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0907号热带风暴“天鹅”暴雨的数值模拟
引用本文:陈训来,陈元昭,王明洁.0907号热带风暴“天鹅”暴雨的数值模拟[J].广东气象,2010,32(3):1-4.
作者姓名:陈训来  陈元昭  王明洁
作者单位:深圳市国家气候观象台,广东深圳,518040;深圳市气象局,广东深圳,518040
基金项目:广州区域气象中心科技攻关项目,广东省气象局科技攻关项目 
摘    要:利用新一代中尺度数值模式WRF,对登陆后滞留粤西地区近50 h并带来了暴雨以上强降水的0907号热带风暴"天鹅"进行数值模拟,取得了较好的效果。该模式成功模拟出"天鹅"的移动路径、强度和强降水分布,暴雨的中心强度与实况基本一致。利用模式输出的高分辨率结果分析研究"天鹅"的暴雨降水原因,通过改变地形高度的敏感性试验表明,沿海地区地形的抬升作用对降雨有显著的增幅作用,并且使降水分布更加不均匀。

关 键 词:大气科学  中尺度数值模式WRF  暴雨  地形试验  热带风暴“天鹅”

Numerical Simulation and Analysis of Tropical Storm Goni (0907) Associated Heavy Rainfall
CHEN Xun-lai,CHEN Yuan-zhao,WANG Ming-jie.Numerical Simulation and Analysis of Tropical Storm Goni (0907) Associated Heavy Rainfall[J].Journal of Guangdong Meteorology,2010,32(3):1-4.
Authors:CHEN Xun-lai  CHEN Yuan-zhao  WANG Ming-jie
Institution:CHEN Xun - lai , CHEN Yuan - zhao , WANG Ming -jie ( 1. Shenzhen National Climate Observatory,2. Shenzhen Meteorological Observatory, Shenzhen 518040, China)
Abstract:After the tropical storm Goni(0907 ) made landfall on Taishan of west Guangdong Procince,it sustained over 50 hours and brought heavy rain. A numerical simulation was performed with the meso - scale model WRF to study the track and precipitation of tropical storm Goni. The comparison of the simulated and the observed showed that the WRF model was able to well simulate the track, intensity and the severe heavy rain of Goni, especially the locations of the heavy rain center areas in the Yang jiang and Jiang men regions. The sensitivity simulation experiments of terrain effect on Goni' s heavy rain were also conducted. The experimental results show that orographic lifting contributed greatly to the enhancement of precipitation, and made the distribution of precipitation more uneven.
Keywords:atmospheric science  mesoscale model WRF  heavy rain  orographic effect  tropical storm Goni
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