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诊断台风异常路径的三层权重控制点方案
引用本文:谢玲娟,林丽珊.诊断台风异常路径的三层权重控制点方案[J].海洋预报,1992,9(3):8-16.
作者姓名:谢玲娟  林丽珊
作者单位:广州热带海洋气象研究所 (谢玲娟),广州热带海洋气象研究所(林丽珊)
摘    要:本方案采用850、700、500hPa三个层次的环境平均流场作控制点法。综合考虑这些层次上的引导气流在不同时、空域中的相对重要性。试验结果表明,其效果比单一取某层作引导为佳。且对用来预测台风的未来24小时路径是否异常具有一定的参考价值。

关 键 词:异常路径  气流  控制点  台风

EXPERIMENT ON DIAGNOSING ANOMALOUS TRACK OF TYPHOON USING A SCHEME OF CONTROL POINT AT THREE LEVELS
Xie Lingjuan Lin Lishan.EXPERIMENT ON DIAGNOSING ANOMALOUS TRACK OF TYPHOON USING A SCHEME OF CONTROL POINT AT THREE LEVELS[J].Marine Forecasts,1992,9(3):8-16.
Authors:Xie Lingjuan Lin Lishan
Institution:Guangdong Institute of Tropical Ocean and Meteorology
Abstract:In this paper, the possibility of the control point method to be used for prediction of anomalous track of typhoon is investigated. Furthermore, by weighing 850,700 and 500 hPa layers, the relative importance of the steering current in different time and regions is taken into consideration.The experiment suggests that this scheme is helpful to predict whether a typhoon will show an anomalous track in 24 hours followed.
Keywords:anomalous track  steering current  control point    
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