| 区域气候变化适应度评价——以咸阳市为例 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈太根,董婕,延军平,郭晓鸽.区域气候变化适应度评价——以咸阳市为例[J].地理科学进展,2011,30(3):319-324. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈太根 董婕 延军平 郭晓鸽 |
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| 作者单位： | 陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院; |
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| 基金项目： | 国家自然科学基金项目(40871052) |
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| 摘 要： | 选取经济、农业、社会和资源环境系统作为区域气候变化适应度的评价子系统,运用AHP分析法,确定各评价因子的权重,运用模糊综合评判分析法,确定对气候变化适应的隶属度并判断适应度。结果表明,咸阳市1998-2007年对气候变化适应的隶属度呈逐年增加趋势,适应度处于由"较弱"向"一般"过渡状态,区域整体及各子系统对气候变化的适应处于低水平状态。其中经济系统适应度由"弱"到"强",受不利因素影响程度小;农业系统适应度由"弱"到"一般",受不利因素影响程度较大;社会系统适应度由"较弱"到"较强";资源环境系统适应度由"弱"到"一般",受不利因素的影响程度较大,稳定性差。
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| 关 键 词： | 气候变化 适应度 AHP 模糊综合评判分析 咸阳市 |
The Evaluation of Regional Adaptation to Climatic Change:The Case Study of Xianyang City |
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| CHEN Taigen,DONG Jie,YAN Junping,GUO Xiaoge.The Evaluation of Regional Adaptation to Climatic Change:The Case Study of Xianyang City[J].Progress in Geography,2011,30(3):319-324. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Taigen DONG Jie YAN Junping GUO Xiaoge |
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| Institution: | CHEN Taigeng,DONG Jie,YAN Junping,GUO Xiaoge(College of Tourism and Environmental sciences,Shaanxi Normal University,Xi'an 710062,China) |
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| Abstract: | The economic system,agricultural system,social system and the resources and environment system are selected as the subsystems for the evaluation of adaptation to regional climate change.The determinative weight values of evaluation factors are confirmed by using the AHP analytical method.The membership degree of climate change adaptation and the adaptation values are calculated by the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.The result is that the membership degree of climate change adaptation shows an incr... |
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| Keywords: | climate change adaptation AHP fuzzy comprehensive evaluation analysis Xianyang city |
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