A cold air lake formation in a basin — a simulation with a mesoscale numerical model

Summary A formation of a cold air lake in a basin is studied with a mesometeorological model.A dynamic Boussinesq hydrostatic mesoscale numerical model is developed in a staggered orthogonal grid with a horizontal resolution of 1 km and with a varying vertical grid. The topography is presented in a block shape so that computation levels are horizontal.The mesometeorological model is tested in three idealized topography cases (a valley, a single mountain, a basin) and test results are discussed.In an alpine basin surrounded by mountains and plateaus the air is supposed to be stagnant at the beginning of the night. Due to differences in radiation cooling an inversion layer is formed in the basin and local wind circulation is studied by model simulations.With 14 Figures     

一维热扩散湖模式在太湖的应用研究

利用在太湖获得的2010年8月11-28日的观测资料研究了一维热扩散湖模式在太湖的适用性,通过对比模拟进一步研究了影响太湖湖表温度模拟的主要因子。该湖模式对太湖最初的模拟结果并不理想,模拟的湖表面温度与观测有较大的系统性偏差,温度的日变化幅度与观测相比也偏小。通过分析该模式对太湖的模拟效果不理想的可能原因,针对太湖的生态环境和污染情况,设计了18个测试参数的敏感性试验,从敏感性试验的结果分析得到,适用于太湖的、依赖于湖泊类型的3个参数应做如下修改:消光系数（η₀）应放大3倍,湖泊表层吸收的太阳辐射系数（β）应取0.8,粗糙长度（z₀）采用公式计算得到。用新得到的适用于太湖的3个参数,模拟得到的结果与最初的模拟结果和观测资料对比,发现采用新的参数后,模拟结果比最初的模拟结果有了很大的改进,模拟的湖表温度基本接近观测,模拟的湖水垂直剖面时间序列图也跟观测吻合得较好,随之的感热、潜热通量的模拟也都与观测接近。最后,对输入湖模式的主要大气参量（太阳辐射、2 m气温及风场）±10%的误差引起的模式模拟的湖表面温度误差进行分析,结果表明该湖模式对大气强迫场的误差敏感度不高;相比之下,模拟结果对风场敏感性最小,对辐射和气温的敏感度相当。     

Application of the Canadian regional climate model to the Laurentian great lakes region: Implementation of a lake model

Abstract

This study reports on the implementation of an interactive mixed‐layer/thermodynamic‐ice lake model coupled with the Canadian Regional Climate Model (CRCM). For this application the CRCM, which uses a grid mesh of 45 km on a polar stereographic projection, 10 vertical levels, and a timestep of 15 min, is nested with the second generation Canadian General Circulation Model (GCM) simulated output. A numerical simulation of the climate of eastern North America, including the Laurentian Great Lakes, is then performed in order to evaluate the coupled model. The lakes are represented by a “mixed layer” model to simulate the evolution of the surface water temperature, and a thermodynamic ice model to simulate evolution of the ice cover. The mixed‐layer depth is allowed to vary spatially. Lake‐ice leads are parametrized as a function of ice thickness based on observations. Results from a 5‐year integration show that the coupled CRCM/lake model is capable of simulating the seasonal evolution of surface temperature and ice cover in the Great Lakes. When compared with lake climatology, the simulated mean surface water temperature agrees within 0.12°C on average. The seasonal evolution of the lake‐ice cover is realistic but the model tends to underestimate the monthly mean ice concentration on average. The simulated winter lake‐induced precipitation is also shown, and snow accumulation patterns on downwind shores of the lakes are found to be realistic when compared with observations.     

Refinement and testing of a lake wind wave model on seasonal data: Research note

Abstract

A lake wind wave model is modified by increasing the forcing function, reducing the wave directional spreading, and correcting for static stability. The model results are compared with data for several seasons and locations. It is found that the existing model, tuned for selected constant wind cases, is accurate and consistent for various weather situations and lakes.     

Development and validation of a regional coupled atmosphere lake model for the Caspian Sea Basin

We present a validation analysis of a regional climate model coupled to a distributed one dimensional (1D) lake model for the Caspian Sea Basin. Two model grid spacings are tested, 50 and 20 km, the simulation period is 1989–2008 and the lateral boundary conditions are from the ERA-Interim reanalysis of observations. The model is validated against atmospheric as well as lake variables. The model performance in reproducing precipitation and temperature mean seasonal climatology, seasonal cycles and interannual variability is generally good, with the model results being mostly within the observational uncertainty range. The model appears to overestimate cloudiness and underestimate surface radiation, although a large observational uncertainty is found in these variables. The 1D distributed lake model (run at each grid point of the lake area) reproduces the observed lake-average sea surface temperature (SST), although differences compared to observations are found in the spatial structure of the SST, most likely as a result of the absence of 3 dimensional lake water circulations. The evolution of lake ice cover and near surface wind over the lake area is also reproduced by the model reasonably well. Improvements resulting from the increase of resolution from 50 to 20 km are most significant in the lake model. Overall the performance of the coupled regional climate—1D lake model system appears to be of sufficient quality for application to climate change scenario simulations over the Caspian Sea Basin.     

