A possible comet and asteroid link in the formation of comets

The origin of comets is reassessed in the light of IRAS discoveries of particles in the asteroid belt and much cooler “cirrus” clouds at large heliocentric distances. The component of the asteroid particles with ratios of radiation pressure to gravitational forces near one-half will be forced into highly eccentric orbits, with heliocentric distances in the outer Solar System region of the hypothesized Oort Cloud. While slowly passing near their aphelia these particles could acquire a mantle of interstellar frost. It is proposed that larger asteroidal bodies gravitationally perturbed to similar distances would serve as centers for gravitational collation so that upon their return to the inner Solar System they will have a structure satisfying the observational requirements of Whipple's dirty snowball model. This model of origin would explain the established connections to meteor streams and fireballs, the possible connection to carbonaceous chondrites, and can be tested in several ways. The model would lead to the conclusion that comets are a renewable resource and eliminates the need for the 10¹⁰-fold multiplication between the number of observed and hypothesized comets necessary for the Oort Cloud model.     

Numerical simulation of high-velocity ejecta following comet and asteroid impacts: Preliminary results

The influence of different projectile and target characteristics on the mass and velocity of high-velocity (>1 km/s) ejecta from impact craters is investigated numerically. The problem of how the computation accuracy affects the resulting ejection velocity distribution is considered.     

On the concept of the russian information and analytical center for asteroid and comet hazards

The concept is presented of the Russian information and analytical center for asteroid and comet hazards (IAC ACH) as a part of the national IAC for space threats. An overview is given of the center’s goals and objectives, as well as the requirements for the center, its structure, and the possible cooperation between the institutes of the Russian Academy of Sciences and other organizations in the creation of the center.     

Effects of asteroid and comet impacts on habitats for lithophytic organisms—A synthesis

Abstract— Asteroid and comet impacts can have a profound influence on the habitats available for lithophytic microorganisms. Using evidence from the Haughton impact structure, Nunavut, Canadian High Arctic, we describe the role of impacts in influencing the nature of the lithophytic ecological niche. Impact‐induced increases in rock porosity and fracturing can result in the formation of cryptoendolithic habitats. In some cases and depending upon the target material, an increase in rock translucence can yield new habitats for photosynthetic cryptoendoliths. Chasmoendolithic habitats are associated with cracks and cavities connected to the surface of the rock and are commonly increased in abundance as a result of impact bulking. Chasmoendolithic habitats require less specific geological conditions than are required for cryptoendolithic habitats, and their formation is likely to be common to most impact events. Impact events are unlikely to have an influence on epilithic and hypolithic habitats except in rare cases, where, for example, the formation of impact glasses might yield new hypolithic habitats. We present a synthetic understanding of the influence of asteroid and comet impacts on the availability and characteristics of rocky habitats for microorganisms.     

Searching for the source of short-period comet nuclei: Choosing between different asteroid groups

This study continues our previous works on searching for the main source of the nuclei of Jupiter family comets (JFCs). Angular orbit element distributions are analyzed for comets and asteroids of different groups. The distributions of JFCs by argument of perihelion ω and longitude of perihelion π are studied. The distributions are shown not to have been formed during the evolution of JFCs in their current orbits. Similar distributions N(ω) and N(π) are not observed in bodies that have come into the JFC orbits from external sources. At the same time, the distributions of JFCs by all angular orbit elements are very similar to those of the Trojans. It is concluded that the latter are likely to be the main source of the JFC nuclei.     

Population vulnerability models for asteroid impact risk assessment

An asteroid impact is a low probability event with potentially devastating consequences. The Asteroid Risk Mitigation Optimization and Research (ARMOR) software tool calculates whether a colliding asteroid experiences an airburst or surface impact and calculates effect severity as well as reach on the global map. To calculate the consequences of an impact in terms of loss of human life, new vulnerability models are derived that connect the severity of seven impact effects (strong winds, overpressure shockwave, thermal radiation, seismic shaking, ejecta deposition, cratering, and tsunamis) with lethality to human populations. With the new vulnerability models, ARMOR estimates casualties of an impact under consideration of the local population and geography. The presented algorithms and models are employed in two case studies to estimate total casualties as well as the damage contribution of each impact effect. The case studies highlight that aerothermal effects are most harmful except for deep water impacts, where tsunamis are the dominant hazard. Continental shelves serve a protective function against the tsunami hazard caused by impactors on the shelf. Furthermore, the calculation of impact consequences facilitates asteroid risk estimation to better characterize a given threat, and the concept of risk as well as its applicability to the asteroid impact scenario are presented.     

