芦山7.0级地震前的地电场异常研究

收集了芦山7.0级地震震源区附近39个地电场台2010年以来的地电场观测资料。对所有台站原始观测资料进行检查分析后发现,多数地电场观测资料中存在着与固体潮相关的周期性变化和不规则的扰动变化,造成不能从地电场原始观测资料中识别和提取地震前兆信息。为了排除地电场各种周期性变化和远场的干扰,突出近场的地震前兆信息,本研究通过计算同台站、同测向地电场观测资料长、短极距测值的比值来进行处理。结果表明芦山地震前地电场观测有较丰富的地震短临前兆变化信息。     

地震地电场前兆观测方法创新及应用——深井电极垂向地电场观测方法及应用

将现行的地震地电场前兆地表水平方向观测方法改为深井电极垂向地电场观测方法,可大大缩小观测场地范围,有效排除地表电磁环境的干扰影响,解决目前地电场观测场地选择困难、干扰影响严重的问题,更好地获得地震前兆信息。开展深井电极垂向地电场观测,可充分利用深井钻孔的条件,安装其他项目观测装置,开展综合观测,取得更丰富的观测资料。利用已有台站的深井钢管作电极,开展地电场前兆观测,可等同于深井电极垂向地电场观测,开辟地震前兆观测新途径,具有较好的观测效果;实现在老台站增设地电场观测项目而不需要太大的投资,值得推广。     

云南弥渡地震台地电场观测数据分析评价

介绍了弥渡地震台地电场观测系统,对经过两次技术改造后的弥渡台2012年地电场观测数据进行了分析评价,结果表明:弥渡地电场观测数据能够反映出地电场时空变化特点,数据质量符合地电场观测的技术要求,数据可以为地震前兆研究和地震监测预报实践提供相应信息。     

地电场布极方式研究

针对南京地震台地电场无斜道测量的布极方式,从地电场的矢量特性着手,经过对观测数据的分析,认为目前普遍采用地电场斜道观测的方式可以取消,增加NS测道和EW测道的测量,加大地震前兆数据的采集,为地震预报提供更多的前兆观测数据。     

山西数字化地电场仪观测系统干扰分析

对山西省5个地电台站的大地电场观测资料进行分析整理,对影响数字化地电场仪观测的观测系统干扰因素加以识别和分析,以期为地电场仪观测中干扰因素的有效排除及观测系统日常维护提供参考,有助于提高前兆资料的使用价值。     

影响地电场观测数据干扰因素分析

地电场观测是地震电磁前兆观测方法之一,由于观测物理量的原因,所受到的干扰因素比较多。为了正确鉴别震前异常信息,对临汾中心地震台影响地电场观测数据的各种干扰因素做了详细的研究,并对典型干扰事件进行了举例说明。     

太钢防震观测站大地电场观测系统运行评价

从地电场观测原理出发,在概要分析地电场观测系统的基础上,着重介绍太钢防震观测站ZD9A地电场观测系统的运行状况,并对地电场观测数据进行相应的分析。表明,太钢防震观测站地电场观测系统运行稳定可靠,可为地震前兆研究提供相应信息。     