A simple model for describing the heat balance of a shallow lake with application to Lake Chad

A model is described allowing the computation of a shallow lake's surface temperature as a function of the meteorological conditions of the surroundings. An equilibrium temperature with no heat flux through the surface is defined. The daily cycle of the equilibrium temperature permits computation of the average and the amplitude of the lake's temperature in the form of a simple sine wave. The computed values are compared with satellite measurements of the surface temperature and good agreement is achieved. When the computed surface temperature is applied, the values of the fluxes of latent and sensible heat are in good agreement with observational data.     

Fuzzy logic model of lake water level fluctuations in Lake Van, Turkey

Summary Lake Van is one of the largest terminal lakes in the world. In recent years, significant lake level fluctuations have occurred and can be related to global climatic change. This fluctuation sometimes exhibits abrupt shifts. Floods originating from the lake can cause considerable damage and loss in agriculture and urban areas. Therefore, water level forecasting plays a significant role in planning and design. This study is aimed at predicting future lake levels from past rainfall amounts and water level records. A dynamical change of the lake level is evaluated by the fuzzy approach. The fuzzy inference system has the ability to use fuzzy membership functions that include the uncertainties of the concerned event. This method is applied for Lake Van, in east Turkey. Furthermore, model capabilities are compared with ARMAX model. It is shown that lower absolute errors are obtained with the Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy approach than with the ARMAX model.     

Trends in evaporation of a large subtropical lake

In order to further investigate the capability of the Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) to identify flood/drought events, monthly precipitation data from 26 precipitation stations and monthly discharge data from four hydrological stations from 1960 to 2006 in the Minjiang River basin were used to analyze the correlations between multiple time scales of the SPI and river discharge. The SPI series that had a maximum correlation with discharge was chosen to detect flood/drought events in the basin, and the results were compared to historical flood/drought events. The results indicated the following. (1) High Pearson correlations between the SPI and discharge were identified at shorter time scales (1 to 3 months), and the maximum correlation was found on the time scale of 2 months. (2) Five floods among the six largest historical flood events in the Minjiang River basin were identified with the 2-month SPI, but the SPI does have shortcomings in identifying more general floods. The SPI also identified major drought events that were consistent with historical data. This demonstrates that the 2-month SPI is an effective indicator for the identification of major flood/drought events in the Minjiang River basin.     

洞庭湖区域暴雨预报模型及其业务化系统

对暴雨的气候规律进行了统计分析,综合运用多种气象信息建立暴雨短期预报模型及其业务化系统,经使用效果良好.     

基于耦合湖模式的城市边界层模式研究太湖的气象与环境效应

本文发展了一个耦合的城市边界层—湖泊模式(RBLM-Chem-Lake),通过离线和在线两种方式对模式的模拟效果进行了检验。并通过敏感性实验分析了太湖冬季和夏季对周边地区气象特征和空气污染的影响。结果表明：(1)白天太湖对周边气象环境产生了明显的降温效应,而夜晚出现了明显的升温。冬季夜晚周边地区升温达到0.4～0.6℃,白天可以使得周边气温降低1～2℃。夏季夜晚使周边地区升温可达1～1.5℃,白天使得周边气温降低1～2℃。(2)太湖对周边地区气温的影响范围夏季远高于冬季,夏季影响范围可达到80 km,冬季影响范围平均为5 km。此外,太湖使得湖区平均边界层高度下降,湿度上升,使得苏州市区垂直风速减弱,这种影响同样在夏季更为明显。(3)太湖的存在总体上使湖区和周边地区PM_2.5和臭氧的质量浓度增加。在冬季PM_2.5污染个例中,太湖导致区域夜晚PM_2.5质量浓度下降,下降幅度达到4～5μg·m^-3。而在白天,太湖区域500 m高度以下PM_2.5质量浓度增加,幅度达到25～30μg·...     

Turbulent dissipation of cold air lake in a basin

Summary Problems of turbulent dissipation of a cold air lake (CAL) and the inversion layer bordering CAL on the upper boundary are presented and studied with the compound model. In wintertime such cold air lakes can persist for days even if rather strong winds are blowing above them. The required conditions for CAL dissipation are removed processes of its formation or maintenance, as well as a sufficiently strong invasion of turbulence in the inversion layer from above down-wards. By this, the inversion layer at first becomes stronger and dissipation is stopped, until the increase of turbulent kinetic energy of the upper flow enables further dissipation. Such turbulent dissipation process is shown by the model for typical conditions and for different initial values of the relevent variables.With 6 Figures     

Simulating the moderating effect of a lake on downwind temperatures

A steady-state, two-dimensional numerical model is used to simulate air temperatures and humidity downwind of a lake at night. Thermal effects of the lake were modelled for the case of moderate and low surface winds under the cold-air advective conditions that occur following the passage of a cold front. Surface temperatures were found to be in good agreement with observations. A comparison of model results with thermal imagery indicated the model successfully predicts the downwind distance for which thermal effects due to the lake are significant.     