On the possible hazard on the major cities caused by asteroid impact in the Pacific ocean

Semi-quantitative investigation is made of hazard expected from an asteroidal impact in the Pacific. An impact ofd (diameter) = 200 m asteroid has a probability of hitting somewhere in the Pacific once in 15000 y. By carrying out a Monte Carlo simulation, such an impact, on average, is shown to create a tsunami as high as 16, 14, 15, and 21 m at Japan, Taiwan, Shanghai and Hawaii, respectively. Wooden houses, stone and brick houses, and reinforced concrete buildings are likely to be demolished by tsunamis of height 2, 7 and 20 m respectively. Thus, there is a probability of 1% or so that most of the artificial constructions on the coast lines of the Pacific be destroyed in the next century by an asteroidal impact.     

ALMA and asteroid science

When the Atacama Large Millimeter Array (ALMA) is completed, it will synthesize angular resolution as fine as 5 milliarcseconds. With such resolution and ALMA's large number of stations and collecting area, it will be possible to rapidly map the shapes, large-scale surface features, and surface temperature distributions of the 700 largest objects in the main asteroid belt and the hundred largest Jupiter Trojans. Such information would provide great insights into the dynamics and history of the asteroid belt, and potentially determine the surface compositions of otherwise spectrally ambiguous objects.     

The asteroid belt and its evolution

We have reinvestegated the suggestion that collisional fragmentation in the asteroid belt can account for its present luminosity function. We suggest, based on the usual Boltzmann-type equation for this process, that for the brightest asteroids the time scale for a catastropic collision is 1.2 × 10⁹yr. However, the assumption of molecular chaos is not valid in the asteroid belt and we demonstrate a new method to determine the necessary corrections. We then obtain, using the new procedure, a lower limit for a collision time. For the above sample it is 2 × 10¹¹yr. This, we believe, rules out collisional evolution of the asteroid belt since its formation. Finally, we also show histograms of eccentricity, inclination, absolute magnitude, height above the ecliptic plane, and argument of perihelion for the 2829 asteroids with well-determined orbits. This represents a synthesis of the numbered asteroid and PLS data.     

Yarkovsky depletion and asteroid collisional evolution

The orbital parameters of small asteroids change with time, as a consequence of the so-called Yarkovsky effect. This leads to a steady removal of objects from the Main Belt, which takes place when the objects reach one of the major resonant regions in the orbital elements space. The process may influence the evolution of the inventory and size distribution of Main Belt asteroids, but it has not been taken into account by classical models of the collisional evolution of the asteroid population. In this paper we discuss the role of the Yarkovsky effect in producing the current observed size distribution. We show that adding Yarkovsky effect to purely collisional mechanisms may increase the removal of objects at sizes around 1 km by a factor of about 2 with respect to a purely collisional scenario. Moreover, waves in the size distribution may also be produced. However, taking also into account current uncertainties in the efficiency of purely collisional mechanisms, the role of the Yarkovsky effect seems not dominant, and cannot be unambiguously determined.     

Significance analysis of asteroid pairs

We have studied statistical significance of asteroid pairs residing on similar heliocentric orbits with distances (approximately the current relative encounter velocity between orbits) up to in the five-dimensional space of osculating elements. We found candidate pairs from the Hungaria zone through the entire main belt as well as outside the main belt, one among Hildas and one in the Cybele zone. We first determined probability that the candidate pairs are just coincidental couples from the background asteroid population. Those with estimated probability <0.3 were further investigated. In particular we computed synthetic proper elements for the relevant asteroids and used them to determine the three-dimensional distance of the members in candidate pairs. We consider small separation in the proper-element space as a signature of a real asteroid pair; conversely, cases with large separation in the proper-element space were rejected as spurious. Finally, we provide a list of candidate pairs that appear real, genetically related, to facilitate targeted studies, such as photometric and spectroscopic observations. As a by-product, we discovered six new compact clusters of three or more asteroids. Initial backward orbit integrations suggest that they are young families with ages <2 Myr.     

Discovery of asteroid 1976 AA

Asteroid 1976 AA was discovered as a result of a continuing systematic search for planet-crossing asteroids. It is the first asteroid to be thoroughly investigated by means of photometry and radiometry on its discovery apparition. It is also the first asteroid found with a semimajor axis and period less than that of the Earth and the first Earth-crossing asteroid which does not cross the orbit of either Mars or Venus. We estimate that there might be several tens of objects to absolute magnitude 18, which are exclusively Earth crossing. Some of these objects might be exceptionally easy to reach by spacecraft.     

