云系模式研究:云场的宏微观结构模拟

用计算物理方法设计构造了一个云系模式,并用一个实例作为初始场进行了模拟,模拟的云场宏观特征与实况观测比较一致,微观结构比较合理,配套的模式输出数据处理和绘图程序包能给出云系的点(粒子谱)、线(垂直廓线)、面(结构剖面)、体(云场,云型,云量,云系形状)的多维宏微观结构的云场图象。     

SIMULATION AND ANALYSIS ON OBSERVATIONAL ERRORS OF CLOUD INTENSITY AND STRUCTURE WITH TRMM PR AND GROUND-BASED RADAR*

In order to explain theoretically the observational biases of reflectivity and structure of precipitation systems by TRMM Precipitation Radar (TRMM PR) and ground-based radar,the effects of wavelengths,incident direction of radar waves and radar beam width on the reflectivity observation are simulated.The results show that the error due to the different wavelength and incident direction of radar wave is within 2.0 dB,TRMM PR can observe a larger reflectivity than ground-based radar in echo center.TRMM PR smoothes the cloud structure,overestimates and underestimates reflectivity by 3-5 dB in strong and week echo areas,respectively.Beam width and long distance from TRMM PR to target cause it to overestimate the large echo area and area integrated rainfall amount,and to underestimate the averaged refleetivity.The theoretical results above can only explain part of observational facts,meaning that the comparison of observation results between TRMM PR and ground-based radar is complicated,the attenuation of radar wave within precipitation area is the main factor to affect the observed result.     

一次暖云降水主导的暴雨过程中电荷结构特征及其成因的模拟研究

为了认识以暖云强降水为主导的对流单体中的电荷结构特征及其形成原因,利用加入了起放电参数化方案的WRF模式,模拟了2017年5月7日广州局地突发的以暖云降水为主导的特大暴雨过程,分析讨论了此次过程中一个单体成熟发展阶段的电荷结构的特征及其成因.结果 表明,此次以暖云降水为主导的特大暴雨过程中的单体对流强度较弱,云顶高度低...     

A MODEL OF A COUPLED SEA-ATMOSPHERE-CLOUD CLIMATE SYSTEM*

In this paper,a coupled sea-atmosphere-cloud climatic model is set up.Qualitative analysis shows that the system exists at least in five possible equilibrium states,and not four as traditionally considered.Numerical simulation stated that when we do not consider the feedback of clouds the SST will raise 0.96 K and 0.97 K respectively as the concentrations of CO₂ rise from 280 ppm and 330 ppm to 560 ppm and 660 ppm.When we consider the feedback the SST rises only about 0.51 K under same conditions.So greenhouse effect of CO₂ is lessened in certain extent.     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF MESOSCALE STRUCTURES OF TYPHOON AND OROGRAPHIC EFFECTS USING MM5*

The track,landfall,dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical mesoscale structures and their evolution of typhoon HERB 1996 in 36 h from 0000 UTC 31 July to 1200 UTC 1 August 1996 were simulated by using the non-hydrostatic mesoscale model MM5.This period covered the process of typhoon HERB landfall at Taiwan and Fujian Provinces.Results show that the model successfully simulated the landfall process of typhoon HERB,revealed the most important characteristics of the mesoscale dynamic and thermodynamic and cloud-rain physical structure during its landfall.The simulated typhoon track was close to the observation.The center of cyclonic circulation simulated at 0000 UTC on 1 August 1996 (24 h integration) was located in shore near Fuqing,Fujian Province at which the typhoon was reported to landfall two hours later.It shows that strong upward motion formed by low level convergence existed in the eye-wall and subsidence at the eye.The wind field shows clear asymmetrical structure near the typhoon center.The cloud and rainband was screw-typed distributed around typhoon center,and consisted of meso-β scale rain cores.During the period of typhoon HERB staying near and passing over Taiwan,the lower cloud was developed in the eye region so that the previous clear typhoon eye on the satellite pictures became fuzzy.Observation shows that the typhoon center was "warm",but the model simulations with higher space resolution show that in the mid-troposphere the region of eye-wall with stronger upward motion and more cloud-and rain-water was warmer than the eye.During the period of typhoon passing over Taiwan and its following landfall at Fujian,the track of model typhoon deviated about 30 km northward (i.e.,rightward) because of the orographic effects of Taiwan Island,but the strength of the typhoon was not affected remarkably.The amount of rainfall on Taiwan in the 36 h simulations was enhanced more than six times by the orographic lifting of Taiwan Mountain.     

EVALUATION OF CGCM AND SIMULATION OF REGIONAL CLIMATE CHANGE IN EAST ASIA*

In this paper,experiment results about East Asia climate from five CGCMs are described.The ability of the models to simulate present climate and the simulated response to increased carbon dioxide are both covered.The results indicate that all models show substantial changes in climate when carbon dioxide concentrations are doubled.In particular,the strong surface warming at high latitudes in winter and the significant increase of summer precipitation in the monsoon area are produced by all models.Regional evaluation results show that these five CGCMs are particularly good in simulating spatial distribution of present climate.The main characteristics of the seasonal mean H500,SAT,MSLP field can be simulated by most CGCMs.But there are significant systematic errors in SAT,MSLP,HS00 fields in most models.On the whole,DKRZ OPYC is the best in simulating the present climate in East Asia.     

