| 2015~2019年西江编号洪水分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 侯爱中,胡智丹,黄建波,彭 英.2015~2019年西江编号洪水分析[J].水文,2021,41(1):90-94. |
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| 作者姓名： | 侯爱中 胡智丹 黄建波 彭 英 |
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| 作者单位： | 水利部信息中心（水利部水文水资源监测预报中心）;广西壮族自治区水文中心;江西省水文局 |
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| 基金项目： | 国家重点研发计划项目“中小河流精细与智能实用预报模型及参数地理规律”(2018YFC1508103)。 |
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| 摘 要： | 2015年以来珠江流域西江暴雨洪水频发,平均每年发生1~2场编号洪水,其中2017年发生3场编号洪水。利用中国洪水预报系统分析2015年至2019年西江7次编号洪水梧州站的洪水组成、传播时间及影响预报精度的因素,以了解西江流域暴雨洪水及其变化规律,积累洪水预报经验,为今后西江梧州站洪水预测预报提供参考。
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| 关 键 词： | 西江 梧州 编号洪水 预报精度 |
Analysis of the Numbered Floods in Xijiang during 2015-2019 |
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| HOU Aizhong,HU Zhidan,HUANG Jianbo,PENG Ying.Analysis of the Numbered Floods in Xijiang during 2015-2019[J].Hydrology,2021,41(1):90-94. |
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| Authors: | HOU Aizhong HU Zhidan HUANG Jianbo PENG Ying |
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| Institution: | (Information Center(Hydrological Monitor and Forecast Center),Minis try of Water Resources,Beijing 100053,China;H.ydrology Center of Guangxi Zhuang A utonomous Region,Nanning 530023,China;Bureau of Hydrology,Jiangxi Province,Nanchang 330002,China) |
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| Abstract: | The storm flood in Xijiang River has been frequent since 2015.And annually one or two numbered floods occurred on average,among which there were three numbered floods in 2017.Based on national flood forecast system of China,this paper reanalyzed three numbered floods of Xijiang during 2015-2019,and resolved the composition of flood peak and flood volume at Wuzhou station and the propagation time.The factors which influence the forecast accuracy of Wuzhou station’s discharge and water level were analyzed,aiming to get experiences and to provide references for the real time flood forecasting at Wuzhou station. |
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| Keywords: | Xijiang Wuzhou numbered flood forecast accuracy |
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