| 一种场对场的复合门限统计预报模型及其应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 曹杰,张万诚.一种场对场的复合门限统计预报模型及其应用[J].气象科学,1996,16(3):272-276. |
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| 作者姓名： | 曹杰 张万诚 |
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| 作者单位： | 云南大学地球科学系!昆明，650091(曹杰，严华生，陶云)，红河州气象局!蒙自，661100(张万诚) |
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| 摘 要： | 本文根据对数据总体非线性特征可用逐段线性化来逼近的原理，同时在考虑预报系统中预报对旬场和预报因子场的整体性和突跳性的基础上，获得一种场对场的复全门限统计预报模型。应用该模型对具有明显突跳性的云南五月雨量场进行必预报，结果较为理想。
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| 关 键 词： | 场对场 复合门 天气预报 统计预报模型 |
A FIELD TO FIELD COMPOUND THRESHOLD REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION |
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| Cao Jie,Yan Huasheng,Tao Yun.A FIELD TO FIELD COMPOUND THRESHOLD REGRESSION MODEL AND ITS APPLICATION[J].Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,1996,16(3):272-276. |
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| Authors: | Cao Jie Yan Huasheng Tao Yun |
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| Abstract: | In this paper,based on the principle that the nonlinear characteristics of data can be described gradually by linear characteristics of data and according to main consideration of the entirety and catastrophic attribute between predicted object field and factors field, a field to field compound threshold regression model is presented, and then this model is used to forecast the May rainfall field of Yunnan province. The results are satisfactory. |
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| Keywords: | field to field catastrophe compound threshold application model |
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