环境约束下中国城市土地利用效率演变特征分析

在经济高质量发展和区域协调发展的背景下,考虑非期望性产出(环境污染),本文利用SBM-undesirable模型测算了中国275个地级市2003–2016年的城市土地利用效率,并通过核密度估计、空间自相关分析探索了城市土地利用效率的时空演变规律。结果表明:(1)2003–2016年间,中国城市土地利用效率整体呈波动上升趋势,但仍处于较低水平,城市土地利用效率均值呈现东、西、中逐渐降低的分布格局;(2)在全国和东中西三大区域,区域差异均不断增大,全国尺度上和东部地区效率值出现了极化趋势;(3)城市土地利用效率呈现较弱的空间正相关,但空间集聚程度不断增强。高-高集聚型区域多分布在东南沿海地区,且不断向中部地区延伸;高-低极化型区域多为中西部地区的省会城市,低-高凹陷型区域零星分布于高值聚集区周边,部分在研究期内转为高值聚集区域;低-低均质型区域主要分布在中西部及东北地区。研究结果认为应加强对城市存量土地的内涵挖潜,强化区域合作机制,因地制宜制定提升土地利用效率的政策是促进城市土地集约节约利用和区域协调发展的有效路径。

Evolution Characteristics of Urban Land Use Efficiency under Environmental Constraints in China

In the context of high-quality economic development and coordinated regional development,this paper measures the urban land use efficiency of 275 prefecture-level cities in China from 2003 to 2016,taking into account the unexpected output(environmental pollution),and explores the temporal and spatial evolution of urban land use efficiency through kernel density estimation and spatial autocorrelation analysis.The results show that:(1)From 2003 to 2016,China’s urban land use efficiency showed an overall fluctuating growth,but it remained at a low level.The mean value of urban land use efficiency has been gradually decreasing in east,west and central regions.(2)In the whole country and the eastern,central and western regions,the regional differences have been increasing,and the efficiency values of the whole country and the east have become polarized.(3)Urban land use efficiency shows a weak spatial positive correlation,but the degree of spatial agglomeration is increasing.High-high agglomeration areas are mostly distributed in the southeastern coastal areas,and extend into the central region,while most of the high-low polarized areas are the capital cities of the central and western regions.The low-high depressed areas are scattered around the high-value accumulation areas,some of which have turned into high-high agglomeration areas during the study period,while the low-low homogeneous areas are mainly distributed in the central,western and northeastern regions.Therefore,it is proposed that strengthening the utilization of urban stock land,strengthening the regional cooperation mechanism,and formulating policies which improve the efficiency of land use are effective ways to promote the intensive and economical use of urban land,as well as regional coordinated development.