海底隧道围岩稳定性模糊概率分析

针对采用定值相对极限位移判定隧道围岩稳定性时存在的问题,提出了采用模糊概率理论判定隧道围岩稳定的计算方法.结合厦门翔安海底隧道工程实际,利用曲线回归和模糊概率方法对海底隧道围岩稳定性概率进行了计算分析.参考现行规范并根据海底隧道各个开挖步的变形量综合确定极限相对位移上下限,采用指数函数对海底隧道CRD1部和CRD3部的拱顶下沉收敛曲线进行了回归分析.根据回归参数及实测结果,应用模糊概率公式对隧道围岩的稳定性概率进行了计算,从而为根据某个时刻的相对位移来判断海底隧道稳定性提供了参考.     

Seismic stability analysis of subsea tunnels under the effects of seepage and temperature

This study used the strength reduction method to analyze the seismic stability of a subsea tunnel under the effects of seepage and temperature. Excess pore water pressure within the rock mass was first eliminated by calculating the consolidation; then, an earthquake wave was applied to begin the dynamic and time-history analysis and to obtain the maximum horizontal displacement of the model boundary. Finally, a temperature field model was established for the thermal analysis of the structure. The temperature of each node of the structure was regarded as a form of outside load applied to the reduction model; both sides of the vertical horizontal displacement of the boundary nodes and gravity were used as inputs for the static analysis when the vertex horizontal displacement reached its maximum value. By continuously decreasing the shear strength parameters, the safety factor of the tunnel structure was determined. The results show that the plastic zone first appeared in a smaller range on both sides of the tunnel arch feet near the lining and vault of both sides. The safety factor decreased with increasing water depth and overburden layer thickness.