汶川、玉树大地震前的地电场异常

"九五"以来,国内布设了地震地电场观测网,目前有100多个台正式投入观测,部分台站至今已积累了近十年的资料.期间发生了2008年5月12日汶川8.0级地震和2010年4月14日玉树7.1级等强烈地震,这对检验大地电场前兆方法的监测效果具有非常重要的意义.本文收集了汶川、玉树地震区附近的39个地电场观测台自投入运行以来的观测资料,并对全部资料的观测质量和映震情况进行了检查和分析,发现观测资料中存在不规则的与地磁场或固体潮汐变化相关的扰动变化,很难从中识别出地震前兆信息.为突出地震前兆信息,作者采用同台地电场观测的同一测向长、短极距测值的比值方法进行了分析处理.结果发现在地震前,多数台站的地电场观测资料存在不同形态的比值异常变化.研究结果表明,汶川、玉树地震前震源区附近的地电场观测资料中有较为丰富的地震前兆信息,只是由于这些信息混杂于正常大地电场变化的背景中,从原始观测数据中或使用常规的分析方法无法识别和提取.而使用本文的数据处理方法能有效地排除资料中来自大地电场的正常变化以及自然电场的远场变化,突出了近场的变化信息,使得地震前源自孕震区一定范围内的地电场异常信号容易识别.由图4可见,2002年的玉门5.9地震和2003年的山丹-民乐6.1地震前震源区的电场观测也出现了比值异常变化,而其他时段的比值曲线近似直线变化,因此表明本文地电场观测资料的分析处理方法是识别和提取观测资料中地震前兆信息的有效方法之一.分析结果还表明地电场前兆的不同形态可能与观测台的台址条件有关.     

张道口地震台水物理测项干扰分析

地震前兆台网观测数据跟踪分析是地震预报的重要基础,对观测数据干扰进行分析排除是提取地震前兆信息的核心。通过对张道口地震台2015～2018年水物理观测数据受干扰情况分析,及时发现和总结观测数据存在的各种问题,将干扰分为人为干扰、系统干扰、自然干扰、场地环境4种类型,并将6种具体干扰分别归纳到了相应的干扰类型,找出了干扰的特征,描述了干扰的过程,分析了引起干扰的具体原因,阐释了干扰对水温水位前兆数据观测造成的影响,并对干扰的过程进行了相关的验证,提出了避免干扰的技术措施。通过对水位水温干扰全方位的分析研究,能够促进对地震前兆信息的处理,以期快速准确地识别并排除前兆干扰,为全国其它地震台水位水温干扰分析提供一定的科学依据和技术支持,夯实通过水物理测项预报地震的基础。     

文安ML5．5地震前的大地电场异常初探

对2002年以来的静海地震台、宝坻地震台的大地电场连续观测资料,使用地电场观测的同一测向长、短极距测值的比值法进行分析处理,计算结果显示,2006年7月4日文安ML5．5地震前大地电场观测存在明显的地震前兆,但从同期的地电场原始观测资料中无法识别出该项异常信息。研究结果表明,同一测向长、短极距测值的比值法是一种从电场观测资料中有效识别和提取地震前兆信息的方法。     

SCIENCE CHINA Earth Sciences SUBJECT INDEX TO VOLUME 57(2014)

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Distribution of throughfall and stemflow in multi‐strata agroforestry,perennial monoculture,fallow and primary forest in central Amazonia,Brazil

The partitioning of rain water into throughfall, stemflow and interception loss when passing through plant canopies depends on properties of the respective plant species, such as leaf area and branch angles. In heterogeneous vegetation, such as tropical forest or polycultural systems, the presence of different plant species may consequently result in a mosaic of situations with respect to quantity and quality of water inputs into the soil. As these processes influence not only the water availability for the plants, but also water infiltration and nutrient leaching, the understanding of plant effects on the repartitioning of rain water may help in the optimization of land use systems and management practices. We measured throughfall and stemflow in a perennial polyculture (multi‐strata agroforestry), monocultures of peach palm (Bactris gasipaes) for fruit and for palmito, a monoculture of cupuaçu (Theobroma grandiflorum), spontaneous fallow and primary forest during one year in central Amazonia, Brazil. The effect on rain water partitioning was measured separately for four useful tree species in the polyculture and for two tree species in the primary forest. Throughfall at two stem distances, and stemflow, differed significantly between tree species, resulting in pronounced spatial patterns of water input into the soil in the polyculture system. For two tree species, peach palm for fruit (Bactris gasipaes) and Brazil nut trees (Bertholletia excelsa), the water input into the soil near the stem was significantly higher than the open‐area rainfall. This could lead to increased nutrient leaching when fertilizer is applied close to the stem of these trees. In the primary forest, such spatial patterns could also be detected, with significantly higher water input near a palm (Oenocarpus bacaba) than near a dicotyledonous tree species (Eschweilera sp.). Interception losses were 6·4% in the polyculture, 13·9 and 12·3% in the peach palm monocultures for fruit and for palmito, respectively, 0·5% in the cupuaçu monoculture and 3·1% in the fallow. With more than 20% of the open‐area rainfall, the highest stemflow contributions to the water input into the soil were measured in the palm monocultures and in the fallow. Copyright © 1999 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

