Statistical analysis of wave-induced extreme nonlinear load effects using time-domain simulations

A new hybrid method for the time-domain nonlinear simulation of the hydroelastic load effects and the peak-over-threshold (POT) method for the calculation of the short-term extreme responses are briefly described and applied to a flexible containership of the latest design. Statistical analysis has been carried out to study the sensitivity of the predicted extreme vertical bending moments and vertical shear forces to the changes in the threshold of the POT method, as well as the statistical uncertainty in the prediction due to the limited duration of the nonlinear simulation. It is recommended that 90%–95% quantile should be used as the threshold in the POT method and more than 100 h of time-domain simulation should be carried out in order to obtain satisfactory predictions of the short-term extreme nonlinear load effects.     

单锚腿系泊系统动力响应的时域计算方法

在时域内建立了单锚腿系泊系统在风、浪、流联合作用下动力响应的计算方法。在分析波浪荷载时，使用了设计波法和非线性Stokes五阶波，并由经验公式求出了船舶的风、流荷载作用力。系统的动力初始条件由准静态方法求得。由静态方法得到系泊力后，使用了四阶Runge-Kutta方法求解船舶的运动时历，并作为立管和浮筒动力计算的边界条件。由二维梁柱单元和集中质量法构建了立管和浮简的数学模型，立管的运动方程用Wilson-θ法求解。模拟计算结果和试验结果进行了比较，吻合得较好,表明本方法能够用于计算单锚腿系泊系统的动力响应。