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华南前汛期暖区暴雨研究新进展
引用本文:吴乃庚,温之平,邓文剑,林良勋,陈桂兴.华南前汛期暖区暴雨研究新进展[J].气象科学,2020,40(5):605-616.
作者姓名:吴乃庚  温之平  邓文剑  林良勋  陈桂兴
作者单位:中国气象局广州热带海洋气象研究所/广东省区域数值天气预报重点实验室, 广州 510080;南京信息工程大学 气象灾害预报预警与评估协同创新中心/气象灾害教育部重点实验室, 南京 210044;复旦大学 大气与海洋科学系/大气科学研究院, 上海 200433;广东省气象台/南海海洋气象预报中心, 广州 510080;中山大学 大气科学学院/季风与环境研究中心, 广州 510275
基金项目:国家自然科学基金资助项目(42075014;41705035);广东省科技计划项目(2017A020219005)
摘    要:华南前汛期暖区暴雨一直是困扰科研和业务的重要难题。在1970s末第一次华南暴雨综合试验中,老一辈科学家提出了华南前汛期暖区暴雨的概念,并揭示了诸多对华南暴雨研究有重要意义的成果。近年来,随着现代气象探测手段、高性能计算能力的提升以及中尺度暴雨科学观测试验的开展,对华南前汛期暖区暴雨的研究取得了不少新的认识。本文重点梳理了近10 a有关华南前汛期暖区暴雨方面的最新研究进展,从暖区暴雨的定义及分类、多尺度天气特征、形成机制及可预报性研究等4个方面进行系统性论述。最后,对华南前汛期暖区暴雨研究存在的问题、未来发展方向进行了简要的讨论和展望。

关 键 词:华南前汛期  暖区暴雨  形成机制  可预报性
收稿时间:2020/8/20 0:00:00

Advances in warm-sector heavy rainfall during the first rainy season in South China
WU Naigeng,WEN Zhiping,DENG Wenjian,LIN Liangxun,CHEN Guixing.Advances in warm-sector heavy rainfall during the first rainy season in South China[J].Scientia Meteorologica Sinica,2020,40(5):605-616.
Authors:WU Naigeng  WEN Zhiping  DENG Wenjian  LIN Liangxun  CHEN Guixing
Institution:Institute of Tropical and Marine Meteorology/Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Regional Numerical Weather Prediction, China Meteorological Administration, Guangzhou 510080, China;Collaborative Innovation Center on Forecast and Evaluation of Meteorological Disasters/Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster, Ministry of Education, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing 210044, China;Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences/Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai 200433, China;Guangdong Provincial Meteorological Observatory, South China Sea Marine Meteorological Forecasting Center, Guangzhou 510080, China; Center for Monsoon and Environment Research/Department of Atmospheric Science, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou 510275, China
Abstract:Warm-sector heavy Rainfall (WR) during the First Rainy Season (FRS) in South China remain significant challenges in research and operational forecasts. The older generation of scientists proposed the concept of WR during FRS in South China and revealed lots of outstanding research achievements on the South China heavy rainfall during the first South China heavy rainfall experiment in 1970s. Recently, a number of new findings have been obtained along with the modern meteorological detection methods, the higher performance computing power, and the launching of mesoscale heavy rainfall observation experiment. This paper focuses on the latest research advances in WR during FRS in South China over recent ten years, and conducts systematic reviews on these studies from four aspects: the definition of WR, multiscale weather features, formation mechanisms, and predictability. Finally, the existing issues and future directions of WR during FRS in South China are briefly discussed.
Keywords:FRS in South China  warm-sector heavy rainfall  formation mechanism  predictability
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