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一个载水预报模式的业务预报应用试验
引用本文:闫之辉,郭肖容,赵俊英,张玉玲.一个载水预报模式的业务预报应用试验[J].应用气象学报,1999,10(4):453-461.
作者姓名:闫之辉  郭肖容  赵俊英  张玉玲
作者单位:1.国家气象中心!北京100081(闫之辉,郭肖容,赵俊英),北京大学地球物理系!北京100871(张玉玲)
基金项目:中国气象局“台风,暴雨监测预报研究成果业务化和推广应用研究”课题,国家气象中心“九五”课题
摘    要:该文在国家气象中心现行有限区域业务预报模式(LAM)的基础上,把模式的水平分辨率由1°×1°提高到0.5°×0.5°经纬度网格,垂直层次由15层变为20层。在原有物理过程中引入显式降水方案,并使用HLAFS业务系统的实时资料对1997年8月的一次登陆台风造成的强降水过程进行了个例预报试验,取得了较为合理的预报效果。

关 键 词:载水预报模式    显式降水方案    捕获率    碰并过程

Forecast Experiment for Operational Application of Water Loading Prediction Model
Yan Zhihui,Guo Xiaorong,Zhao Junying.Forecast Experiment for Operational Application of Water Loading Prediction Model[J].Quarterly Journal of Applied Meteorology,1999,10(4):453-461.
Authors:Yan Zhihui  Guo Xiaorong  Zhao Junying
Institution:1.1) (National Meteorological Center, Beijing 100081); 2) (Department of Geophysics, Peking University, Beijing 100871);
Abstract:This paper is based on the operational limited area prediction model run in National Meteorological Center. The horizontal resolution was increased from 1°×1° to 0.5°×0.5° grid in latitude and longitude. The vertical layer was increased from 15 to 20, and the explicit precipitation scheme was introduced into the model physical processes. Using the improved model, a case of forecast experiment on heavy rainfall caused by a landing typhoon in August, 1997 was made, and the results are reasonable.
Keywords:Water loading prediction model  Explicit precipitation scheme  Capture rate  Collection process
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