A method to predict typhoon waves

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A method to predict typhoon waves

The presented method for numerical typhoon wave prediction is composed of a scheme for real time pressure forecasts,a marine wind numerical model and a typhoon wave numerical model.In the Northwest Pacific Ocean and China seas where water depth is over 20 m,a hybrid wave model Wen Shengchang,Zhang Dacuo,Chen Bohai and Guo Peifang.1989,Acta Oceannlogica Sinica,8(1),1-14; Zhang Dacuo,Wu Zengmao,Jiang Decai,Rang Wei,Chen Bohai,Tai R'eitao,R'en Shengchang,Xu Qichun and Guo Peifang.1992,Acta Oceanologica Sinica,11(2),157-178] is employed with 10°×10° grids,while in the South China Sea and East China Sea where typhoon frequently appears,the WAM model(WAMDI Group.1988,Journal of Physical Oceanography,18,1755-1810) of shallow water version is embedded with(1/4)°×(1/4)° grids.The boundary condition at the open boundary of the WAM model is provided by the hybrid model.After 3 a of testing forecasts(Yang Chuncheng,Dai Mingrui and Zhang Dacuo.1992,International Symposium on Tropical Cyclone Dusaaters,October 12-16,Beijing,404-409)and improvement,this system was put into operational use on the forecasting computer network of National Marine Environment Forecast Center of China in June,1993.The wave predictions of 22 typhoon events show that the system is stable and prompt,and the forecast results are satisfactory.This system provides reliable numerical products for the disaster-prevention forecasts.The product is broadcasted in CCTV News at every noon.