Low-Level Westerly Winds,Topography, and Tropical Cyclogenesis of Arlene (2005): Observations and Model Simulations

The evolution process of the low-level westerly winds over the eastern North Pacific is investigated to understand the tropical cyclogenesis (TCG) of Tropical Storm Arlene (2005) over the Intra-Americas Sea (IAS). Also considered are the influences of the topography of the Central American mountain region interacting with the low-level westerly winds on Arlene's TCG by comparing results from a modified-topography simulation of Arlene's TCG with those from a simulation with the original topography in the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. Interactions among large-scale circulations associated with subtropical highs in both hemispheres and an anticyclone over the warm eastern North Pacific produced low-level westerly winds into the IAS. WRF model experiments with a virtually elevated terrain filling in mountain passes in Central America resulted in the delayed and suppressed development of the incipient storm. The model experiments suggest that the low-level winds and moisture fluxes from the eastern North Pacific passing through the low-level mountain passes in Central America could play a critical role in the TCG process and perhaps also sustenance of storms over the western Caribbean.     

夏季南海北部水体中颗粒有机碳的分布特征

通过干式燃烧法对2008年8―9月南海北部的颗粒有机碳(POC)进行了分析,得出南海北部表层海水POC的含量范围为37～330μg/l。分析显示:受珠江口陆源输入颗粒物的影响,华南沿岸海域POC含量最高;浮游植物碳是中央海盆北部POC的重要组成;琼东上升流区和吕宋海峡则在一定程度上受陆源物质的影响。华南近岸浅海水域由于垂直混合,水体10 m以下水层POC分布比较一致。琼东上升流区、中央海盆北部及吕宋海峡100 m以浅水层POC总体表现为随深度增加而下降,琼东上升流区和吕宋海峡100～200 m水层POC含量出现波动,可能分别受到沉积物再悬浮和不同水团混合的影响。     

中国登陆热带气旋与太平洋海表温度的关系

根据1951～2000年中国登陆热带气旋与厄尔尼诺年、拉尼娜年的关系分析,得到了一些重要认识：(1) 在厄尔尼诺年,中国登陆热带气旋数偏少;(2) 厄尔尼诺事件强度越大,中国登陆热带气旋数越少;(3) 厄尔尼诺事件的结束时间若超过5月1日,那么次年中国登陆热带气旋数偏少;(4) 中国登陆热带气旋数的特多年主要集中在拉尼娜年;(5) 在拉尼娜次年,中国登陆热带气旋数偏少;(6) 中国登陆热带气旋强度越大,在厄尔尼诺年出现机会越少;(7) 在厄尔尼诺年,中国初旋偏迟,终旋偏早。同时对其机理进行了探讨。     

南海诸岛外来地名的命名背景及其历史影响

19世纪中叶至20世纪30年代英美等国在我国南海海域的测绘活动,给这里的岛礁留下了一大批以英语为主的外语名称。文中论述了南海诸岛外来地名的命名背景及其对我国三次公布官方名称所产生的深刻影响,在总结历史教训的基础上,分析了当前处理南海地名问题的缺陷,提出了若干改进建议。     

南海珊瑚礁经济价值评估

根据已有的基础数据、国外文献资料及野外调查资料,利用生产效益法和数值转移法估算南海珊瑚礁的经济价值（包括渔业经济价值、海岸保护价值、旅游休闲价值、生物多样性价值）以及由于过度捕捞、破坏性捕捞和陆源沉积物污染而造成其经济价值的损失。结果显示：南海珊瑚礁年经济价值为156.5亿元,其中渔业价值占90%,为140.4亿元;其次是海岸保护价值,占5.5%,为8.7亿元;而旅游休闲价值和生物多样性价值分别为5.3亿元和2.1亿元。珊瑚礁如果维持可持续利用的状态,并考虑10%的贴现率,未来20 a珊瑚礁总的经济价值为1 370亿元。由于南海珊瑚礁面临最大的威胁是人类不合理的利用,其对今后20 a珊瑚礁带来的经济损失是258.8亿元,其中因破坏性捕捞造成的损失为249.6亿元,占总经济价值损失的96.4%,而因过度性捕捞和陆源沉积物造成的经济损失分别是3.3亿元和5.9亿元。人类干扰对今后20 a南海珊瑚礁造成的经济价值损失占未来20 a南海珊瑚礁总经济价值的18.98%。     

