据和参考。     

汶川地震诱发滑坡的地震动加速度评判标准

通过对汶川MS8.0地震强震记录资料的计算分析,给出一个与地震诱发滑坡关系比较密切的地震动加速度参数--最大临界加速度.分析表明,最大临界加速度与地震滑坡的相关性高于峰值加速度,而且可以消除峰值加速度作为判据使用时存在的问题.利用汶川地震强震资料建立了该参数在震区的衰减关系,由衰减关系得到的地震滑坡影响区域与汶川地震滑...     

汶川地震地面运动场估计及地震烈度与地震动参数相关性分析

地震工程学的发展离不开强震观测资料,其中观测资料又可以分为两类:一类是地震动时程记录;另一类是实际震害调查资料.在众多实际震害调查资料中,地震烈度分布是一种最为常见、最有价值的实际震害调查资料.如果能建立由强震观测记录衍生而来的各种地震动参数与烈度两者之间合理的关系,则可为地震应急和相应措施的制定提供依据.有鉴于此,本文以各种地震动参数与烈度的相关性分析为核心,对用什么样的参数、采用什么样的方法来衡量烈度进行了探索.     

地震滑坡灾害快速评估技术及对应急影响研究

地震诱发滑坡灾害在我国分布非常广泛,对1949年以来MS≥5.0级地震统计结果显示,诱发滑坡地震在全国大部分省区都有发生,尤其在西部山区,其中以云南、四川地震滑坡造成的灾害损失最为严重。     

地震活动性参数对地震动的影响

本文通过对目前我国地震危险性分析中的地震活动性参数不确定性的分析,揭示地震活动性参数不确定的的影响因素,研究了地震活动性参数不确定性对地震动分析结果的影响程度,为工程场地地震危险性分析结果的综合选取提供借鉴。     

黄河阶地特征与地震动参数的相关性研究

在分析已有资料的基础上划分了兰州盆地与建设工程分布密切相关的T₀、T₁、T₂、T₃和T₄级黄河阶地,建立201个土层地震反应模型。通过一维等效线性化计算和反应谱分析,得出兰州盆地沉积阶地50年超越概率10%地表地震动参数,分析阶地高度和v_S≤500 m/s覆盖层厚度特征与地震动参数峰值加速度Am和加速度反应谱特征周期T_g的相关性。表明兰州盆地T₀~T₂阶地覆盖层厚度与50年超越概率10%A_m呈正相关,T₃及以上阶地覆盖层厚度对A_m增大有明显的减小作用。T_g值随T₀~T₃阶地覆盖层厚度的增加而变大,当覆盖层厚度进一步变大,T_g值不再同步增大,阶地覆盖层厚度对T_g的影响是有限的,阶地海拔高度与地表50年超越概率10%地震动参数没有关系。     

汶川MS 8.0地震断层与地震灾害初步分析

对于特大地震近断层地震场的空间分布的复杂性学术界一直很关注,由于样本地震数量和资料的不足,至今还没有非常清晰的结论。通过参加汶川MS8.0地震的应急科学考察,对震中区和高烈度区断层破裂带附近的地震灾害情况进行了现场调查。文中以典型事例为主线介绍了现场考察的结果,结合既往的研究成果和汶川地震的震源特性,分析讨论了地表破裂带、地震动以及建筑物震害之间的关系。结果表明:1)地震断层发生强变形和地表破裂对建筑物的损害现象非常明显,对具有大震级发震危险的断裂带,今后应该考虑进行一定宽度的破裂避让或采取针对性的必要措施。2)初步探讨了紧邻断裂带的建筑物没有倒塌的可能机理,第一,出现地表破裂的大部分区域为基岩或坚硬的场地,场地条件相对较好;第二,存在导致地表破裂的浅部有效应力降和破裂速率相对较低,导致了1s附近的地震动相对低下的可能性     

汶川地震远场地震动场地相关性与分析方法评价

为考查远场地震动的场地相关性并评价一些场地特性分析方法的适用性,采用不同方法对汶川地震山东省12个远场台站的强震记录进行了分析.选取台站分别位于按建筑抗震设计规范(CBC)场地划分中的Ⅰ—Ⅲ类场地上.地震动记录的分析方法包括傅里叶幅值谱法,地震反应谱法,水平与竖向谱比率法,参考点谱比率法,以及尾波分析等.结果表明,按傅里叶幅值谱法,地震反应谱法,水平与竖向谱比法计算得到的卓越周期均远大于台站场地的卓越周期,不同方法得到的结果之间也有较大差别,且主要反映长周期地震动的卓越频率;参考点谱比率法的结果未反映地震动的卓越周期,也与场地的卓越周期差别较大;对完整记录尾波分析所得的结果比较接近场地的卓越周期.希望本文能为考虑远场地震作用时设计谱的建立,以及场地特性估计时地震动分析方法的选取提供参考依据.     

