| 中期(旬)天气客观相似预报方案 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 钟元,祝荣霖.中期(旬)天气客观相似预报方案[J].气象学报,1991,49(4):553-558. |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 钟元 祝荣霖 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 浙江省气象科学研究所
(钟元)，浙江省气象科学研究所(祝荣霖) |
| |
| 摘 要： | 目前,中期数值天气预报的最长可用的预报时效约为6—7天,对中期数值预报输出产品进行统计释用的MOS,PP等方法制作的逐日具体天气预报的最长可用时效约为5—6天。要完全靠以上客观预报方法进行10天天气变化过程预报仍有待时日。为此,本文提出一个综合考虑中期数值天气预报输出产品及历史天气过程的旬天气客观相似预报方案。本方案用500 hPa候平均高度场在预报时刻前后连
|
| 收稿时间： | 1989/3/16 0:00:00 |
| 修稿时间： | 1989/12/25 0:00:00 |
AN OBJECTIVE ANALOGUE SCHEME FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECAST |
| |
| Zhong Yuan and Zhu Ronglin.AN OBJECTIVE ANALOGUE SCHEME FOR MEDIUM-RANGE WEATHER FORECAST[J].Acta Meteorologica Sinica,1991,49(4):553-558. |
| |
| Authors: | Zhong Yuan and Zhu Ronglin |
| |
| Institution: | Zhejiang Research Institute of Meteorological Science;Zhejiang Research Institute of Meteorological Science |
| |
| Abstract: | An objective analogue scheme for medium-range (a period of ten days) weather forecast is developed. Using the late information of objective analysis and medium-range numerical prediction products and objective analogue crit erion an analogue process by which the weather forecast in a period of 10 days will be made in 500hPa evolution of circulation and variation of canonical field from adjacent past data is found by computer. The forecasting results indicated that this scheme is efficacious. |
| |
| Keywords: | |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 等数据库收录！ |
| 点击此处可从《气象学报》浏览原始摘要信息 |
| 点击此处可从《气象学报》下载免费的PDF全文 |
