初轨的稳健估计算法

讨论单测角资料(数据中包含异常值)初轨的稳健估计算法．该算法既可用于提供可靠的初轨,又可用作资料预处理,剔除异常值．稳健估计算法的崩溃点为16％至25％,可剔除6σ以上的异常值．     

小行星的搜寻和定轨

本文简要介绍了与小行星有关的一些基本知识和在小行星搜寻方面的国际进展情况 ,侧重与ASTROD项目有关的内容。并介绍了与小行星定轨有关的网络资源     

初轨计算方法中的常数系统差修正

在单位矢量法的基础上给出了一种常数系统误差修正方法．大量的数据验算结果表明,当测量数据中含有显著常数系统误差时,在初轨计算中修正常数系统差是有效的,可以提高测轨精度．     

小行星的搜寻和定轨

本文简要介绍了与小行星有关的一些基本知识和在小行星搜寻方面的国际进展情况，侧重与ASTROD项目有关的内容。并介绍了与小行星定轨有关的网络资源。     

一种适用于长弧段的初轨计算方法

根据单位矢量法测轨原理，在人造卫星初轨计算的单位矢量法基础上，给出了一种适用于长弧段的初轨计算方法．该方法既适用于长弧段，也适用于短弧段；适用于各种不同类型的观测资料和任意偏心率、任意轨道倾角的人造地球卫星；有利于提高初轨测定精度；并改善整个计算收敛性．特别需要指出的是，该方法与有摄初轨计算的单位矢量法相结合，为单位矢量法从初轨计算推广到轨道改进打下了坚实的基础．     

初轨计算的参考矢量法

本文从最优估计角度研究短弧资料定初轨问题，提出一种最小二乘估计算法，同时提出一种符合实用的参考矢量法．仿真结果显示，参考矢量法克服了现有初轨算法所承受病态影响，把定轨精度提高到接近最佳水平．     

单站单圈测距资料初轨计算的单位矢量法

根据单位矢量法测轨原理，在已知轨道面参数i，Ω的前提下，给出了一种适用于单站单圈测距资料的初轨计算方法．计算结果表明，方法是有效的．在没有测角资料或测角资料精度显著低于测距精度的情况下，有应用价值．     

初轨计算中的病态分析

本文对现有初轨计算方法进行病态性分析与误差分析；研究结果表明：病态对现有初轨算法的影响，主要来源于法方程系数中包含观测误差．系数行列式愈大，定轨精度的损失愈多，当■被随机误差项△μ淹盖时，现有初轨算法将失效．此外，仿真结果还显示：■与△μ的大小还极大地依赖观测弧段的空间位置，当观测弧段包含近站点作为中点时，■最大，而■小，此时定轨精度较高；当观测弧段位于近站点的某一侧时，■小，而■大，此时定轨精度较低，观测弧段愈偏离近站点，病态影响愈大；因而在观测时，应尽量使观测弧段与近站点对称（此时μ值较大），这是提高短弧定轨的一种有效途径．     

考虑地球扁率摄动影响的初轨计算方法

在二体问题意义下的短弧定轨,Laplace型方法是最主要最典型的一种初轨计算方法。若测角资料达到10^-4-10^-5精度(相当于2″—20″之间),那么要使定轨精度达到与其相应的程度,地球非球形引力位中的扁率项摄动应该考虑,在此前提下,同样可以采用相应的Laplace型定轨方法。即给出这种严格包含扁率摄动的初轨计算方法的原理和具体计算过程以及计算实例,除采用多资料定轨方法外,这种方法也是提高初轨计算精度的一种途径,它同样可用于多资料的情况,这种方法对于大扁率主天体(即中心天体)的卫星定轨将更有实用价值。     