Temperature distribution and current system in a convectively mixed lake

During spring and autumn, many lakes in temperate latitudes experience intensive convective mixing in the vertical, which leads to almost isothermal conditions with depth. Thus the regime of turbulence appears to be similar with that characteristic of convective boundary layers in the atmosphere. In the present paper a simple analytical approach, based on boundary-layer theory, is applied to convective conditions in lakes. The aims of the paper are firstly to analyze in detail the temperature distribution during these periods, and secondly to investigate the current system, created by the horizontal temperature gradient and wind action. For these purposes, simple analytical solutions for the current velocities are derived under the assumption of depth-constant temperatures. The density-induced current velocities are shown to be small, in the order of a few mm/sec. The analytical model of wind-driven currents is compared with field data. The solution is in good qualitative agreement with observed current velocities under the condition that the wind field is steady for a relatively long time and that residual effects from former wind events are negligible.The effect of the current system on an approximately depth-constant temperature distribution is then checked by using the obtained current velocity fields in the heat transfer equation and deriving an analytical solution for the corrected temperature field. These temperature corrections are shown to be small, which indicates that it is reasonable to describe the temperature distribution with vertical isotherms.Notation T temperature - t time - x, y, z cartesian coordinates - molecular viscosity - _h , _v horizontal and vertical turbulent viscosity - K _h ,K _v horizontal and vertical turbulent conductivity - Q heat flux through the water surface - D depth - u, v, w average current velocity components inx, y andz directions - f Coriolis parameter - p pressure - density - g gravity acceleration - a constant in the freshwater state equation - h _s deviation from the average water surface elevation - L _*,H _* length and depth scale - U _*,W _* horizontal and vertical velocity scale - T temperature difference scale - bottom slope - u _* friction velocity at the water surface - von Karman constant - L Monin-Obukhov length scale - buoyancy parameter - l turbulence length scale - C ₁,C ₂,C ₃ dimensionless constants in the expressions for the vertical turbulent viscosity - , dimensionless vertical coordinate and dimensionless local depth - angle between surface stress direction andx-axis - T _bx ,T _by bottom stress components - c bottom drag coefficient     

Wind forcing of internal waves in a long narrow stratified lake

A vertically integrated approach to the analysis of thermistor chain and wind data from a long, narrow, stratified lake indicates that forcing events are short relative to the response time. Correlations between forcing and isotherm tilts clearly indicate stratification response times dependent on internal wave speed. In addition, it is possible to infer basin-scale internal wave damping where over 80% of the potential energy in the internal wave setup is lost in one internal wave period.     

Some observations of water vapor fluctuations in a stable atmosphere over a lake surface

Summary The crain microwave refractometer and a bead thermistor have been used to measure 2 to 30-second period fluctuations in water vapor in a stable atmosphere over a lake surface. It appears that such fluctuations can be related to air flow over water waves and that they permit an estimate of a mixing length for water vapor.

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Zusammenfassung Das Crain-Mikrowellenrefraktometer und ein Perlenthermistor wurden verwendet, um in einer stabilen Atmosphäre über einer Seeoberfläche Wasserdampfschwankungen von 2 bis 30 Sekunden Dauer zu messen. Es scheint, daß solche Schwankungen zur Luftströmung über Wasserwellen in Beziehung gesetzt werden können, und daß sie eine Schätzung des Mischungsweges für Wasserdampf gestatten.

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Résumé Le réfractomètre de Crain et un thermistor ont été utilisés pour mesurer les fluctuations en teneur de vapeur d'eau d'une durée de deux à trente secondes dans un air stable au-dessus d'un lac. Il semble que de telles variations dépendent du mouvement de l'air au-dessus des vagues et qu'elles permettent d'apprécier le parcours de mélange de la vapeur d'eau.

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With 6 Figures     

On mudflow hazardous Bashkara lake

In this paper, a glacial mudflow hazardous lake, Bashkara, is described. Its depth is 32 m and volume exceeds 494400 m³. Quite intensive deformations and destructive processes at the end of Bashkara glacier are noted. The lake debacle probability is consistently growing. A new way to prevent the glacial mudflow that can be caused by the lake debacle is proposed. This way supposes conducting of the uncontrolled lake discharging by digging, filling of the lake with moraine materials, formatting of the lake surrounding dam, and making a drainage outlet in this dam.