| 玉米螟发生程度与大气环流的关系及长期预报 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄善斌,孔凡忠.玉米螟发生程度与大气环流的关系及长期预报[J].河南气象,2001(3):27-28. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄善斌 孔凡忠 |
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| 作者单位： | 菏泽市气象局!山东菏泽274030 |
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| 基金项目： | 山东省气象局青年科学基金项目 (1 995 - 0 1 ) |
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| 摘 要： | 利用1972-1995年菏泽市玉米螟发生程度与历年各月北半球500hPa平均高度，探讨了玉米螟发生程度与大气环流的关系，并利用优势相关区中相关最显著的高度因子建立了长期预报模式，模式预报时效可提前40d以上，经检验历史拟合率达到96%以上，两年试报准确。
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| 关 键 词： | 玉米螟 发生程度 大气环流 长期预报 相关系数 |
The Relationship between the Corn Borer's Outbreak Degree and Atmospheric Circulation and its Long-term Forecast |
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| HUANG Shan-bin,KONG Fan-zhong.The Relationship between the Corn Borer''''s Outbreak Degree and Atmospheric Circulation and its Long-term Forecast[J].Meteorology Journal of Henan,2001(3):27-28. |
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| Authors: | HUANG Shan-bin KONG Fan-zhong |
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| Abstract: | The relationship between the corn borer's outbreak degree and atmospheric circulation was analyzed by using the corn borer's outbreak degree in Heze from 1972 to 1995 and the northern hemisphere 500hPa month mean height data. On basis of the correlative analysis, the conspicuous height factors in the predominant correlative zones were used to establish the long-term forecasting models for the corn borer's outbreak degree. The results shows that the models are applicable and can make a forecast 40 days ahead of the corn borer's breaking out. |
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| Keywords: | Corn borer Outbreak degree Atmospheric circulation Long-term forecast |
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