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一次西南印度洋热带气旋过程发展机制的数值研究
引用本文:王彬,郭敬天,曹永正,张薇,刘桂艳.一次西南印度洋热带气旋过程发展机制的数值研究[J].海洋与湖沼,2017,48(4):695-702.
作者姓名:王彬  郭敬天  曹永正  张薇  刘桂艳
作者单位:国家海洋局北海预报中心 青岛 266100;山东省海洋生态环境与防灾减灾重点实验室 青岛 266100,国家海洋局北海预报中心 青岛 266100;山东省海洋生态环境与防灾减灾重点实验室 青岛 266100,国家海洋局北海预报中心 青岛 266100,国家海洋局北海预报中心 青岛 266100,山东省海洋生态环境与防灾减灾重点实验室 青岛 266100
基金项目:国际海域资源调查与开发“十二五”项目,DY125-22-QY-26号;海洋公益性行业科研专项项目,201205010号;国家自然科学基金项目,41306028号。
摘    要:本文利用尽可能多的观测资料和WRF-3.4.1模式(Weather Research and Forecasting Model)对2012年1月19日至28日发生在西南印度洋上空的1次强热带气旋进行了研究,并分析其时空结构和发展机制。对该热带气旋的移动路径、强度及内部结构的数值模拟结果与实际符合较好。分析表明,感热和凝结潜热贯串于热带气旋发展的整个过程,其中感热对气旋发展的影响较弱,凝结潜热是气旋发展的主要能量来源,CISK机制可解释该热带气旋的发展过程。

关 键 词:西南印度洋  热带气旋  WRF模式  发展机制
收稿时间:2016/11/25 0:00:00
修稿时间:2017/1/18 0:00:00

NUMERICAL ANALYSES ON DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM OF A TYPICAL TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER SOUTHWESTERN INDIAN OCEAN
WANG Bin,GUO Jing-Tian,CAO Yong-Zheng,ZHANG Wei and LIU Gui-Yan.NUMERICAL ANALYSES ON DEVELOPMENT MECHANISM OF A TYPICAL TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER SOUTHWESTERN INDIAN OCEAN[J].Oceanologia Et Limnologia Sinica,2017,48(4):695-702.
Authors:WANG Bin  GUO Jing-Tian  CAO Yong-Zheng  ZHANG Wei and LIU Gui-Yan
Institution:North China Sea Marine Forecasting Center of State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266100, China;Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Marine Ecological Environment and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, Qingdao 266100, China,North China Sea Marine Forecasting Center of State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266100, China;Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Marine Ecological Environment and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, Qingdao 266100, China,North China Sea Marine Forecasting Center of State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266100, China,North China Sea Marine Forecasting Center of State Oceanic Administration, Qingdao 266100, China and Shandong Provincial Key Laboratory of Marine Ecological Environment and Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, Qingdao 266100, China
Abstract:The structure, evolution, and physical mechanism of a strong tropical cyclone that occurred over the Southwestern Indian Ocean from 19 to 28 January 2012 were investigated by using all types of observational data and WRF-3.4.1 (Weather Research Forecasting Model) model. The model reproduced the tropical cyclone reasonably including the moving path, strength and inner structure. The analysis based upon the simulation result indicated that the sensible heat flux and latent heat of condensation run through the whole process of tropical cyclone development. The simulating result shows that the latent heat of condensation is the main source of energy for development of the cyclone, and the role of sensible heat flux is relatively weak. The CISK (Conditional Instability of Second Kind) mechanism can explain the development of this tropical cyclone well.
Keywords:Southwestern Indian Ocean  tropical cyclone  WRF  development mechanism
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