| 2011—2012年冬季山东半岛北部沿海冰情趋势预测 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 郑东,洪新,高志波.2011—2012年冬季山东半岛北部沿海冰情趋势预测[J].海洋预报,2012,29(4):70-73. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 郑东 洪新 高志波 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 国家海洋局烟台海洋环境监测中心站,山东烟台,264006 |
| |
| 基金项目： | 广东省2011年“防灾减灾关键技术研发”项目，“南海季风槽造成江门沿海地区强降水分析与预报”资助 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 较详细地绘出了该海域内50年来海水温度的变化周期及分布特征,并利用热平衡原理和数理统计方法,预测2011—2012年度海冰发展趋势。经多年检验该方法较为稳定、有效,能够较准确的预报局部海域冰情。
|
| 关 键 词： | 海冰预报 热平衡原理 预测趋势 |
The prediction of sea ice in the northern coast of Shandong Peninsula in 2011-2012 |
| |
| ZHENG Dong
,
HONG Xin
,
GAO Zhi-bo.The prediction of sea ice in the northern coast of Shandong Peninsula in 2011-2012[J].Marine Forecasts,2012,29(4):70-73. |
| |
| Authors: | ZHENG Dong HONG Xin GAO Zhi-bo |
| |
| Institution: | (Yantai Marine Environment Montitoring center of SOA Yantai,Shandong yantai 264006 China) |
| |
| Abstract: | The periodic variation and characteristics of surface sea temperature is described in detail in the northern coast of Shandong Peninsula during the last 50 years.By using the principle of thermal equilibrium and mathematical statistic method,the developing tendency of the sea ice is predicted in 2011-2012.Being validated several years,the method is proved to be stable and effective for the sea ice prediction in some local regions. |
| |
| Keywords: | sea ice prediction thermal equilibrium theory tendency prediction |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
