| 灰色系统理论预测大气氮氧化物污染的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 茅均标,石健,刘刚,李继明.灰色系统理论预测大气氮氧化物污染的应用[J].华东地质学院学报,2003,26(1):38-40. |
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| 作者姓名： | 茅均标 石健 刘刚 李继明 |
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| 作者单位： | [1]核工业华东地质局261大队，江西乐安344305 [2]南通工学院化工系，江苏南通226000 [3]义乌工商职业技术学院土木工程系，浙江义乌322000 [4]震川高级中学数学组，江苏昆山215000 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据中国南方某省所辖城市近年来N0x污染指数的测量数据的统计资料，建立了GM(1，1）灰色预测模型，通过预测探讨了大气中氮氧化物指数的变化趋势。所建模型残差仅1．17％，关联系数为0．9067，精度较高，具有较好的可行性和适应性，可以为管理规则提供决策依据。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色预测 GM（1，1）模型 NOx污染指数 氮氧化物 |
| 文章编号： | 1000-2251(2003)01-038-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2002年11月12 |
Application of Grey System Theory for Prediction of Pollution Index in Air Nitric Oxides |
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| MAO Jun\|biao ,SHI Jian ,LIU Gang ,LI Ji\|ming.Application of Grey System Theory for Prediction of Pollution Index in Air Nitric Oxides[J].Journal of East China Geological Institute,2003,26(1):38-40. |
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| Authors: | MAO Jun\|biao SHI Jian LIU Gang LI Ji\|ming |
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| Institution: | MAO Jun\|biao 1,SHI Jian 2,LIU Gang 3,LI Ji\|ming 4 |
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| Abstract: | Based on datum of nitric oxides pollution index in one province of south china, grey forecasting model GM(1,1)is established in this paper. The trend of nitric oxides pollution index is discussed through forecasting. The residual error of only 1.17% and the correlation coefficient of 0.9067 is attained. According to these datum, the model has higher precision. This method has been proved to be feasibility and adaptability, can give decision for management . |
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| Keywords: | grey forecasting GM(1 1)model pollution index of nitric oxides |
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