| 广西2004年7月降水量异常偏多成因及预测分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 覃志年,黄雪松,何慧.广西2004年7月降水量异常偏多成因及预测分析[J].气象研究与应用,2004,25(4):11-14. |
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| 作者姓名： | 覃志年 黄雪松 何慧 |
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| 作者单位： | 广西区气象台,广西,南宁,530022;广西区气象台,广西,南宁,530022;广西区气象台,广西,南宁,530022 |
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| 摘 要： | 介绍了广西2004年7月降水的概况;分析了广西2004年7月降水异常多雨的成因;给出了2004年7月降水短期气候预测基本思路及各种预测方法;并进一步讨论了该月降水量预测决策中有关的经验及教训。
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| 关 键 词： | 多雨成因分析 月降水量预测 多方法决策 |
| 文章编号： | 1001-5191(2004)04-0011-04 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年10月23 |
Analyses of the Cause of Abnormal Large Amounts of Rain in July of 2004 in Guangxi and the Methods of Forecast |
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| QIN Zhi-nian,HUANG Xue-song,HE Hui.Analyses of the Cause of Abnormal Large Amounts of Rain in July of 2004 in Guangxi and the Methods of Forecast[J].Journal of Guangxi Meteorology,2004,25(4):11-14. |
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| Authors: | QIN Zhi-nian HUANG Xue-song HE Hui |
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| Abstract: | The basic train of thought of short-term climatic forecast for rainfall and various ways of forecast were presented, based on the analysis of the cause of abnormal large amounts of precipitation as well as introduction of the overview of the rainfall in July of 2004 in Guangxi. And, the experiences and lessons relevant to forecast policies for rainfall in this month were discussed further. |
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| Keywords: | analysis of the cause of large amounts of precipitation forecast for monthly rainfall various ways of policies |
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