基于中值滤波和小波变换的天气雷达回波图像处理

本文提出了一种中值滤波和小波变换相结合的天气雷达回波图像处理方法,分别从目标回波的视觉角度和统计量的客观角度对处理后图像进行了分析。实验结果表明,本文算法实现了去除回波图像中高斯和脉冲混合噪声的目的,有效的保留了回波图像边缘细节,视觉效果好,层次感较为丰富,处理效果明显优于传统图像处理方法,为自动识别回波种类的研究提供了良好的基础。     

基于正交小波变换的并行软判决盲均衡算法

针对常数模算法收敛速度慢的缺点,在分析基于正交小波变换盲均衡器结构和并行软判决盲均衡算法的基础上,提出一种基于正交小波变换的并行软判决盲均衡算法.该算法将正交小波变换引入到并行软判决算法中,利用正交小波变换对信号很强的去相关能力,降低信号的自相关性,以加快算法的收敛速度.水声信道仿真结果表明,与并行的软判决盲均衡算法相比,所提出的基于正交小波变换的并行软判决盲均衡算法具有更快的收敛速度.     

双线偏振雷达差分传播相移的小波滤波初探

根据中国气象科学研究院灾害天气国家重点实验室的车载C波段双线偏振多普勒雷达外场观测资料,利用Daubechies小波对雷达观测的差分传播相移ΦDP进行滤波处理,并与滑动平均和中值滤波这两种常规处理方法的滤波效果进行对比分析。结果表明,Daubechies小波方法不仅同两种常规处理方法一样能有效剔除差分传播相移ΦDP存在的各种脉动与毛刺,使ΦDP数据具有更好的连续性和平滑度,还能有效地保留非气象回波信息,方便对其进行地物识别等后续处理; 此外,其对弱信号的滤波效果也有显著提高,滤波后的ΦDP及其估算的差分传播相移率KDP与反射率因子ZH均有较好的对应关系。     

基于门限回归的气温对光伏发电量的影响分析

光伏发电与气象要素密切相关,正确认识气象因子对于光伏发电量及其发电效率的影响是进行发电量预测和维持光伏电站稳定运行的重要基础。采用江苏省淮安市某小型光伏电站2018—2020年发电量数据、淮安市太阳辐射观测站数据及光伏电站附近气象站观测数据,分析气温、太阳总辐射等气象因子对光伏发电量的影响。相关性分析结果表明,光伏发电量与太阳总辐射呈极强的正相关,基本随太阳总辐射的变化而变化;与气温、降水分别呈弱的正相关和弱的负相关;与风速几乎无相关。然而,灰色关联度分析显示,光伏发电量还与气温呈现出较高的灰色关联度。进一步分析表明,光伏发电量随太阳总辐射的变化受到气温的明显调制,不同气温下光伏发电效率不同。门限回归分析显示,当气温达到一定阈值时光伏发电效率会出现下降,具体表现为：当气温达到12.1 ℃,光伏发电效率下降26.7%;当气温超过22.8 ℃,光伏发电效率下降43.7%。使用这两个温度阈值建立的TR（Threshold Regression）模型的准确率要比线性回归模型提高约10%。     

基于小波分析的组合随机模型及其在径流预测中的应用

提出了一种随机组合预测模型利用Mallat算法对水文时间序列进行多尺度分解,得到对应尺度下的概貌(低频)分量和细节(高频)分量;分别对概貌分量和细节分量建立随机模型进行预测,预测结果的叠加即为原水文变量的预测.将该模型用于黄河三门峡站年径流预测中,并与传统预测模型进行了对比分析,结果表明,建立的组合模型充分利用了现有信息,预测精度高.     

近百年南宁降水小波分析

对 190 8- 2 0 0 0年南宁近百年的年、季降水序列进行了分析和小波变换计算 ,结果表明 :降水距平绝对值越大 ,相应的小波周期越长和波幅越强。即小波分析在气候变化研究中显现了年与年之间、波长与波长之间的波幅变化形态与特征 ,从而为了解降水随年代的变化展示了一个视窗     

基于多尺度小波边缘检测的对流降水和闪电分析

为准确估测对流降水,提出了多尺度小波边缘检测算法,借鉴小波变换的多尺度分析和边缘检测原理,对雷达反射率数据进行处理,有效地识别出对流云回波区域,进而反演对流降水,精细化分析其和闪电的相关关系。选取了南京2009年7月6—7日的一次强雷暴降水过程中对流活动较剧烈的180 min为例,对采自南京龙王山雷达站的真实数据进行了算法识别分析,反演得到对流降水,统计6 min时间间隔内的闪电频数与同期降水进行相关分析,得到该时段中每次闪电所表征的降水量（RPF）的范围在7.47×106～4.46×107 kg,平     