Radar observations of E-class Asteroids 44 Nysa and 434 Hungaria

We observed the E-class main-belt Asteroids (MBAs) 44 Nysa and 434 Hungaria with Arecibo Observatory's S-band (12.6 cm) radar. Both asteroids exhibit polarization ratios higher than those measured for any other MBA: Nysa, μc=0.50±0.02 and Hungaria, μc=0.8±0.1. This is consistent with the high polarization ratios measured for every E-class near-Earth asteroid (NEA) observed by Benner et al. [Benner, L.A.M., and 10 collegues, 2008. Icarus, submitted for publication] and suggests a common cause. Our estimates of radar albedo are 0.19±0.06 for Nysa and 0.22±0.06 for Hungaria. These values are higher than those of most MBAs and, when combined with their high polarization ratios, suggest that the surface bulk density of both asteroids is high. We model Nysa as an ellipsoid of dimension 113×67×65 km (±15%) giving an effective diameter Deff=79±10 km, consistent with previous estimates. The echo waveforms are not consistent with a contact binary as suggested by Kaasalainen et al. [Kaasalainen, M., Torppa, J., Piironen, J., 2002. Astron. Astrophys. 383, L19-L22]. We place a constraint on Hungaria's maximum diameter, Dmax?11 km consistent with previous size estimates.     

Radar observations of Asteroids 64 Angelina and 69 Hesperia

We report new radar observations of E-class Asteroid 64 Angelina and M-class Asteroid 69 Hesperia obtained with the Arecibo Observatory S-band radar (2480 MHz, 12.6 cm). Our measurements of Angelina’s radar bandwidth are consistent with reported diameters and poles. We find Angelina’s circular polarization ratio to be 0.8 ± 0.1, tied with 434 Hungaria for the highest value observed for main-belt asteroids and consistent with the high values observed for all E-class asteroids (Benner, L.A.M., Ostro, S.J., Magri, C., Nolan, M.C., Howell, E.S., Giorgini, J.D., Jurgens, R.F., Margot, J.L., Taylor, P.A., Busch, M.W., Shepard, M.K. [2008]. Icarus 198, 294-304; Shepard, M.K., Kressler, K.M., Clark, B.E., Ockert-Bell, M.E., Nolan, M.C., Howell, E.S., Magri, C., Giorgini, J.D., Benner, L.A.M., Ostro, S.J. [2008b]. Icarus 195, 220-225). Our radar observations of 69 Hesperia, combined with lightcurve-based shape models, lead to a diameter estimate, D_eff = 110 ± 15 km, approximately 20% smaller than the reported IRAS value. We estimate Hesperia to have a radar albedo of , consistent with a high-metal content. We therefore add 69 Hesperia to the Mm-class (high metal M) (Shepard, M.K., Clark, B.E., Ockert-Bell, M., Nolan, M.C., Howell, E.S., Magri, C., Giorgini, J.D., Benner, L.A.M., Ostro, S.J., Harris, A.W., Warner, B.D., Stephens, R.D., Mueller, M. [2010]. Icarus 208, 221-237), bringing the total number of Mm-class objects to eight; this is 40% of all M-class asteroids observed by radar to date.     

Statistical analysis of C and S Main Belt Asteroids

In this paper we compare the observable properties of 962 numbered MBAs (Main Belt Asteroids) of Tholen/SMASSII C and S class, with diameter in the range 1-500 km, not belonging to families or binary systems. Above 20 km, the diameters distributions of C and S are similar while under 20 km there is a clear observative bias in favour of small S asteroids which prevents a direct comparison. There is a significant correlation between rotation frequency and diameter both for C and S: if the diameter decreases the rotation frequency tends to increase. There is also a significant correlation between the lightcurve amplitude and the diameter for both samples: if the diameter decreases the lightcurve amplitude tends to increase. For larger diameter the C amplitude tends to be systematically higher than S amplitude of about 0.1 magnitude, but the difference is not very significant. Between 48 and 200 km, the C asteroids have a rotation frequency distribution compatible with a Maxwellian. On the other side, for S asteroids, the compatibility with the Maxwellian concerns diameters greater than 33 km. Considering the rotational properties and the lightcurve amplitude it appears that there are no substantial differences between the samples of C and S asteroids taken into account, and this indicates a good homogeneity in the processes of collisional evolution.     

