基于地统计学方法的区域旅游空间结构研究——以皖南国际文化旅游示范区为例

基于地统计学方法,以皖南国际文化旅游示范区为例,结合GIS技术,研究区域旅游景点空间分布格局及空间相关关系。结果表明,皖南国际文化旅游示范区在东西方向上具有显著的空间相关性。初期区域呈现随机型分布,空间异质性主要由随机性因素影响,而随着时间的推移,随机性因素影响越来越弱。从整体上来看,示范区空间等级差异虽不显著,但“两山一湖”板块仍是区域核心旅游板块,引导区域旅游发展有向其靠近趋势;从局部来看,以方特主题公园为主的东北部有成为示范区门户的趋势,黄山周边景点空间联系紧密,而安庆并没有完全融入示范区的旅游发展格局,距离可能是其主要影响因素。

Regional Tourism Spatial Structure Based on Geostatistical Method: A Case Study of South Anhui International Cultural Tourism Demonstration Area

On the basis of the geostatistical method and in combination with GIS technology, a research is being carried out on space distribution pattern and spatial correlation of regional tourist scenic spots in the very paper, with South Anhui international cultural tourism demonstration area as the studying sample. In the first place, it has calculated the semivariogram of the number of tourists in the tourist attractions which have been under monitor from 2009 to 2014 with the help of statistical data, so that a semivariogram model has been matched. After that, it starts to interpolate spatial data in it and draws the Kringing maps on number of tourists to the scenic spots in accordance with the optimal semivariogram model which has been matched. In the end, an analysis is done in the paper on the semivariogram and the kringing maps on the number of tourists to scenic spots in different specific years. In the light of the results coming from the above analysis, there exists a significant spatial correlation between the east part and the west part of South Anhui international cultural tourism demonstration area. In the initial stage, it appeared a clustering distribution in the area, while the spatial heterogeneity being mainly affected by random factors which gradually have become weaker and weaker over time. On the whole, though the spatial level difference of the demonstration area is not significant, the "two mountains and one lake" area remains the core tourism sector and guides the development of regional tourism tend to be closer to it. From the perspective of locality, with Fangte Theme Park as the main sector, the Northeast area has a tendency to become a demonstration zone portal and the attractions around the Huangshan Mountain are closely linked together in space. However, Anqing City has not fully been integrated into the tourism development pattern of the demonstration area with distance as the major possible influencing factor. In summary, the research on South Anhui international cultural tourism demonstration area space structure on the basis of the geostatistics method, on the one hand, may help all scenic spots to get their correct identification in the demonstration area, to make a competitive analysis, and to design a suitable marketing strategy for them, so as to increase mutual association driving effect among them; on the other hand, it may offer a macro guidance on spatial structure adjustment in the demonstration area, to integrate all scenic spots within the region, to provide a reference for tourism development direction and trend in the demonstration area.