Models of CN and C2 comae for comet Tago-Sato-Kosaka and comet bennett

Based on the CN and C₂ comae isophotes for two comets (1961 IX and 1970 16) given by Rahe et al. and the relevant theory of physical chemistry, we have deduced the distributions of the CN and C₂ modecules in the coma, their scale heights and mean lifetimes. The results favour the viewpoint that HCN is the parent of CN, and that C₂H₂ is the parent of C₂.     

Minimum energy asteroid reconfigurations and catastrophic disruptions

Dramatic alteration of an asteroid's morphology need not involve high energy impacts between bodies. Simple sunlight shining on an asteroid can, through the YORP effect, cause it to undergo dramatic reconfigurations, fission into a binary asteroid or, in some cases, even undergo a catastrophic disruption with the asteroid losing a large fraction of its initial mass. This paper discusses the system level constraints and conditions for these reconfigurations to occur for a body modeled as a collection of rigid bodies as its spin rate changes.     

Lightcurves and phase relation of asteroid 324 Bamberga

A worldwide photometric investigation of the asteroid 324 Bamberga was conducted during the period September–November 1978. The full-cycle lightcurve shows two maxima and two minima with a maximum amplitude of 0.075 mag; the rotation period was found to be P_syn = 29.^h42 ± 0.^h01. A linear least-squares solution of the phase relation gives β_y = (0.334 ± 0.001) mag/degree and V₀ (1, 0) = (7.17 ± 0.01) mag. The color indices measured are B-V = 0.69, U-B=0.36, in agreement with the C taxonomic type given for 324 Bamberga. The very long period indicates 324 Bamberga is an unusual object among asteroids with diameters greater than 200 km.     

The diameter and albedo of asteroid 1976 AA

We present a radiometric observation of asteroid 1976 AA, and formulate a simple model for the infrared thermal phase function so that our data can be compared with similar measurements made at different phase angles. The radiometric diameter of 1976 AA from our observation is 940⁺²⁰⁰_?100 meters and the geometric albedo is 0.18 ± 0.06, in satisfactory agreement with another published radiometric observation.     

Comet and asteroid ephemerides for spacecraft encounters

To a significant degree, the success of spacecraft missions to comets and asteroids depends upon the accuracy of the target body ephemerides. In turn, accurate ephemerides depend upon the quality of the astrometric data set used in determining the object's orbit and the accuracy with which the target body's motion can be modelled. Using error analyses studies of the target bodies for the NEAR, Muses-C, Clementine 2, Stardust, and Rosetta missions, conclusions are drawn as to how to minimize target body position uncertainties at the times of encounter, In general, these uncertainties will be minimized when the object has a good number of optical observations spread over several orbital periods. If a target body lacks a lengthy data interval, its ephemeris uncertainties can be dramatically reduced with the use of radar Doppler and delay data taken when the body is relatively close to the Earth. The combination of radar and optical angle data taken at close Earth distances just before a spacecraft encounter can result in surprisingly small target body ephemeris uncertainties.     

Radar and photoelectric observations of asteroid 2100 Ra-Shalom

Results of 13-cm-wavelength radar observations and V-filter photoelectric observations of Ra- Shalom during its 1981 Aug–Sep apparition are reported. The radar data yid detections of echoes in the same sense of circular polarization as transmitted (i.e., the SC sense) as well as in the opposite (OC) sense. The estimate of the ratio of SC to OC echo power, μ_c = 0.14 ± 0.02, indicates that most, but certainly not all, of the backscattering is due to single reflections from surface elements that are fairly smooth at decimeter scales. The value obtained for the OC radar cross section on Aug 26 (1.2 ± 0.3 km²) is about three times larger than those obtained on Aug 23, 24, and 25. The echo bandwidth appears to be within about 1.5 Hz of 5.0 Hz on each date. The photoelectric data suggest a value, P_syn = 19.79 hr, for the synodic rotation period, and yield a composite lightcurve with two pairs of extrema. Combining this value for P_syn with a firm lower bound (4 Hz) on the maximum echo bandwidth yields a lower bound of 1.4 km on the maximum distance between Ra-Shalom's spin axis and any point on its surface.