南海地缘战略逻辑演进与南海命运共同体建构

南海因其所具有的重要地缘政治与经济战略地位而成为大国竞相角逐之地。然而,在一个相互依赖的时代,南海地缘战略并非只是地缘政治冲突的单一逻辑,而是迈向政治与经济、文化交织、竞争与合作并存的复合逻辑状态。南海周边国家经贸互补性大于竞争性,已经形成互赖的地缘经济格局,但是南海地缘经济合作存在的制度重叠、制度竞争与制度过剩仍暴露了地缘经济中的竞争逻辑。“一带一路”作为新型区域合作平台,有助于超越传统地缘经济竞争逻辑。东亚意识的产生、南海地缘政治经济互赖以及南海制度规范的建立使得南海地缘文化在多元文化互动中迈向共同体逻辑。建构融安全、利益以及信任为一体的南海命运共同体,需要通过对话协商自主制定地区规则、加强南海地区功能性合作、通过多轨外交增进地区互信,使南海成为“友好、和平、合作”之海。     

Slip rate on the Dead Sea transform fault in northern Araba valley (Jordan)

The Araba valley lies between the southern tip of the Dead Sea and the Gulf of Aqaba. This depression, blanketed with alluvial and lacustrine deposits, is cut along its entire length by the Dead Sea fault. In many places the fault is well defined by scarps, and evidence for left-lateral strike-slip faulting is abundant. The slip rate on the fault can be constrained from dated geomorphic features displaced by the fault. A large fan at the mouth of Wadi Dahal has been displaced by about 500 m since the bulk of the fanglomerates were deposited 77–140 kyr ago, as dated from cosmogenic isotope analysis (¹⁰Be in chert) of pebbles collected on the fan surface and from the age of transgressive lacustrine sediments capping the fan. Holocene alluvial surfaces are also clearly offset. By correlation with similar surfaces along the Dead Sea lake margin, we propose a chronology for their emplacement. Taken together, our observations suggest an average slip rate over the Late Pleistocene of between 2 and 6 mm yr⁻¹, with a preferred value of 4 mm yr⁻¹. This slip rate is shown to be consistent with other constraints on the kinematics of the Arabian plate, assuming a rotation rate of about 0.396° Myr⁻¹ around a pole at 31.1°N, 26.7°E relative to Africa.     

Along‐strike variability in shelf‐margin morphology and accretion pattern: An example from the northern margin of the South China Sea

Interplays among diachronous tectonism, uneven sediment supply, and local marine hydraulic processes make the northern margin of the South China Sea (SCS) an ideal location to investigate the complexity of along‐strike variability in shelf margins. This study examines shelf‐margin morphology, stratigraphy, and sedimentation from the northern SCS using multichannel seismic reflection profiles complemented with the data from commercial and ocean drilling sites. Analysis of seismic reflection profiles reveals three categories of shelf‐margin cross‐sectional profiles, the concave‐up, linear, and sigmoidal, according to which five margin sectors were recognized. Results show that these margin segments differ in relief, shelf‐edge trajectory, submarine canyon development, and long‐term accretion pattern. The westernmost margin sector, or the Yinggehai (YGH)‐western Qiongdongnan (QDN) margin, has appeared to be supply dominated since its commencement at ca. 10.5 Ma, which is characterized by well‐developed prograding clinoforms, low‐angle shelf‐edge trajectories, and an absence of canyons. Presence of concave‐up profiles is also suggestive of high sediment influx. In contrast, the eastern QDN margin was primarily regulated by local subsidence and faulting, leading to a stationary shelf‐edge migrating pattern and linear upper‐slope morphology. Densely distributed slope‐confined gullies indicate the margin’s disequilibrium and erosive nature. Further east, the Pearl River Mouth (PRM) margin formed much earlier (ca. 30 Ma) and experienced a more complicated accretion history, including three phases which were dominated by sequential marginal faulting (before ca. 30 Ma), basement structure (ca. 30–23 Ma), and sediment supply (ca. 23 Ma to the present). The overall sigmoidal morphology and truncated stratigraphy of this margin probably resulted from the sculpting of local marine processes, especially ocean currents and internal waves. The exception of the central PRM margin where concave‐up profiles develop is mainly related to canyon erosion. Overall, this study highlights the vital role of local forcing factors in controlling along‐margin variations and determining the final fates of different margin segments. A comparison between the northern SCS and other well‐established examples reveals that concave‐upward shelf‐margin shapes, which are usually associated with high sediment supply, little influence from hydraulic regimes, or sometimes, high degree of canyon development, may be an indicator of good reservoir potential beyond the shelf edge.     