STUDY ON CLOUD CLASSIFICATIONS BY USING AVHRR,GMS-5 AND TERRA/MODIS SATELLITE DATA*

This paper presents the automated pixel-scale neural network classification methods being developed at National Satellite Meteorological Center(NSMC) of China to classify clouds by using NOAA/AVHRR and GMS-5 satellite imageries.By using Terra satellite MODIS imageries,an automated pixel-scale threshold technique has been developed to detect and classify clouds.The study focuses on applications of these cloud classification techniques to the Huaihe River and the Changjiang(Yangtze) River drainage basin.The different types of clouds show more clearly on this cloud classification image than single band image.The results of the cloud classifications are the basis of studying cloud amount,cloud top height and cloud top pressure.Cloud mask method sare widely used in SST,LST,and TPW retrieval schemes.Some case studies about cloud mask and cloud classification in satellite imageries,which are related with the study of Global Energy and Water Cycle Experiment(GEWEX) in the Huaihe River and the Changjiang River drainage basin are illustrated.     

NUMERICAL STUDY OF REMOTE SENSING OF CLOUD LIQUID WATER CONTENT BY SPACE-BORNE COMBINED RADAR-RADIOMETER*

A retrieval method of microwave(MW) space-borne remote sensing of cloud liquid water content by the combined radar-radiometer is suggested.A three-layer cloud model is chosen to represent the typical stratified precipitating cloud.The retrieval method mainly follows our previously suggested scheme with some modifications.Numerical comparative study shows that in space-borne remote sensing of cloud liquid water content by the combined method is much better than by radar only;Also the retrieval accuracy of cloud liquid water content may be improved when using the three-layer cloud model in the combined method.     

CHARACTERISTICS OF LARGE PULSES OF RADIATED FIELDS FROM CLOUD FLASH DISCHARGES*

Observations show that the sequences of microsecond-scale pulses are produced in cloud flash discharge processes.In the present work we report on measurements of larger bipolar pulses(LBP)of the radiation fields which are classified into four types according to their waveshapes and polarities of initial peak.Either positive or negative pulse contains two kinds of waveshapes:one with a smooth rise and the other with 2 or 3 fast-rising pulse superimposed on the initial half cycle.The pulse waveshape characteristics in both time and frequency domains are as follows.Among 2908 samples there are 45% of the positive polarity and 55% of the negative polarity.The positive pulses tend to have distinctly smaller values than negative pulses in rise time,half width and zero-crossing time of the initial peak.The peaks of positive pulse spectra tend to occur at a higher frequency than those of negative pulses.Despite differences above,positive and negative pulses have a similar total duration.     

SOME RELATIONS BETWEEN ASYMMETRIC STRUCTURE AND MOTION OF TYPHOONS*

The analysis of the SPECTRUM(Special Experiment Concerning Typhoon Recurvature and Unusual Movement) data indicates that the structure of recurving target typhoons 9015(Abe),9019(Flo) and 9020(Gene) at different stages of moving processes showed different motion features.On different time scales,temporal variations of typhoon structure and motion speed displayed different features.     

一次热带海洋对流云微物理过程的数值模拟

为了理解微物理过程以及次生对流云对热带对流云团发展演变过程的影响,利用二维云分辨模式对2006年1月20日靠近澳大利亚西北部的印度尼西亚暖池附近的一次对流云降水过程进行数值模拟,分析了对流云发展演变不同阶段各种微物理过程的特征,尤其对次生对流的形成以及并合过程进行了深入分析.结果表明:本个例所研究的热带对流云团具有发展...     

DEVELOPMENT OF A COUPLED REGIONAL AIR-SEA MODEL AND ITS NUMERICAL SIMULATION FOR SUMMER MONSOON IN 1998*

A coupled regional air-sea model is developed by using the regional climate model (P-σ RCM) and the regional ocean model (POM),which is used to simulate East Asian monsoon and oceanic elements in East Asian coastal waters.The simulated surface layer oceanic elements are basically consistent with the reality and can reflect the interaction between the monsoon and the surface layer currents.The great difference with the reality is "cold drift" of the simulated surface temperature.The coupled model has certain ability to simulate the atmosphere geopotential height fields,precipitation and low-level southwest wind from May to August in 1998.It can display the process of summer monsoon onset during the third dekad of May and the evolution features after the onset.The differences between the simulation results of the coupled model and that of the single P-σ RCM are shown mainly in the low-level atmosphere and the model internal regions.     

