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暴雨落区及强度的多维相似预报方法
引用本文:苏永清,吴士兰,王瑞.暴雨落区及强度的多维相似预报方法[J].气象,1997,23(11):36-38.
作者姓名:苏永清  吴士兰  王瑞
作者单位:江苏省淮阴市气象台
摘    要:选取1970-1995年暴雨个例,采用F判别方法对产生暴雨的天气形势进行分型,选取发生暴雨的落区及强度预报指标,研制了暴雨的多维相似预报方法。在实际预报中取得了明显的效果。

关 键 词:暴雨  多维相似  强度预报  降水预报

The Multivariate Similarity Method for Forecasting Rainstorm Areas and Intensity
Su Yongqing Wu Shilan Wang Rui.The Multivariate Similarity Method for Forecasting Rainstorm Areas and Intensity[J].Meteorological Monthly,1997,23(11):36-38.
Authors:Su Yongqing Wu Shilan Wang Rui
Abstract:Based on the data from 1970 to 1995 ,the circulation patterns producing torrential rain have been divided using F distinction and the indicators for forecasting rainstorm areas and intensity have been chosen and the forecasting method for torrential rain areas and intensity is developed . The method is useful in routine operation and forecasting ability for torrential rain was improved.
Keywords:: rainstorm multivariate similarity forecasting rain  field and intensity  
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