Using comprehensive and sequential vegetation classification system to predict the influence of climate change on vegetation succession of alpine grassland of Qinghai Plateau |
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Authors: | Hongmei Li Yushou Ma and Yanfang Bai |
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Institution: | (1) Environmental and Life Sciences Graduate Program, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, K9J 7B8, Canada;(2) Department of Biology, Trent University, Peterborough, ON, K9J 7B8, Canada; |
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Abstract: | Distribution of grassland vegetation is highly associated with climatic conditions and varied with climatic change. The tendency
of climatic changes on Qinghai Plateau was analyzed, based on the meteorological data from 1961 to 2007 collected from 50
meteorological stations distributed throughout the whole plateau. The vegetation distribution of alpine grassland under past
and future climatic change was estimated by using the approach of Comprehensive and Sequential Classification system. Results
show that the climate varied greatly before and after 1987. The temperature increased 0.16°C/10a before 1987 and 0.64°C/10a
after 1987. The precipitation increased 0.14 mm/10a before 1987 and 3.92 mm/10a after 1987. There were 12 types of grassland
vegetation between 1961 and 1987, while there were 11 types of grassland vegetation between 1988 and 2007 on the Plateau.
When climatic warming continued with CO2 doubling in the future, the vegetation of alpine grassland will shrink into nine types. |
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