近10年来山东省城镇化水平时空差异分析

运用泰尔指数和标准差系数,测度2000年~2012年山东省城镇化水平的总体和省内东中西三大区域及其内部差异。结果表明:(1)山东省城镇化水平总体差异在2009年之前总体上呈现扩大趋势,2009年之后差异开始减小;(2)东、中、西部之间的差异总体上呈现波动上升的趋势,中部内部的差异相比东部和西部更明显;(3)2010年之前三大区域内部差异对总体差异的贡献率占主导,2010年之后三大区域之间差异对总体的贡献率占据主导地位;(4)通过分析近十年影响山东省城镇化水平差异变动的因素得出,经济发展水平、产业结构以及区位条件是造成差异的主要原因。因此,山东省城镇化未来的发展应该着力促进产业结构的优化升级,尤其是第三产业的发展,其次促进各地区之间的联系,坚持"一圈一区一带"的发展战略,促进各个地区的城镇化水平的协调发展,缩小差异,最终实现区域城镇可持续发展。

Analysis on Regional Differentiations of Urbanization in Shandong Province

Using Teil index and standard deviation, we measured the differenceof the urbanization level in Shandong province, including the overall difference,difference between three regions and internal differences in 2000-2012.The results show that： （1） The urbanization level in Shandong province had theoverall trend of expansion before 2009, and began to decrease after 2009.（2）Three intra-regional differences were dominated in the overall contributionrate before 2010, difference between three regions was dominated in the overallcontribution rate after 2010. （3） The three regional internal and regional differences,the overall difference present a first increase then decrease trend,of all western minimum internal differences are minimum.（4）Through the analysisof the past 10 years the dynamics of factors of different urbanization levelin Shandong province, the industrial structure and locational conditions werethe main reasons for the difference. Therefore, the future development of urbanizationin Shandong province should strive to promote the optimization and upgradingof industrial structure. and should continue to adhere to ＂onemetropolitan area, one economic region , one economic belts ＂ development strategy,finally realizes the coordination of regional sustainable development.