Resonant Fly-by Missions to Near Earth Asteroids

The authors here propose a mission scenario, aimed at close exploration of a Near-Earth Asteroid, exploiting low-V resonant trajectories. These trajectories allow repeated fly-bys of a chosen target. A selection procedure, which has been used to find some interesting mission opportunities in the 2005-2015 time frame, is described and the corresponding detailed mission profiles are derived, using an indirect optimization method.     

CCD Photometry of Asteroids 38, 174, 276 and 346

Photometric observations of the four selected asteroids, obtained at Yunnan Observatory, China during recent two years, are presented and analysed. We have determined the synodic periods of (174)\, Phaedra and (276)\, Adeldheid as 5.74h ± 0.01 and 6.29h ± 0.01,which confirmed the previous results. For (38)\, Leda and (346)\, Hermentria, we derived their period values, 10.171h ± 0.007 and 19.408h ± 0.005 for the first time. The color-indices of 38, were re-determined as 0.73 ± 0.02 for B-V and 0.41 ± 0.02for U-B, respectively, which are the same as the ones given by Tedesco (1989).     

Topocentric orbit determination: Algorithms for the next generation surveys

The process of calculating a good orbit from astrometric observations of the same object involves three main steps: preliminary orbit determination, least squares orbit fitting, and quality control assessing the orbit's uncertainty and reliability. For the next generation sky surveys, with much larger number density of observations, new algorithms, or at least substantial revisions of the classical ones, are needed. The classical theory of preliminary orbit algorithms was incomplete in that the consequences of the topocentric correction had not been fully studied. We show that it is possible to rigorously account for topocentric observations and that this correction may increase the number of alternate preliminary orbits without impairing the overall performance. We have developed modified least squares algorithms including the capability of fitting the orbit to a reduced number of parameters. The restricted fitting techniques can be used to improve the reliability of the orbit computing procedure when the observed arcs have small curvature. False identification (where observations of different objects are incorrectly linked together) can be discarded with a quality control on the residuals and a ‘normalization’ procedure removing duplications and contradictions. We have tested our algorithms on two simulations based on the expected performance of Pan-STARRS—one of the next generation all-sky surveys. The results confirm that large sets of discoveries can be handled very efficiently resulting in good quality orbits. In these tests we lost only 0.6 to 1.3% of the possible objects, with a false identification rate in the range 0.02 to 0.06%.     

Development of an observational error model

In calculating the orbit of a minor planet with a least-squares algorithm, current practice is to assume that all observations of a given era have the same uncertainty, and that the errors in these observations are uncorrelated. These assumptions are unrealistic; and they lead to sub-optimal orbits.Our objective is to develop and validate an observational error model that provides realistic estimates of the uncertainties and correlations in asteroid observations. When used to populate the covariance matrix of the least-squares algorithm, the resulting orbits are shown to more accurately and precisely represent asteroid trajectories.     

Radar detection of near-Earth Asteroids 1915 Quetzalcoatl, 3199 Nefertiti, 3757 (1982 XB), and 4034 (1986 PA)

We describe Arecibo (2380 MHz, 12.6 cm) Doppler-only radar detections of near-Earth Asteroids 1915 Quetzalcoatl, 3199 Nefertiti, 3757 (1982 XB), and 4034 (1986 PA) obtained between 1981 and 1989. Estimates of the echo spectral bandwidths, radar cross-sections, and circular polarization ratios of these objects constrain their sizes, radar albedos, surface roughnesses, taxonomic classes, rotation periods, and pole directions. Our radar constraints on the diameters of Quetzalcoatl and Nefertiti are most consistent with sizes determined using thermal-radiometry and the Fast Rotation Model (FRM); this consistency may indicate that these asteroids have surfaces of high thermal inertia (i.e., little or no regolith). Constraints on Quetzalcoatl's radar albedo rule out a “metallic M” classification. The radar constraints for Nefertiti are inconsistent with a rotation pole published by Kaasalainen et al. (2004, Icarus 167, 178). Our estimates of 1982 XB's size are consistent with previously published estimates. The radar bandwidth of 1986 PA places an upper bound of about 24 h on its rotation period.     

