| 基于多智能体的自然灾害动态风险评估模型 |
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| 引用本文： | 王飞,尹占娥,温家洪,Ningchuan Xiao.基于多智能体的自然灾害动态风险评估模型[J].地理与地理信息科学,2009,25(2). |
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| 作者姓名： | 王飞 尹占娥 温家洪 Ningchuan Xiao |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 上海师范大学地理系,上海,200234
2. Department,of,Geography,the,Ohio,State,University,Columbus,OH,43210,USA |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学重点基金项日，国家自然科学基金，上海市教委重点学科项目，上海师范大学重点培育学科项目，上海师范大学科研项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 将多智能体建模方法引入灾害风险评估领域,以期为灾害风险评估开拓新的研究思路.区别于一般静态评估模型,基于多智能体的风险评估模型自下而上,从微观上建立灾害系统各要素之间的相互关系,在多风险情景下,仿真模拟灾害系统状态的变化,以实现动态的风险评估.在理解多智能体建模的一般原理的基础上,设计了基于多智能体的自然灾害动态风险评估的总体模型和主要智能体的结构,并总结了多智能建模在风险评估方面的优势.
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| 关 键 词： | 多智能体 动态风险评估 自然灾害 |
Assessing Model for Dynamic Risk of Natural Disasters Based on Multi-Agent System |
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| WANG Fei,YIN Zhan-e,WEN Jia-hong,Ningchuan Xiao.Assessing Model for Dynamic Risk of Natural Disasters Based on Multi-Agent System[J].Geography and Geo-Information Science,2009,25(2). |
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| Authors: | WANG Fei YIN Zhan-e WEN Jia-hong Ningchuan Xiao |
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| Institution: | 1.Department of Geography;Shanghai Normal University;Shanghai 200234;China;2.Department of Geography;the Ohio State University;Columbus OH 43210;USA |
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| Abstract: | This paper discusses Multi-Agent System(MAS) as a new method of assessing natural hazard dynamic risk.The difference from the static risk assessment model is risk assessment model based on multi-agent focus on the relationship among the elements in the multi-risk scenario.From bottom to top,by simulating the state change of disaster system,MAS assesses the hazard risk dynamically.In this paper,using the theory of MAS,an overall model was designed and a structure of the key agent in the hazard risk system wa... |
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