舟山海雾特征及其对数值模式的初步订正
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舟山海域海雾精细化客观预报方法研究(2013C31058)


Characteristics of sea fogs in Zhoushan and its preliminary revision on the numerical model
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    摘要:

    采用舟山海域1962—2015年的4个气象观测站资料、2014—2015年2 a的逐时自动气象数据和浮标站数据,统计分析了舟山海雾特征,结果表明:海雾总是在大尺度背景条件和一定的气象水文条件下发生;海雾春季最多,秋季最少,一天中多发生在夜间和早晨,又以下半夜到早晨最多,雾散一般在11∶00以后;海雾按天气形势可分4型,不同类型其季节变化和日变化存在差异;浓雾发生的要素特征为,气温5~27℃,海温9~27℃,气温露点差0~4℃,90%的浓雾发生在2 m相对湿度≥95%、气海温差-3.7~3.2℃时,浓雾风向主要落在东南风和偏南风之间,平均风力一般在1~5级;利用要素阈值对WRF能见度模式进行订正检验,发现对提高浓雾的定性预报准确率有较明显的作用。

    Abstract:

    By using four meteorological stations' data in Zhoushan from 1962 to 2015, the hourly automatic weather observation data and buoy station data from 2014 to 2015,the features of the sea fogs over Zhoushan sea area were statistically analyzed. Results show that the sea fog usually comes with the large scale background condition and a certain hydrographic characteristics. It shows that they come frequently in spring and less in autumn; however, they usually happen in the nighttime and early morning, while the time between midnight and early morning is the most frequently, and the fogs won't lift until 11:00. The sea fogs can be divided into four types on the basis of weather situations, while it has lots of differences for the seasons' changes and diurnal variations. This is the element characteristic of the heavy fog:the air temperature in the range of 5-27℃,the sea surface temperature in the range of 9-27℃,the depression of dew point in the range of 0-4℃. About 90% heavy fogs happen when the relative humidity (2 m highly) ≥ 95% and air-sea temperature difference in the range of -3.7-3.2℃, and the wind direction of the heavy fogs usually land between southeasterly and southerly winds, while the average wind speed in the range of 1-5 gale. By using the element threshold to show the revision of WRF visibility mode,it can obviously improve the accuracy of the qualitative forecasting for the heavy sea fogs.

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陈梅汀,王连喜,徐哲永,陈淑琴,张蔺廉.舟山海雾特征及其对数值模式的初步订正.气象科学,2018,38(1):130-138 CHEN Meiting, WANG Lianxi, XU Zheyong, CHEN Shuqin, ZHANG Linlian. Characteristics of sea fogs in Zhoushan and its preliminary revision on the numerical model. Journal of the Meteorological Sciences,2018,38(1):130-138

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  • 收稿日期:2017-01-04
  • 最后修改日期:2017-03-07
  • 在线发布日期: 2018-03-13
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