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Red Tide Frequency Analysis Using the Extreme Value Theory
作者姓名:谢中华  王洪礼  史道基  孙景
作者单位:[1]Tianjin University of Science and Technology, Tianjin 300222, China [2]lianjin University, lianjin 300072, China
摘    要:In recent years, the red tide erupted frequently, and caused a great economic loss. At present, most literatures emphasize the academic research on the growth mechanism of red tide alga. In order to find out the characters of red tide in detail and improve the precision of forecast, this paper gives some new approaches to dealing with the red tide. By the extreme values, we deal with the red tide frequency analysis and get the estimation of T-times red tide level U (T) , which is the level once the consistence of red tide alga exceeds on the average in a period of T times.

关 键 词:赤潮  海洋污染  频率  预报方法
收稿时间:2005-01-11

Red Tide Frequency Analysis Using the Extreme Value Theory
XIE Zhonghua,WANG Hongli,SHI Daoji,SUN Jing.Red Tide Frequency Analysis Using the Extreme Value Theory[J].Marina Science Bulletin,2005,7(2):80-85.
Authors:XIE Zhonghua  WANG Hongli  SHI Daoji  SUN Jing
Abstract:In recent years, the red tide erupted frequently, and caused a great economic loss. At present, most literatures emphasize the academic research on the growth mechanism of red tide alga. In order to find out the characters of red tide in detail and improve the precision of forecast, this paper gives some new approaches to dealing with the red tide. By the extreme values, we deal with the red tide frequency analysis and get the estimation of T-times red tide level U (T), which is the level once the consistence of red tide alga exceeds on the average in a period of T times.
Keywords:Red tide  Generalized extreme values distribution  Empirical distribution  Kerneldensity
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