基于小波分析的地面大气电场观测数据处理技术研究

使用南京信息工程大学实验场的AMEO340电场仪一年观测试验资料,将大气电场仪采样序列数据经快速傅里叶变换,得到序列的功率谱,对晴天和伴有闪电天气的地面大气电场数据进行小波函数为sym5的7层分解,某种程度上降低了地面大气电场数据波形的重叠度。通过对伴有闪电天气的地面大气电场数据进行小波7层分解,地面大气电场信号的低频部分不仅突出显示出地面大气电场值的主要变化趋势,而且能清晰地分辨出闪电过程中较强的正负地闪次数,为利用地面大气电场强度值的变化特征进行闪电预警提供了更有效的信息。     

1994年6月广东省特大洪涝期间气象要素的小波分析

通过对１９９４年６月广东洪涝期间省内南雄与电白两部逐时地面降水、气压和温度和小波分析,清楚地将影响两站的不同尺度的扰动显示出来,利用小波方差图可帮助确定该段时间的主要天气系统,利用小波逆变换可对原序称进行多种形式的重构。     

A Study Of Coherent Structures In The Atmospheric Surface Layer Over Short And Tall Grass

Ejection and sweep eddy motions are coherent structures in the atmospheric surface layer. These structures are responsible for surface-layer fluxes of sensible heat and momentum. This study analyzes these structures over the same surface in short and tall grass situations. It is shown that momentumsweep eddy motions are dominant in both short and tall grass situations. Theratio between eddy structures revealed that the small-scale eddies are activatedin tall grass conditions. The study applies to unstable conditions duringdaytime.     

广西1999年度气候特点及其影响评价

分析广西1999年度（1998年12月至1999年11月）的气候状况,其特点为：各地年平均气温17.3～23.8℃,比常年偏高0.5～1.3℃;有49个县市（占56%）气温异常偏高,有25个县市（占29%）气温显著偏高;全区年平均气温21.2℃,比常年偏高0.8℃,与1998年并列为广西自1959年以来第2暖年。年降水量为928～2399mm,与常年相比,桂北正常到偏多3成,桂南正常到偏少2成。年日照时数1060～2362h,大部地区比常年偏少50～300h。主要气候事件及其影响以大范围长时间冬春连旱最为突出,其次是汛期局部暴雨洪涝。1999年度气温异常偏高,降水接近常年,日照稍少,冬春连旱严重,对农业生产的影响利弊同存,属正常偏好年景。     

Mixing Height Over Water And Its Role On The Correlation Between Temperature And Humidity Fluctuations In The Unstable Surface Layer

Results from an experimental investigation of themixing height over inner Danish waters carriedout from September 1990 to October 1992, are discussed.The statistical analysis of the mixed-layer height (z_i)over the sea does not exhibit the dailyvariation that is characteristic of the mixed layerover land, but it is nearly constant over a24-hour cycle. During summer, the mixed layer ishigher than during winter. A second inversionwas often observed.A case study of the development of the mixed layerover the sea under near-neutral and unstableatmospheric conditions during six consecutivedays is presented. A zero-order mixed-layer heightmodel is applied. In addition to momentum and heatfluxes the effect of subsidence was found to be importantfor the evolution of the mixed layer over the sea. Themodelled evolution of z_i compared successfullywith measurements.We have investigated the influence of themixed-layer height on the correlation coefficient R_qTbetween temperature and humidity fluctuations usingthe values obtained with the model.We found that the evolution of R_qT follows theevolution of the mixing height. An empirical modellinking the surface values of R_qT to z_i and the Obukhov scaling length L has been suggested. The modelreproduces the experimental features.     

Variability Of The Stable And Unstable Atmospheric Boundary-Layer Height And Its Scales Over A Boreal Forest

Radiosondes releases during the NOPEX-WINTEX experiment carried out in late winter in Northern Finland were analysed for the determination of the height h of the atmospheric boundary layer. We investigate various possible scaling approaches, based on length scales using micrometeorological turbulence surface measurements and the background atmospheric stratification above h. Under stable conditions, the three previously observed turbulence regimes delineated by values of z/L (L is the Obukhov length) appears as a blueprint for understanding the departures found for the suitability of the Ekman scaling based on L_E = u_/f (u is the friction velocity and f the Coriolis parameter). The length scale L_N = u_/N (where N is the Brunt–Väisälä frequency) appears to be a useful scale under most stable conditions, especially in association with L. Under unstable conditions, shear production of turbulence is still significant, so that the three scales L, L_N and L_E are again relevant and the dimensionless ratios _N = L_N/L and L_N/L_E = N/f describe well the WINTEX data. Furthermore, in the classical scaling framework, the unstable domain may also be divided into three regimes as reflected by the dependence ofu_/f on instability (z/L).     

