Testing for linear Granger causality from?natural/anthropogenic forcings to global temperature anomalies |
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Authors: | Alessandro Attanasio |
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Institution: | 1. Department of Pure and Applied Mathematics, Università di L’Aquila, via Vetoio 1, Coppito, 67010, L’Aquila, Italy
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Abstract: | In this paper, we analyze the Granger causality from natural or anthropogenic forcings to global temperature anomalies. The lag-augmented Wald test is performed, and its robustness is also evaluated considering bootstrap method. The results show there is no-evidence of Granger causality from natural forcings to global temperature. On the contrary, a detectable Granger causality is found from anthropogenic forcings to global temperature confirming that greenhouse gases have an important role on recent global warming. |
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