CAMS: Cameras for Allsky Meteor Surveillance to establish minor meteor showers

First results are presented from a newly developed meteoroid orbit survey, called CAMS – Cameras for Allsky Meteor Surveillance, which combines meteor detection algorithms for low-light video observations with traditional video surveillance tools. Sixty video cameras at three stations monitor the sky above 31° elevation. Goal of CAMS is to verify meteor showers in search of their parent comets among newly discovered near-Earth objects.This paper outlines the concept of operations, the hardware, and software methods used during operation and in the data reduction pipeline, and accompanies the data release of the first batch of meteoroid orbits. During the month of November 2010, 2169 precisely reduced meteoroid trajectories from 17 nights have an error in the apparent radiant of the trajectory <2° and error in speed <10%. Median values of the error are 0.31° and 0.53 km/s, respectively, sufficient to resolve the intrinsic dispersion of annual meteor showers and resolve minor showers from the sporadic background. The limiting visual magnitude of the cameras is +5.4, recording meteors of +4 magnitude and brighter, bright enough to stand out from the mostly fainter sporadic meteors detected as under dense radar echoes.CAMS readily detected all established showers (6) active during the clear nights in November. Of the showers that needed confirmation, we confirm the theta Aurigids (THA, IAU#390), the chi Taurids (CTA, IAU#388), and the omicron Eridanids (OER, IAU#338). We conclude that the iota November Aurigids (IAR, IAU#248) are in fact the combined activity of the theta Aurigids and chi Taurids, and this shower should be dismissed from the list. Finally, there is also a clustering consistent with the zeta Cancrids (ZCN, IAU#243), but we cannot exclude that this is lower perihelion dust belonging to the Orionid shower.Data are submitted to the IAU Meteor Data Center on a semi-regular basis, and can be accessed also at http://cams.seti.org.     

On the asteroid belt's orbital and size distribution

For absolute magnitudes greater than the current completeness limit of H-magnitude ∼15 the main asteroid belt's size distribution is imperfectly known. We have acquired good-quality orbital and absolute H-magnitude determinations for a sample of small main-belt asteroids in order to study the orbital and size distribution beyond H=15, down to sub-kilometer sizes (H>18). Based on six observing nights over a 11-night baseline we have detected, measured photometry for, and linked observations of 1087 asteroids which have one-week time baselines or more. The linkages allow the computation of full heliocentric orbits (as opposed to statistical distances determined by some past surveys). Judged by known asteroids in the field the typical uncertainty in the (a/e/i) orbital elements is less than 0.03 AU/0.03/0.5°. The distances to the objects are sufficiently well known that photometric uncertainties (of 0.3 magnitudes or better) dominate the error budget of their derived H-magnitudes. The detected asteroids range from HR=12-22 and provide a set of objects down to sizes below 1 km in diameter. We find an on-sky surface density of 210 asteroids per square degree in the ecliptic with opposition magnitudes brighter than mR=23, with the cumulative number of asteroids increasing by a factor of 10^0.27/mag from mR=18 down to the mR?23.5 limit of our survey. In terms of absolute H magnitudes, we find that beyond H=15 the belt exhibits a constant power-law slope with the number increasing proportional to ¹⁰0.30H from H?15 to 18, after which incompleteness begins in the survey. Examining only the subset of detections inside 2.5 AU, we find weak evidence for a mildly shallower slope for H=15-19.5. We provide the information necessary such that anyone wishing to model the main asteroid belt can compare a detailed model to our detected sample.