南海北部陆坡表层沉积物氨氧化古菌多样性初探

基于南海北部陆坡不同深度梯度3个站位表层沉积物古菌氨单加氧酶基因（amoA）文库,对3个站位氨氧化古菌进行多样性和系统发育学分析。多种方法构建的系统发育树表明：3个站位所有的amoA基因序列都隶属于奇古菌门中Group I分枝内的Group I.1a系群,且各站位之间氨氧化古菌多样性没有明显的差异。501站位黑色砂质沉积物中古菌amoA基因与该站位的16S rRNA基因的系统发育比对显示：这2种基因标记的系统发育树整体上具有潜在的对应关系,说明对样品的氨氧化古菌多样性分析比较全面且可靠;并进一步暗示该样品中氨的硝化作用主要由奇古菌门下的Group I.1a系群来执行。由此可以推测：Group I.1a系群可能在南海北部表层沉积物中氮素的生物地球化学循环过程中扮演重要的角色。     

粤西及琼东北海区悬浮体现场激光粒度特征分析

通过对粤西及海南岛东北部海区现场调查,取得了大量悬浮体激光粒度数据.分析发现,调查海区悬浮体总体积浓度值普遍较低,中值粒径分布表层大于底层.对总体积浓度、中值粒径平面图及断面图分析后发现,春夏季调查海区悬浮物主要分为粤西、琼州海峡东及海南岛东三部分,且三处悬浮物均存在明显的分界;调查海区大部分海域中值粒径的分布具有在表层近岸小于离岸、在垂向上表层高于底层的特征,琼州海峡内表层中值粒径低于口外.认为生物作用及絮凝作用对该海域悬浮体形成及形态具有重大影响.     

围绕南海问题的信息权力作用过程与机制研究

2010年以来,南海争端呈现扩大化和复杂化的态势,形成环南海周边国家侵占岛礁、域外国家广泛介入的局面,进而推动南海问题日益走向“国际化”。分析南海问题中的国家（地区）间合作与冲突关系,挖掘南海问题“复杂化”的深层原因,这是理解当前南海局势、避免战略误判的重要支撑。文章借助GDELT新闻媒体数据库,提取2013—2021年有关南海问题的事件数据,利用年代约束聚类方法将南海问题划分为矛盾上升期（2013—2018年）和域外介入期（2019年以后）,并利用社会网络分析方法探讨南海问题中的国家（地区）间合作与冲突关系以及背后的信息生产网络。研究发现：1）矛盾上升期,围绕南海问题的合作与冲突主体主要为环南海国家;2）域外介入期,美国、英国、澳大利亚等域外国家结盟合作并围堵中国,中国在与域内国家紧密合作的同时,却成为冲突关系网络的核心,冲突关系复杂、合作关系萎缩与当前人们对南海问题有所缓和的认知形成矛盾,反映信息权力的作用愈发深远;3）信息生产网络中,美、英、澳等国家主导信息制造和加工过程,表明南海问题成为各信息行为体博弈的角力场。     