A Monte Carlo study of rainfall forecasting with a stochastic model

A procedure for short-term rainfall forecasting in real-time is developed and a study of the role of sampling on forecast ability is conducted. Ground level rainfall fields are forecasted using a stochastic space-time rainfall model in state-space form. Updating of the rainfall field in real-time is accomplished using a distributed parameter Kalman filter to optimally combine measurement information and forecast model estimates. The influence of sampling density on forecast accuracy is evaluated using a series of a simulated rainfall events generated with the same stochastic rainfall model. Sampling was conducted at five different network spatial densities. The results quantify the influence of sampling network density on real-time rainfall field forecasting. Statistical analyses of the rainfall field residuals illustrate improvement in one hour lead time forecasts at higher measurement densities.     

Anthropogenic Eutrophication and Red Tide Outbreak in Lacustrine Systems of the Kashmir Himalaya

Red tide, a recurrent phenomenon has become conspicuous in several Kashmir lake ecosystems since 1991. The responsible organism (Euglena pedunculata), a rare flagellate rediscovered in the Kashmir Himalaya (Khan 1993) caused first and unprecedented red tide outbreak, constituting a maximum of 96% of resident numerical phytoplankton density in Dal Lake. At present, conflicting hypotheses exist on the generation of causal assemblage(s) imparting redness to waters: Jeeji Bai (1991) linked its origin to acid precipitation – a fallout of burning oil‐fields during the Gulf War – whilst Khan (1993) holds local factor(s) responsible. Field/experimental studies support the latter contention that the influx of untreated sewage, in unison with warm temperatures, high levels of PhAR, iron and interruption to hydrological flow‐pattern together with absence/or reduction in grazing activity created conducive environmental milieu for red tide outbreak. Dal Lake “red tide” drifted the bloom‐inoculum to other waters, including Lake Wular, where additional ecological niches were carved out, threatening the aesthetic value and biological diversity of Kashmir lakes. Ecological monitoring indicates frequent seasonal red tide occurrence in Dal Lake (including summer‐autumn event of 1998) which testifies its unabated eutrophication status. Further studies are needed on ecological adaptability and biogeographic distribution of this rare and unique red tide‐causing flagellate.     

Species Composition and Seasonal Variations of the Gastropoda in Upper Sakarya River System (Turkey) in Relation to Water Quality

Species composition, abundance, and seasonal distribution of the Gastropoda fauna and the physical and chemical variables of Upper Sakarya River System have been investigated between October 1998 and August 1999. Gastropod fauna in the Upper Sakarya River System was represented by 9 species of Prosobranchia and 7 species of Pulmonata. Diversity, dominance, and abundance of the Gastropoda species were recorded seasonally. The abundance of some of the 16 species was correlated positively with temperature, dissolved oxygen and negatively or positively with pH and nitrate. It was observed that Gyraulus albus (Müller, 1774), Physa acuta Draparnaud, 1805, Valvata pulchella Studer, 1820, and Oxyloma elegans (Risso, 1826) can tolerate a high level of NO‐N while V. piscinalis (Müller, 1774) spread out in unpolluted water. Although the species and their numbers change at the stations, the maximum numbers were found during autumn, while minimums were identified during the winter sampling. Gyraulus albus was the most widespread species in our research area. Only 5 species (Gyraulus albus, Physa acuta, Valvata cristata (Muller, 1774), Valvata pulchella, Melanopsis praemorsa costata (Olivier, 1804)) were determined each season. However, no Gastropoda were found at the station 3 that has high BOD, NO‐N, NO‐N, and NH₃ levels.