| 青岛近百年的旱涝变化特征分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 陈志梅,刘兆桐,张晓慧,于莉莉.青岛近百年的旱涝变化特征分析[J].海洋预报,2006,23(2):72-78. |
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| 作者姓名： | 陈志梅 刘兆桐 张晓慧 于莉莉 |
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| 作者单位： | 1. 海军北海舰队海洋水文气象中心,青岛,266003
2. 天津气象局,天津,300074 |
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| 摘 要： | 根据1900~2002年青岛月降水资料,利用Z指标方法确定了青岛的旱涝年份,并从季节上进行了旱涝分析。结果表明青岛年降水旱年有20a,涝年有17a,出现旱或涝的概率为37.4%,至少有一个季节出现旱或涝的年份占84.5%。年降水量以10.6mm/10a的速度下降,各季节降水量的变化趋势不一致,夏、秋季是下降趋势,而春季和冬季则呈现出上升趋势。
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| 关 键 词： | 青岛降水 Z指标 旱涝 变化趋势 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-0239(2006)2-0072-07 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-05-27 |
| 修稿时间： | 2006-02-22 |
THE CHARACTERISTIC OF FLOOD AND DROUGHT CHANGE IN QINGDAO DURING THE RESENT HUNDRED YEARS |
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| CHEN Zhi-mei,LUI Zao-tong,ZHANG Xiao-hui,YU Li-li.THE CHARACTERISTIC OF FLOOD AND DROUGHT CHANGE IN QINGDAO DURING THE RESENT HUNDRED YEARS[J].Marine Forecasts,2006,23(2):72-78. |
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| Authors: | CHEN Zhi-mei LUI Zao-tong ZHANG Xiao-hui YU Li-li |
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| Institution: | Marine Hydrometeorology Center of North China Sea Naval Fleet, Qingdao 266003 China |
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| Abstract: | Based on the monthly precipitation data in Qingdao from 1900 to 2002,weanalyzed the flood and drought characteristic of year and season by Z-index.The resultindicates that 20 years were drought and 17 years were flood,the probability of flood ordrought is 37.4%.There are 84.5% years occur flood or drought in at least one season.The year precipitation reduced by 10.6mm per 10 years.The variation trends of everyseason precipitation are different.The precipitation in summer and autumn is decreasingand that in spring and winter is increasing. |
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| Keywords: | precipitation in Qingdao Z-index drought and flood Variation trend |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
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