流动中的地方记忆：南海渔民的流动性与集体记忆建构

渔民是天然流栖性群体,不仅需要关注其流动性时空规律,更要关注其流动过程中所产生的社会文化意涵。文章从流动性与集体记忆视角出发,选取海南省东部典型渔村为案例地,通过访谈深入理解渔民在流动中的地方记忆建构,主要从流动、停泊、定居的3种不同状态归纳渔民流动中的时空盈缩、物质条件和流动路径节点,从时间、地方和权力三要素探讨渔民集体记忆的形成。研究发现：1）渔民跨界流动具有动态盈缩的特点,经历了从民间自觉到官方规范,从渔业生产到商渔复合,从局地到广域再到局地的动态过程。2）渔民的流动状态和过程赋予海洋以地方特性。人船组合拓展渔民自主流动的能力,“陆—海—岛”流栖空间中的地物和景观凸显集体记忆的物质依赖性。3）随着生产生活方式变迁,代际更迭削弱了原有的人海关联,流动资源的分配不均导致集体记忆结构性消退,渔业村镇的全球—地方的跨区域色彩逐渐被剥离,回归到同质化的域内流空间。     

Construing and constructing the South China Sea beyond state-led environmentalism: Vernacularizing geographical,geopolitical and sociotechnical imaginaries of territory

During the 2010s, the South China Sea (SCS) became a geopolitical flashpoint over the sovereignty of the Paracels and Spratlys. China envisioned its transformation of coral reefs into military bases and island cities as an SCS ‘green construction’ project. This article analyses how the SCS is discursively construed and practically constructed as maritime national territory, by mobilizing fishing legacies and extending state limits through ‘state-led environmentalism’ rhetoric. Drawing on ethnographic fieldwork in China, I show that state-led environmentalism is a hierarchical process that intermittently co-opts and excludes local populations to advance the state's territorial ambitions, which are anchored in geographical, geopolitical and socio-technical imaginaries of ‘maritime civilization’. Yet, I also show that in this process, the SCS emerges as spaces of vernacularized political claims. Thus, I argue that territory is not only a political technology of control but also vernacular practice through which universalizing discourses— whether on the Exclusive Economic Zone regime, sovereignty or nature—are adapted and modified.     

南海制图的中美对比分析——基于批判制图学视角

运用文本分析,从中美关于南海制图的特点及差异着手,探讨了中美制图所表达的南海领域化过程以及地图对于领域化实践的作用。研究发现：1）中美制图中南海海域范围、岛礁地名及海疆边界表达的演变,是国家权力影响制图的表现。2）中美南海制图差异源于维护国家核心利益的需求：中国通过制图（再）领域化,对内加强南海海域管控,强化国民海权意识,对外宣示南海主权;美国通过制图（去）再领域化,强调南海的公海和多国属性。3）地图作为领域化工具,能够在国际舞台上讲述中国人的南海故事,也能清晰表达中国对南海诸岛和附近水域拥有主权的一贯和明确立场。应从地图维权、地图创新、地图宣传等方面加强对南海的领域化表达,使地图在南海海洋国土治理中发挥更重要的作用。     

全球变化下中国南海诸岛珊瑚礁热压力临时避难所研究

选取第五次耦合模式比较计划(CMIP5)模式中较适宜于南海海表面温度(SST)模拟的加拿大地球系统模式(CanESM2),并获取其在IPCC RCP2.6、RCP4.5和RCP8.5温室气体排放情景下模拟的2006-2100年南海SST数据。基于南海诸岛珊瑚礁和线性回归方法分析了RCPs情景下的珊瑚礁区夏季SST上升趋势,并基于热周指数(DHW, Degree Heating Weeks)及年白化时间指数分析了RCPs情景下的南海诸岛珊瑚礁热压力临时避难所,主要得出以下结论:①RCPs情景下,明显变暖的珊瑚礁海域均为南沙群岛;②年白化时间不晚于全球珊瑚礁平均年白化时间的珊瑚礁像元占南海诸岛总珊瑚礁像元的比例,在RCP2.6、RCP4.5和RCP8.5情景下分别为17%、29%和42%,均分布在南沙群岛;③RCPs情景下,较高纬度的西沙群岛、中沙群岛和南沙群岛北部为未来南海诸岛珊瑚礁热压力临时避难所。     