The Summertime Great Plains Low Level Jet And The Effect of Its Origin On Moisture Transport

Radiosonde data from six stations in Kansas and Oklahoma for the period of June 16–24, 1993 indicate that a low-level jet (LLJ) occurred almost every day except on the 20th. Major characteristics of these LLJs are documented in this paper. The maximum wind speed (the jet speed) varied from 13 to 32 m s^-1 and heights ranged from 167 to 910 m. All the jets were southerly except the one on June 19 which changed its direction dramatically from a southerly to a northerly direction in about three hours although its intensity did not change appreciably. Thermal stability of the boundary layer during these LLJ occurrences ranged from near-neutral to highly stable. All the low-level jets exhibited significant diurnal variations. Analyses show that relatively weak large-scale forcing existed for the LLJs on June 21 and June 22, while strong forcing was present on other days. Analyses also show that moisture transport by the LLJ from the Gulf of Mexico to the Great Plains depends on the location of the LLJ origin. In the two weeks of June 13–19 and 20–26, 1993, powerful storms swept through the central United States, accompanied by tornadoes, strong wind, large hail and heavy rainfall. The analyses indicate that these weather events could be a result of the interactions of the LLJs with synoptic-scale flow.     

The Influence Of Vertical Wind Direction Shear On Dispersion In The Convective Boundary Layer, And Its Incorporation In Coastal Fumigation Models

The mean concentration distributionwithin a plume released from a point source in the atmosphericboundary layer can be greatly influenced by the systematic turningof wind with height (i.e. vertical wind direction shear). Such aninfluence includes a deflection of the plume centroid, with anassociated shearing of the vertical plume cross-section, and anenhancement of dispersion, in the horizontal plane. Wind directionshear is normally not accounted for in coastal fumigation models,although dispersion observations with shear acting as acontrolling parameter are not uncommon. A three-dimensionalLagrangian stochastic model is used to investigate the influenceof uniform wind direction shear on the diffusion of a point-sourceplume within the horizontally homogeneous convective boundarylayer, with the source located at the top of the boundary layer.Parameterisations are developed for the plume deflection andenhanced dispersion due to shear within the framework of aprobability density function (PDF) approach, and compared with theLagrangian model results. These parameterisations are thenincorporated into two applied coastal fumigation models: a PDFmodel, and a commonly used model that assumes uniform andinstantaneous mixing in the vertical direction. The PDF modelrepresents the vertical mixing process more realistically. A moreefficient version of the PDF model, which assumes a well-mixedconcentration distribution in the vertical at large times, isapplied to simulate sulfur dioxide data from the Kwinana CoastalFumigation Study. A comparison between the model results and thedata show that the model performs much better when the wind-sheareffects are included.     

A Simple Model Of The Convective Internal Boundary Layer And Its Application To Surface Heat Flux Estimates Within Polynyas

A simple model of the convective (thermal) internalboundary layer has been developed for climatologicalstudies of air-sea-ice interaction, where in situobservations are scarce and first-order estimates ofsurface heat fluxes are required. It is amixed-layer slab model, based on a steady-statesolution of the conservation of potentialtemperature equation, assuming a balance betweenadvection and turbulent heat-flux convergence. Boththe potential temperature and the surface heat fluxare allowed to vary with fetch, so the subsequentboundary-layer modification alters the fluxconvergence and thus the boundary-layer growth rate.For simplicity, microphysical and radiativeprocesses are neglected.The model is validated using several case studies.For a clear-sky cold-air outbreak over a coastalpolynya the observed boundary-layer heights,mixed-layer potential temperatures and surface heatfluxes are all well reproduced. In other cases,where clouds are present, the model still capturesmost of the observed boundary-layer modification,although there are increasing discrepancies withfetch, due to the neglected microphysical andradiative processes. The application of the model toclimatological studies of air-sea interaction withincoastal polynyas is discussed.     

Reconstructed Temperature And Precipitation On A Millennial Timescale From Tree-Rings In The Southern Colorado Plateau,U.S.A.

Two independent calibrated and verified climate reconstructions from ecologically contrasting tree-ring sites in the southern Colorado Plateau, U.S.A. reveal decadal-scale climatic trends during the past two millennia. Combining precisely dated annual mean-maximum temperature and October through July precipitation reconstructions yields an unparalleled record of climatic variability. The approach allows for the identification of thirty extreme wet periods and thirty-five extreme dry periods in the 1,425-year precipitation reconstruction and 30 extreme cool periods and 26 extreme warm periods in 2,262-year temperature reconstruction. In addition, the reconstructions were integrated to identify intervals when conditions were extreme in both climatic variables (cool/dry, cool/wet, warm/dry, warm/wet). Noteworthy in the reconstructions are the post-1976 warm/wet period, unprecedented in the 1,425-year record both in amplitude and duration, anomalous and prolonged late 20th century warmth, that while never exceeded, was nearly equaled in magnitude for brief intervals in the past, and substantial decadal-scale variability within the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age intervals.