大气科学优先资助领域的计量学初步分析

依据对国内大气科学相关机构进行广泛调研获取的数据，以及近期国内、国际有关大气科学期刊论文数据，通过计量学方法，按照国内基础、国内热点、国际热点和国内需求四个方面从不同角度对大气科学优先资助领域进行了分析，并根据不同政策偏好设置权重对大气科学各领域进行了排序。分析表明，不论是偏重于基础研究还是偏重于应用研究，优先资助人工影响天气和大气物理领域可能会获得更大的回报；若重视科学热点、科技前沿，优先资助气候系统与全球变化和天气动力学理论与天气预报领域可能会取得更多的研究成果；若重视发展需求与科技前沿相结合，优先资助大气化学和综合探测系统领域投入资金可能会发挥更大的效益。研究结果可以为更好地了解我国大气科学发展现状，制定大气科学中长期发展战略，制定大气科学“十一五”优先资助领域战略提供一定的参考依据。

A Bibliometric Analysis on the Priority Areas in Atmospheric Sciences

Based on the survey of the domestic organizations in atmospheric sciences and the related areas,as well as the recent papers of international and Chinese journals of atmospheric sciences,a bibliometric analysis on priority areas in atmospheric sciences is made.The study is conducted from 4 different aspects: domestic basis,national research hot issues,international hot issues and domestic demand.The sequence of the distinct atmospheric fields is collated by assigning weight based on various policy preferences.The analysis shows that whether the basic research or the applied research is emphasized,more returns may be obtained by giving priorities to weather modification and the atmospheric physics.When scientific hot topics and the scientific frontiers are focused,we may acquire greater research achievements as climate system and global change,weather dynamics and weather forecast being given priorities.Giving priorities to comprehensive sounding system and atmospheric chemistry may bring more benefits when development demand and the scientific frontiers are stressed.The results provide a basis for better understanding the development situation of atmospheric sciences in china,establishing medium and long term strategies of atmospheric sciences,as well as developing priority strategies for 11th five year plan.