HLAFS显式云降水方案及其对暴雨和云的模拟(I)云降水显式方案

将三套显式云降水方案移植、耦合到国家气象中心业务有限区数值预报模式HLAFS中, 显式云降水方案包括双参数暖云方案、简化混合相云方案和双参数混合相云方案,明显地改进了原模式预报系统的湿物理过程,特别是对云降水过程的模拟能力.详细介绍了这三套云降水方案的物理过程,以及与动力框架的耦合.     

HLAFS显式云降水方案及其对暴雨和云的模拟(II)暴雨和云的模拟

在HLAFS业务数值预报模式的动力框架下,利用文章(I)所述的显式云降水方案,对一次暴雨过程和伴随着的云物蓝砸淮伪?雨过程和伴随着的云物泪果表明,显式方案对降水落区和强降水中心位置的预报较原HLAFS的大尺度饱和凝结方案有明显改进.模式能合理地揭示出暴雨发生、发展过程中的云系演变规律和云物理过程.冰相过程对降水、中尺度热力和动力场有明显影响,特别是冰相过程有利于降水的早期的形成速率.与卫星TBB资料的对比分析表明,引进显式方案后,模式能较合理地模拟出云系的轮廓、位置、范围、强度、生消和移向,模式模拟出的云顶温度与卫星测量出的云顶温度较为一致.     

NUMERICAL SIMULATION STUDY OF CLOUD INTERACTION AND FORMATION MECHANISM OF HEAVY RAIN IN MIXED CONVECTIVE-STRATIFORM CLOUD

Using the numerical model of mixed convective-stratiform clouds(MCS)in the paper(Hong1997)and the averaged stratification of torrential rain processes,the evolution processes,interaction of the two kinds of clouds,structure and the precipitation features in the MCS toproduce heavy rain are simulated and studied,and the physical reasons of producing torrential rainare analysed.The results indicate that the stratiform cloud surrounding the convective cloudbecomes weakened and dissipates in the developing and enhancing of the convective cloud,and therainfall rate and water content in the stratiform cloud increase as the distance from the convectivecloud becomes larger.The numerical experiments find out that the stratiform cloud provides abenificial developing environment for the convective cloud,i.e.,the saturated environment and theconvergence field in the stratiform cloud help to lengthen the life cycle of the convective cloud,produce sustained rainfall with high intensity and intermittent precipitation with ultra-highintensity.These and the ice phase microphysical processes are the main factors for the torrentialrain formation and the MCS is a very effective precipitation system.     

一次MCS过程的卫星云图和数值模拟分析

本文应用卫星云图与数值模拟结果对2000年6月2日发生的一次影响江苏的江淮气旋暴雨过程进行研究分析，阐述了这次暴雨过程表现的MCS基本特征。分析表明：MCS的形成可以由几个中β尺度对流云或对流带开始，在特定的环境场中汇合成合并；在其发展过程中必须维持湿度平流，低层到中层有暖平流，骨强偏南风急流伸向形成区，同时在其东北方向有一支高空西风急流相耦合；低层的辐合、整层凝结潜热的释放、垂直运动的增强、高层的辐散引起的正反馈机制是MCS发展的动因。     

EFFECT OF ENERGY DISPERSION ON THE STRUCTURE AND MOTION OF TROPICAL CYCLONE*

The energy dispersion of a typhoon vortex and its effect on the typhoon motion are studied using an analytical method of double-Fourier expansion as well as a numerical model in a β-plane nondivergent barotropic framework.The analytic model and the linear version of the numerical model give essentially the same result:the energy dispersion from a tropical cyclone can creat an L-H-L wave train to the east of the tropical cyclone.Three numerical experiments,integrated for 7 model days by the nonlinear model,indicate that the closed high in the wave train produces obvious influence on the structure and movement of the tropical cyclone.     

A SENSITIVITY SIMULATION ABOUT CLOUD MICROPHYSICAL PROCESSES OF TYPHOON CHANCHU

With the Reisner-2 bulk microphysical parameterization of the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–U.S. National Center for Atmospheric Research (PSU–NCAR) Mesoscale Model (MM5), this paper investigates the microphysical sensitivities of Typhoon Chanchu. Four different microphysical sensitivity experiments were designed with an objective to evaluate their respective impacts in modulating intensity forecasts and microphysics budgets of the typhoon. The set of sensitivity experiments were conducted ...     

A STUDY OF CIRCULATION CHARACTERISTICS AND INDEX OF SOUTH CHINA SEA SUMMER MONSOON*

Based on height and wind data of NCEP/NCAR and OLR data,patterns of upper air circulation from April to October have been analyzed,and the South China Sea (SCS) Summer Monsoon Onset (SMO) and retreat have been defined.The empirical formula fitting to the onset index of the SCS SMO has been established,and the onset and ending time of monsoon,together with the intensity index sequence during 1953-1999 are given by the analysis of characteristics of thermodynamic and dynamic factors during the process of SMO.The emergence and development of symmetric vortex pair at both sides of the equator in tropical East Indian Ocean,which may excite the SCS SMO,can be taken as a short-term prediction indicator of SMO.