| 灰色动态预测方法及其在变形预测中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 尹晖, 丁窘, 张琰, 邓康伟. 灰色动态预测方法及其在变形预测中的应用[J]. 武汉大学学报 ( 信息科学版), 1996, 21(1): 31-35. |
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| 作者姓名： | 尹晖 丁窘 张琰 邓康伟 |
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| 作者单位： | 武汉测绘科技大学地球科学与测量工程学院, 武汉市珞喻路39号 430070 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金，香港理工大学科研基金 |
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| 摘 要： | 在分析比较了GM(1,1)预测模型的不足之后,提出一种实时引入新信息的等维新息和等维灰数递补组合动态预测方法。首先同常规预测法作了比较,然后进行了三峡链子崖危岩体变形发展趋势预测及有效性验证。
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| 关 键 词： | GM(1 1)模型 等维新息 等维灰数递补 动态预测 链子崖 |
| 收稿时间： | 1995-06-26 |
Integrated Dynamic Forecasting by Grey Numbers of IdenticalDimensions and its Application in Deformation Forecasting |
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| Yin Hui, Ding Jiongwang Zhang Yan, Tang Conrad, . Integrated Dynamic Forecasting by Grey Numbers of Identical Dimensions and its Application in Deformation Forecasting[J]. Geomatics and Information Science of Wuhan University, 1996, 21(1): 31-35. |
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| Authors: | Yin Hui Ding Jiongwang Zhang Yan Tang Conrad |
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| Affiliation: | School of Geo-science and Surveying Engineering, WTUSM, 39 Luoyu Road, Wuhan, China, 430070 |
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| Abstract: | By analyizing the limits of GM(1,1)forecasting model,this paper gives anew method,which integrates dynamic forecasting method with recent informationand recursive compensations by grey numbers of identical dimensions. This methodhas been applied to the Lianzi Cliff deformation dy monitoring and prediction withproved efficiency. The analysis showed that the Lianzi Cliff is currently in the stabledeveloping mode. |
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| Keywords: | GM(1 1)model:recent information recursive compensation greynumbers of identical dimensions dynamic forecasting Lianzi Cliff |
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