地震滑坡灾害评估中地震影响因素的联合应用

地震滑坡灾害是一种致灾性极高的地震次生灾害,其中的地震触发因素是导致滑坡发生的重要影响因素．可以表征地震影响因素的参数有多种,但它们代表地震动水平的能力有差异,对灾害评估预测结果有很大影响．因此,本文提出利用层次分析法将多种地震动参数联合应用以弥补不同参数间存在的不足和差异．计算实例表明, 参数联合应用所得评估结果与实际破坏情况最为接近,优于参数单独使用所得评估结果,说明该方法是可行的．文中给出的参数联合应用的方法对于其它地震灾害的评估也有很重要的借鉴意义．      

Analysis of landslide damage caused by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake using strong motion data: A case study in the Beichuan county town

The county town of Beichuan county, China, experienced catastrophic destruction due to landslides induce by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake. In consideration of the special location of the county town, this paper selected the landslides induced in the town as representative of large-scale near-rupture landslides, and quantitatively analyzed why the landslide damage was so destructive in the town by using strong motion data obtained from the Wenchuan earthquake in the Longmenshan area. Three methods were employed to estimate the landslide damage using strong motion data. (1) Peak ground accelerations (PGAs) on the hanging wall were used to evaluate the PGAs on the landslide sites in the town. The evaluated average PGAs were all greater than 1 g, indicating that the ground motion intensity was very strong during the earthquake. (2) Acceleration time histories, from another station with similar geological conditions to the town, were used to evaluate the critical acceleration changing range, and the estimated values showed the geological conditions were very susceptible to earthquakes. (3) Acceleration time histories, from two stations on the hanging and foot walls of the rupture, and near the town, were used to calculate the Newmark displacements, and all the evaluated displacements indicated that landslides were very likely. The results show that the slopes, susceptible to earthquakes in the Beichuan county town, were easily triggered under such strong ground-motion intensity and developed into large-scale catastrophic events.     

Evaluation model of landslide hazards induced by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake using strong motion data

Landslides induced by the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in the Longmenshan area were relatively well instrumented,which makes it possible to investigate the landslides using ground motion records.Firstly,this paper analyzes the data from Wenchuan earthquake on both regional and local site scale.The analyses show that the Newmark accumulative displacement calculated from the ground motion recorded in a particular geological hazard zone corresponds to the hazard intensity in that zone;the larger the displacemen...     

不同类别场地地震动参数的计算分析

基于188个工程场地计算剖面及场地地震反应分析的等线性化波动分析方法，通过对场地地震反应的计算及计算结果的分析，研究了4类场地条件对场地地震动影响的特点及规律，给出了每一类场地地震动参数变化的经验关系。     

Analysis of the relations between slope failure distribution and seismic ground motion during the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake

The 2008 Wenchuan earthquake with M_w7.9 occurred at Yingxiu County in Longmenshan thrust fault belt, southwest China, having triggered a huge amount of slope failures. This paper applied a detailed inventory with more than 190,000 slope failures and strong ground motion records of 187 seismic stations to analyze the qualitative and quantitative relations between slope failure distribution and seismic parameters. The results revealed that slope failure distribution was exponentially decreased with the increment of epicentral distance and distance from surface fault rupture; peak ground acceleration (PGA) on the hanging wall side was apparently larger than that on footwall side. Linear correlation between concentration of slope failures (LNC) and the percentage of the area affected by slope failure (LAP) and PGA was demonstrated by statistical analysis, which revealed that 0.18~0.21 g horizontal PGA was the threshold value of the occurrence of slope failure. Furthermore, this paper presented an empirical model for the attenuation relation of slope failure distribution.     

Rupture directivity effect on strong ground motion during the 12 May 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan earthquake

We focus here on the rupture directivity effect on the spatial distribution and attenuation characteristics of near-field ground motions during the 2008 MW7.9 Wenchuan earthquake. We examine the difference between the observed ground motions in and opposite the rupture directions and compare them with Next Generation Attenuation-West2 (NGA-West2) ground motion prediction models. The isochrone directivity predictor is used to quantify the band-limited nature of the rupture directivity effect on strong ground motion. Our results show that the observed peak ground velocity (PGV) and spectral accelerations of periods of 1.0 s and longer are significantly amplified in the rupture direction, but de-amplified in the opposite direction affected by rupture directivity effect of this event. In contrast, the effect of rupture directivity on the observed peak ground acceleration (PGA) and periods of shorter than 1.0 s are relatively weak. The rupture directivity of this event shows clear period dependent and band limited characteristics with the strongest effect occurring around the period of 7.5 s.     

南京河西地区设计地震动研究

本文根据南京及周围地区的地震环境,采用概率法对南京河西地区某高层公寓工程场址进行了地震危险性分析,采用等效线性化模型考虑场地土的非线性特性的影响,并用一维波动模型进行了场址土层地震反应和场地地震动效应分析,给出了５０年超越概率６３％,１０％和３％的场址基岩和地表的水平向加速度反应谱值加速度。     

城市抗震设防区划中设计地震动参数的确定

本文根据保定市区工程地质及地震地质条件，采用全概率分析方法，用一维等效线性模型，对不同分区的典型土层进行地震反应分析，并在此基础上确定了市区的设计地震动参数。在某些方面补充了规范的不足，使市区的抗震设防水准更加合理。