南海渔业资源开发利用的时空特征及其治理

南海渔业开发为维护我国渔业利益和海洋权益发挥了重大作用,近年来急速衰退的渔业资源和不断升温的冲突态势亟须寻找治理革新的突破口。基于此,首先从南海渔业资源环境特点、南海渔业资源开发利用历史沿革与现状,辨析南海渔业时空格局,指出南海渔业资源环境具有跨越国家界线的互通性、整体性与相互依赖性,且周边国家和地区对南海渔业高度依赖,并已经造成资源环境严重衰退。其次通过对南海渔业冲突和南海渔业资源治理所面临的挑战的梳理,指出引发南海渔业冲突的条件今后很可能更加普遍,亟需南海各方共同面对渔业可持续性危机,而南海地区面临的渔业资源环境退化、系统认知不足、区域协作有限等共性挑战与利益诉求,可成为促进区域合作的纽带。最后以区域渔业资源治理为抓手,提出了构建南海命运共同体的建设思路：从推动绿色水产养殖、增强资源环境修复、深化科研共享等方面开展务实的渔业资源治理合作;在区域、国家、地方层面完善跨尺度的海洋治理措施落实体系,协同提升国家层面的顶层涉海涉渔政策设计,强化地方、私营部门和公民个人在南海区域共建中的作用;从建立健全区域组织和完善区域海洋法制推动构建区域层面合作治理体系。     

Teaching Controversial Topics: Iconography and the Confederate Battle Flag in the South

Abstract

This article examines various strategies for teaching controversial topics. As a case study, I present examples from my experience teaching about the cultural/political geographic concept of iconography in southern classrooms using as an example recent debates over whether governments in the region should sanction the flying of the Confederate battle flag. First, I discuss the recent literature on the teaching of controversial issues. Second, I examine the concept of iconography and the debates over flying the flag. Third, I present different strategies that can be used to approach this controversial icon in a classroom setting. I conclude by arguing that there is no perfect solution to the teaching of controversial topics that will succeed for every topic, irrespective of time and place.     

近50余年来南海西沙海域冬季风强度的变率

采用南海西沙永兴岛海洋观察站1958~1997年12~2月实测的北东向冬季风风速的平均值作为冬季风强度指数 (WMI),与南海北缘滨珊瑚的相应年月份的实测δ18O平均值进行相关分析,得到线性回归方程WMI (m/s) = - 4.913- 2.138δ18O (‰),r = 0.83, n = 40。在计算(后报) 所得的1944~1997年代际变化序列中,WMI在40~60年代呈下降趋势,70年代略有上升,而80~90年代又呈下降趋势。在年际变化序列中,WMI呈显著的下降趋势,所得线性回归方程为WMI = 79.67-0.0377 Year, r = 0.68, n = 54。由斜率看出,WMI每10年平均下降约0.4 m/s。用Daniell功率谱法分析,近54年来WMI的变化存在2.5~7年的周期,与季风的QBO周期为2~2.4年,以及ENSO活动的3~8年周期密切相关。WMI连续下降的趋势是与全球持续变暖相映,南海海域冬季风强度的变化受到了全球变化的制约。     

1979—2015 年罗斯海海冰运动速度变化

基于美国冰雪数据中心的月平均海冰运动和海冰密集度数据, 建立了1979—2015 年罗斯海海冰运动 速度时间变化序列, 揭示了海冰运动速度的年际和季节变化特征, 探讨了海冰运动速度和海冰范围之间可 能存在的联系, 最后对影响海冰运动速度变化的因素进行了分析。结果表明, 1979—2015 年罗斯海海冰运动 速度总体呈现加快趋势, 海冰运动速度增加趋势最快的季节为秋季, 其次是冬季、春季和夏季。冬季海冰平 均运动速度最大, 依次是秋季、春季和夏季。海冰运动速度与海冰范围在37 年间均呈现上升趋势, 海冰范 围变化滞后海冰运动速度1—2 个月, 两者呈显著正相关关系, 海冰运动速度的增加导致罗斯海海冰范围不 断扩张, 进而影响南极整体海冰分布。罗斯海海冰运动速度与风速之间存在显著正相关关系, 风场是影响海 冰运动速度的一个直接因素。除此之外, 海冰运动还受到包括气压场、洋流场以及海洋阻力系数等的影响。