| 郑州地区春季旱涝特征分析及趋势预测 |
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| 引用本文： | 张霞,林丽,等.郑州地区春季旱涝特征分析及趋势预测[J].河南气象,2002(1):18-19. |
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| 作者姓名： | 张霞 林丽 |
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| 作者单位： | 郑州市气象局 河南郑州450005
(张霞，林丽)，郑州市气象局 河南郑州450005(禹春桂) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用郑州站1951－2000年的降水和气温资料，对郑州地区的旱涝特征进行分析，并根据农谚筛选出与春季降水相关较好的因子，组建了春季旱涝预测方程。经试报和历史回代，方程准确率和历史拟合率均较好。
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| 关 键 词： | 春季旱涝 特征 预报方程 趋势预测 |
Analysis and Forecast of the Characters of Drought and Flood in Spring in ZhengZhou |
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| ZHANG Xia,LIN Li,YU Chun-gui.Analysis and Forecast of the Characters of Drought and Flood in Spring in ZhengZhou[J].Meteorology Journal of Henan,2002(1):18-19. |
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| Authors: | ZHANG Xia LIN Li YU Chun-gui |
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| Abstract: | By using the data of temperature and precipitation in Zhengzhou between 1951 and 2000,we have analyzed the characters of drought and flood in spring in Zhengzhou. These factors which the correlation is excellence with the spring precipitation were chosen based on the Agricultural Adage,and the forecast equation of drought and flood in spring was constituted, the veracity was verified observed through the historic episode regressive. |
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| Keywords: | Drought and flood in spring Analysis Forecast Multidimensional Regression equation |
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